Bill Petti | Batter regression tool now allows you to set your own expected BABIP and HR/FB for hitters.
Regress, Regress I Say! (Complete with In-Season Batter Regression Tool)
Have the Indians been lucky, good, or a little of both so far?
Austin Jackson would have to do something historic to improve in 2011.
Back of the Envelope: Mets Shouldn't Bank on Hitter Regress to Improve the Offense
Batter Regress Tool Updated with xBABIP and more Players
How might a hitter perform in 2011? The bounce-back tool makes it easy to find out.
I've been helping out a friend that works with Little League players. Part of what we've been doing is trying to better identify the true value of players and what areas each player should be...
At least in part: In every year from 1995 to 2008 (and probably before - I didn’t bother going back any further once I found this obvious of a trend), the batting average of balls in play allowed by the home team’s pitchers was lower than the road team’s pitchers. The two lines generally move together, so when league BABIP is up or down, it’s up or down for both home and road in proportional amounts. But the home line never crosses the road line. It gets close in 2004, when the gap is just two points, but then diverges back to the more normal five to 10 point spread. Over that 14 year period, home team BABIP allowed is .295, while road team BABIP allowed is .302. We’re talking millions of plate appearances here, so a seven point spread is certainly significant. It’s essentially impossible for this to happen randomly. There is something inherent to being the home team that allows you to reduce the amount of hits you allow on balls in play. This is, for lack of a batter term, a home field advantage.
Beyond the Box Score kicks off a series to help team-bloggers write more saber-friendly articles. Part one dissects the importance of BABIP.
| T | F | G |
| Y | O |
If you currently have a username with "@" in it, please email support@voxmedia.com.
We'll email you a reset link.
If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.
We'll email it to you.
If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.
If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.
Try another email?If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.
Try another email?
You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.
We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.
You must be a member of Beyond the Box Score to participate.
We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.
Choose an available username to complete sign up.
In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.