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Morning Mound Visit: sabermetrics news - 3/4/20

The Padres’ first base problem; why runners should be more aggressive advancing; Christian Yelich’s extension

MLB: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Jennifer Stewart-USA TODAY Sports

FanGraphs | Dan Szymborski: Eric Hosmer is in the midst of a huge deal with the Padres, and it hasn’t panned out as hoped. He has been poor enough that he won’t opt out, leaving San Diego with the bag as he plummets towards replacement level.

Baseball Prospectus | Russell A. Carleton ($): Runners are very good at determining when to advance bases, but they really only decide to when it’s a near-guaranteed chance. Because the break-even’s are a bit lower, there’s a good chance runners could be even more aggressive at advancing.

The Ringer | Zach Kram: The Brewers signed Christian Yelich to a nine-year, $215 million contract, a team-friendly but massive deal to a player who after his dynamic play earned the large payday. It also showed that a mid-market team could shell out to keep a player in-house if they really wanted to.