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Morning Mound Visit: sabermetrics news - 8/27/19

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The Mets get swept; home runs not just driven by the ball; Dodgers/Yankees rivalry

MLB: New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

FanGraphs | Jay Jaffe: The Mets were surging, until they ran into a Braves club that promptly swept them this weekend. A series of unlucky events and questionable decisions caused them to lose nearly 20% of their wild card probability despite a gem from Jacob deGrom, so in other words nothing is new in Queens.

Baseball Prospectus | Rob Arthur ($): A fascinating study came out of SaberSeminar that argued that the increase in home runs isn’t the ball, but mostly how players have reacted to the ball with harder hit balls and higher launch angles. The study is flawed in certain ways in that park factors and Statcast inconsistencies are not accounted for, though it is clear that the general thesis of “it’s not just the ball” is true.

ESPN Insider | Bradford Doolittle ($): The Yankees and Dodgers played a thrilling three-game set that could preview the World Series, but first they have a lot to prove. They both have enjoyed the most regular season success of this decade but have yet to bring home a title, and they haven’t met in the Fall Classic in over four decades, something that some fans of baseball history may want to see happen once again.