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Morning Mound Visit: sabermetrics news - 2/12/19

Restricted free agency in baseball; PECOTA’s best projected players; why projection systems can’t agree on the Brewers

League Championship Series - Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers - Game Seven Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images

FanGraphs | Sheryl Ring: Arbitration and free agency have some issues, so what if the league implemented a restricted free agency like in the NHL? This would allow a player like, say, Mookie Betts to negotiate for arbitration and allow other teams to bid on his services if the Red Sox don’t give him what he wants, giving a pseudo-free market aspect to arbitration that could bump up prime aged players’ rates.

Baseball Prospectus | Aaron Gleeman: PECOTA makes a lot of interesting projections, none more interesting than who it predicts the very best players to be. The best players PECOTA has ever projected were Barry Bonds/Alex Rodriguez in 2004 (shocker), and the best pitchers were the best pitchers projected were Johan Santana/Jake Peavy in 2006. That being said, the pair of Mike Trout and Betts aren’t far behind.

The Athletic | Eno Sarris ($): Just like the Royals used to be the projection system hater’s flavor du jour, that is now the Brewers, where not a single system can agree on their performance. This is largely because there are huge error bars for any player not named Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain, or Josh Hader, and the only reason PECOTA gives them a better shot is because of their better DRA figures.