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Morning Mound Visit: sabermetrics news - 12/4/19

Jurickson Profar to the Padres; the value of a win; the most valuable pitch

MLB: AL Wild Card-Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

FanGraphs | Eric Longenhagen: Jurickson Profar is now expected to be the starting second baseman for the San Diego Padres, an interesting development in an offseason marred by non-tender candidates moving on. At only 26, there’s still a shot for him at the big league level, and he at least showed he could perform offensively in the second half of last year.

Baseball Prospectus | Zach Crizer ($): It used to be simpler; one win equaled about $7 or $8 million, on a linear curve. Now we see players like Drew Pomeranz get $8 million per year or Blake Treinen get $7.5 million for a single year, and we wonder what that means in the aggregate for value. Does it mean Treinen is worth exactly one win? There’s an argument for both to be better than a single win per year, but with teams changing how they think about value, it’s hard to draw a linear relationship between price and projection.

The Athletic | Eno Sarris ($): There were plenty of breaking pitches that were effective this year, like Zack Britton’s curve, for example. But what pitch was the most dominant? It was actually a fastball... Gerrit Cole’s fastball, to be specific.