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Morning Mound Visit: sabermetrics news - 11/21/19

Jonathan Villar’s explosive season; Larry Walker’s Hall of Fame case; a better way to vote on the MVP

MLB: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

FanGraphs | Tony Wolfe: The Orioles had a silver lining in 2019, and it was Jonathan Villar. He was one of the best players in the second half, and easily one of the best baserunners in the league despite non-elite speed. It’s not clear if the offensive progression sticks but with Baltimore looking to continue their rebuild, there’s always the chance he’s on the block.

Baseball Prospectus | Matthew Trueblood ($): Another thing to consider in Larry Walker’s complicated Hall of Fame case were his injuries, and one can imagine even given how prolific he was, how much more he would have compiled in ideal health.

Bill James Online | Bill James: If we assume that there’s a true value for each MVP candidate, you can say there’s always a gap between perceived value and actual value; because of that, voters will inevitably whiff on the most deserved candidate. In this model James maps out that if you added one more voter per team it could create better results by modeling success rates of differently sized voting blocs.