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Morning Mound Visit: sabermetrics news - 1/5/19

Ignoring Harper’s MVP season; the coldest stove; mainstreaming sabermetric stats

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New York Yankees Introduce Jacoby Ellsbury Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

FanGraphs | Craig Edwards: A lot of Bryce Harper’s projections are based on his potential, and in particular, his 2015 MVP season. If we threw that out, then what would he look like? Well, it probably cuts his value in half to something like a $200 million player, crazy as that seems. Just the fact that he can put up the greatest offensive numbers ever is reason enough to give him a great deal of money.

Baseball Prospectus | Rob Arthur ($): It’s January 5th, and free agency is still at a halt in a similar way to last year. Harper and Manny Machado will likely get paid, but the rest of the market has stagnated and shifted to being team-friendly so quickly, and so slantingly so that it leads to the natural question of whether this is just a market force, or something more coordinated at play.

The Athletic | Cliff Corcoran ($): When does a new stat go mainstream? This was the question posed to a number of sabermetrics writers, the answer is something along the lines of: being marketed correctly, but also answering a particular question we have been asking, and providing important context that we were looking for but was missing.