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When it comes to similarities between the pair of American League Rookie of the Year frontrunners, Cleveland’s Francisco Lindor and Houston’s Carlos Correa, one could tick off more than a few boxes. Both, of course, play the same position, were drafted in the first round, have similar triple-slash lines – Lindor finished the year with a .313/.353/.482 mark through 99 games and Correa batted a .279/.345/.512 through his first 99 games – and, of course, they share the same position.
But perhaps the most intriguing connection – one in which ties the rookies to two Hall of Famers – between the 21-year-old Lindor and the 20-year-old Correa is the rarefied company each is keeping following their dominant rookie performances.
Consider the following:
Using Baseball Reference’s Play Index, only one other 21-year-old shortstop since the start 1920 has appeared in at least 80 games during his rookie season while accruing at least 3.5 wins above replacement and an OPS+ above 100: 'Iron Man' Cal Ripken Jr.
And once again, using BR’s Play Index, only one other 20-year-old shortstop since 1920 has appeared in 80 games during his rookie season while totaling at least 3.5 wins above replacement and an OPS+ above 100: Hall of Famer Arky Vaughan.
Interesting enough, but let’s expand the criteria in each situation a bit; let’s look at rookies at any position.
In Lindor’s case there have been 16 other 21-year-olds. But it’s not the fact it remains a rather exclusive club, but look at where the budding superstar’s WAR total ranks all time among 21-year-old rookies:
Player | Year | WAR | OPS+ |
---|---|---|---|
Albert Pujols | 2001 | 6.6 | 157 |
Tom Brunansky | 1982 | 5.6 | 129 |
Joe Morgan | 1965 | 5.6 | 131 |
Hal Trosky | 1934 | 5.5 | 150 |
Stan Musial | 1942 | 5.3 | 151 |
Willie Randolph | 1976 | 5.0 | 103 |
Del Ennis | 1946 | 4.8 | 144 |
Cal Ripken Jr. | 1982 | 4.7 | 115 |
Greg Gross | 1974 | 4.7 | 122 |
Francisco Lindor | 2015 | 4.6 | 122 |
Joe DiMaggio | 1936 | 4.6 | 128 |
Richie Ashburn | 1948 | 4.5 | 123 |
Lou Whitaker | 1978 | 3.8 | 101 |
Richie Hebner | 1969 | 3.8 | 127 |
Joe Medwick | 1933 | 3.8 | 130 |
Darrell Porter | 1973 | 3.6 | 133 |
Curt Blefary | 1965 | 3.6 | 139 |
Tenth out of 16 – obviously impressive enough, but let’s delve a little deeper. Let’s look at the above group’s average WAR per game:
Player | Games | WAR/G |
---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor | 99 | 0.0465 |
Tom Brunansky | 127 | 0.0441 |
Albert Pujols | 161 | 0.0410 |
Willie Randolph | 125 | 0.0400 |
Richie Ashburn | 117 | 0.0385 |
Stan Musial | 140 | 0.0379 |
Hal Trosky | 154 | 0.0357 |
Joe Morgan | 157 | 0.0357 |
Del Ennis | 141 | 0.0340 |
Joe DiMaggio | 138 | 0.0333 |
Darrell Porter | 117 | 0.0308 |
Greg Gross | 156 | 0.0301 |
Richie Hebner | 129 | 0.0295 |
Cal Ripken Jr. | 160 | 0.0294 |
Lou Whitaker | 139 | 0.0273 |
Joe Medwick | 148 | 0.0257 |
Curt Blefary | 144 | 0.0250 |
Lindor, in fact, has averaged the most wins above replacement last season than any other 21-year-old rookie with at least 80 games played, 100 OPS+, and 3.5 WAR since 1920. Now let’s apply the same for Correa. First, Correa’s place in history based solely on his WAR total:
Player | Year | WAR | OPS+ |
---|---|---|---|
Mike Trout | 2012 | 10.8 | 168 |
Ted Williams | 1939 | 6.7 | 160 |
Vada Pinson | 1959 | 6.5 | 129 |
Frank Robinson | 1956 | 6.5 | 143 |
Jason Heyward | 2010 | 6.4 | 131 |
Johnny Bench | 1968 | 5.0 | 116 |
Roberto Alomar | 1988 | 4.3 | 105 |
Carlos Correa | 2015 | 4.1 | 132 |
Willie Mays | 1951 | 3.9 | 120 |
Arky Vaughan | 1932 | 3.8 | 114 |
That’s some pretty hefty company to keep. But it should be pointed out Correa posted a higher OPS+ and WAR total than one of the game’s greatest – if not greatest – all-around players, Willie Mays. And now where Houston’s budding superstar ranks on a WAR/Game basis:
Player | Games | WAR/G |
---|---|---|
Mike Trout | 139 | 0.0777 |
Jason Heyward | 142 | 0.0451 |
Ted Williams | 149 | 0.0450 |
Frank Robinson | 152 | 0.0428 |
Vada Pinson | 154 | 0.0422 |
Carlos Correa | 99 | 0.0414 |
Johnny Bench | 154 | 0.0325 |
Willie Mays | 121 | 0.0322 |
Roberto Alomar | 143 | 0.0301 |
Arky Vaughan | 129 | 0.0295 |
Sixth best of all-time, topping four of the game’s best players in Bench, Mays, Alomar, and Vaughan. So, regardless of which player wins the AL Rookie of the Year – and let’s be honest, it’s clearly a two-man race – the young shortstops are clearly starting their careers off on the right path.
Joe Werner is a contributor to Beyond the Box Score. All statistics courtesy of FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference. For more analysis check out Joe Werner's site: ProspectDigest.com. You can follow him on Twitter at @JoltinJoey.