Where no counsel is, the people fall: but in the multitude of counselors there is safety.
Prospect lists are a tricky animal. Every prospect guru has his or her own biases, favorite prospects, sources, and philosophy, leading to quite a variety in the placement of specific players on his or her list. I like making lists and I like prospects, but I'm no scout and I have no inside connections, so my list wouldn't hold any particular weight. Instead of spending loads of time ranking the players with my own biases, I decided a few years ago to instead assemble a consensus list for each team. You can view all of the previous lists here. Hopefully this will bring safety from a multitude of counselors.
How do I do this? Each time a prospect appears on a list, he gets a number of points (31 minus his ranking). The prospect with the largest amount of points is ranked first.
This year, I made a few changes to the list. First off, I included as many lists as I could possibly find. This includes list from team-specific sites, not just from sites that post a list for every team. Second, I created a separate list for fantasy rankings. Fantasy baseball sites rank their prospects with a different flavor and so there are two rankings: one for real baseball and one for fantasy.
David Holmberg was traded to the team during the off-season. I gave him a rank of 7 on the lists that missed him.
You can also view the 2013 Cincinnati Reds top prospect list.
Minor League Ball (John Sickels)
The "Change" column describes how the prospect’s status changed from 2013. A positive number means the prospect moved up in the list, while a negative number means he moved down.
Here is a spreadsheet that contains all of the 2014 Cincinnati Reds top prospect rankings in one place. I have removed Keith Law's as his lists require a subscription, though his list is included in the final tally.
|3||3||Phil Ervin||389||69||1st Round|
|6||7||David Holmberg||266||58||Dbacks, Heath Bell trade|
|7||10||Ben Lively||265||35||4th Round|
|8||9||Michael Lorenzen||264||37||1st Round|
|10||8||Carlos Contreras||207||38||Unranked last year|
|14||NA||Jose Ortiz||71||Unranked last year|
|16||NA||Chad Rogers||57||Unranked last year|
|20||NA||Kevin Franklin||35||2nd Round|
|21||NA||Jackson Stephens||29||Unranked last year|
|23||NA||Aristides Aquino||20||Unranked last year|
|24||NA||Junior Arias||19||Unranked last year|
|26||NA||Friar Tucker||18||Unranked last year|
|30||NA||Cory Thompson||10||5th Round|
|31||NA||Mark Armstrong||8||3rd Round|
|32||NA||Kevin Garcia||7||Unranked last year|
|35||NA||Zack Weiss||6||6th Round|
|35||NA||Tyler Mahle||6||7th Round|
|37||NA||Rydel Medina||4||Dominican IFA|
|38||NA||Juan Silva||3||Unranked last year|
2013 prospects not on 2014 list
Tony Cingrani, #3
J.J. Hoover, #10
Donald Lutz, #20
Kyle Lotzkar, #9
Dan Langfield, #7
Jonathan Reynoso, #13
Jeff Gelalich, #15
David Vidal, #25
Pedro DIaz, #28
Juan Duran, #32
Here is a chart of the Reds' top prospects. The error bars represent the minimum and maximum ranking for each prospect.
It appears that clicking the above graphic makes it slightly larger
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Chris St. John is a writer at Beyond The Box Score. You can follow him on Twitter at @stealofhome.