Where no counsel is, the people fall: but in the multitude of counselors there is safety.
Prospect lists are a tricky animal. Every prospect guru has his or her own biases, favorite prospects, sources, and philosophy, leading to quite a variety in the placement of specific players on his or her list. I like making lists and I like prospects, but I'm no scout and I have no inside connections, so my list wouldn't hold any particular weight. Instead of spending loads of time ranking the players with my own biases, I decided a few years ago to instead assemble a consensus list for each team. You can view all of the previous lists here. Hopefully this will bring safety from a multitude of counselors.
How do I do this? Each time a prospect appears on a list, he gets a number of points (31 minus his ranking). The prospect with the largest amount of points is ranked first.
This year, I made a few changes to the list. First off, I included as many lists as I could possibly find. This includes list from team-specific sites, not just from sites that post a list for every team. Second, I created a separate list for fantasy rankings. Fantasy baseball sites rank their prospects with a different flavor and so there are two rankings: one for real baseball and one for fantasy.
David Holmberg was traded to the team during the off-season. I gave him a rank of 7 on the lists that missed him.
You can also view the 2013 Cincinnati Reds top prospect list.
The "Change" column describes how the prospect’s status changed from 2013. A positive number means the prospect moved up in the list, while a negative number means he moved down.
Here is a spreadsheet that contains all of the 2014 Cincinnati Reds top prospect rankings in one place. I have removed Keith Law's as his lists require a subscription, though his list is included in the final tally.
|3||3||Phil Ervin||389||69||1st Round|
|6||7||David Holmberg||266||58||Dbacks, Heath Bell trade|
|7||10||Ben Lively||265||35||4th Round|
|8||9||Michael Lorenzen||264||37||1st Round|
|10||8||Carlos Contreras||207||38||Unranked last year|
|14||NA||Jose Ortiz||71||Unranked last year|
|16||NA||Chad Rogers||57||Unranked last year|
|20||NA||Kevin Franklin||35||2nd Round|
|21||NA||Jackson Stephens||29||Unranked last year|
|23||NA||Aristides Aquino||20||Unranked last year|
|24||NA||Junior Arias||19||Unranked last year|
|26||NA||Friar Tucker||18||Unranked last year|
|30||NA||Cory Thompson||10||5th Round|
|31||NA||Mark Armstrong||8||3rd Round|
|32||NA||Kevin Garcia||7||Unranked last year|
|35||NA||Zack Weiss||6||6th Round|
|35||NA||Tyler Mahle||6||7th Round|
|37||NA||Rydel Medina||4||Dominican IFA|
|38||NA||Juan Silva||3||Unranked last year|
2013 prospects not on 2014 list
Tony Cingrani, #3
J.J. Hoover, #10
Donald Lutz, #20
Kyle Lotzkar, #9
Dan Langfield, #7
Jonathan Reynoso, #13
Jeff Gelalich, #15
David Vidal, #25
Pedro DIaz, #28
Juan Duran, #32
Here is a chart of the Reds' top prospects. The error bars represent the minimum and maximum ranking for each prospect.
It appears that clicking the above graphic makes it slightly larger
. . .