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A Graphic Look at Trout vs Harper


Arguably the top two prospects up this year, and potential AL/NL rookie of the year candidates, both of these players have provided some extra excitement to their respective fanbases. Bryce Harper obviously has been hyped up as the next great ball player, batting away clown questions and sporting extra eye black from time-to-time, but how good has Trout been so far? In simple terms, just dealing with WAR, Trout has been outstanding, and comparable to Adam Jones in terms of production. The leaders above him are quite impressive too: Votto, Braun, Wright, Bourn, Hamilton.

Outside of just looking at WAR, is Mike Trout better than Bryce Harper?

Catching a few Nationals games on MLB TV, I've been lead to believe that Harper has a plus plus arm, and while I've seen this on a few select plays, his UZR of -0.4 tells me something different, especially compared to Trout's 7.3 UZR.

His high BABIP of 0.397 (0.395 as of yesterday) suggests that this should come down. Adrian Gonzalez and Matt Kemp ended the season with a 0.380 BABIP, but in the top 30 leaders for 2011, this ranges from 0.330-0.397. Assuming this much, will he hit his 6.2 WAR projection (for 2011, that's Justin Upton and Shane Victorino range)?

Check out more infographics on FUNGraphs or follow me on @cobradave