They're not quite out of it at the moment, but do you think the Rays would have liked a 5th Wild Card spot this year?
Just as a reminder: some of the things that go into these rankings include runs scored and allowed, run distributions, wOBA, wRC, FIP, xFIP, DRS, UZR, etc., Base Runs, BABIP and HR/FB% adjustments, and our guts.
| Rank | Team | Wins | Losses | Comments |
| 1 | Yankees | 87 | 57 | I'm not sure if Bartolo Colon and Freddy Garcia being 2nd and 3rd on the team in starter fWAR (2.5, 2.2) is good or bad. |
| 2 | Phillies | 94 | 48 | Cliff Lee has allowed a grand total of 3 earned runs in his last 55.2 IP (2 of them on one HR), with a 52-10 K/BB ratio. |
| 3 | Red Sox | 85 | 60 | Adrian Gonzalez only has 25 home runs this year - not what many expected leaving Petco - but still with a .409 wOBA. |
| 4 | Rangers | 82 | 64 | Texas' lead has dwindled to just 2.5 games, but their run differential is 90 runs better than LA's. |
| 5 | Brewers | 85 | 62 | Yuniesky Betancourt is still above replacement level, but it's going to be close at the finish (0.1 fWAR). |
| 6 | Rays | 80 | 64 | Jeremy Hellickson is posting a nice 2.96 ERA (despite a 4.30 FIP) largely on the strength of a .229 BABIP. |
| 7 | Tigers | 83 | 62 | Detroit went 49-43 while being outscored in the first half, but they're playing .642 ball after the break. |
| 8 | Cardinals | 78 | 67 | Two years and only $21 M for Chris Carpenter seems good, given he's averaging over 4.5 fWAR for '09-11. |
| 9 | Diamondbacks | 85 | 61 | Willie Bloomquist has received 340 PA for the team, and yet they hold an 8.5 game lead in the NL West. You can't explain that. |
| 10 | Angels | 80 | 65 | Dan Haren is having a quietly great season. He's even passed Jered Weaver in fWAR (up to 6.1). |
| 11 | Braves | 84 | 62 | Craig Kimbrel's record streak of appearances without allowing a run was just snapped at 38. |
| 12 | White Sox | 73 | 71 | Chris Sale (10 K/9, 3 BB/9, 50% GB%) has been like Matt Thorton #2 this year (10 K/9, 3 BB/9, 50% GB%). |
| 13 | Dodgers | 72 | 72 |
Jamey Carroll is the only qualified batter in the majors without a home this year; tied a career high with 5 triples though. |
| 14 | Reds | 71 | 74 | It's only in part-time duty, but Ryan Hanigan has the best K/BB ratio in baseball for a catcher. |
| 15 | Blue Jays | 73 | 73 | Outside the AL East, no 3rd place team is above .500. The Jays are (now), and are in 4th. |
| 16 | Mets | 71 | 74 | RA Dickey as a Met in 2010 and 2011; 361.1 IP of 3.16 ERA ball (FIP ~3.78, xFIP ~3.86). Looking forward to him sitting on 199 wins. |
| 17 | Rockies | 68 | 77 | The Colorado pitching staff led the majors in fWAR for 2009-10, but is down to just 19th this year. |
| 18 | Athletics | 66 | 79 | Brandon McCarthy has improved his control enough to post the 4th best BB/9 (1.4) in baseball. |
| 19 | Giants | 75 | 70 |
Tim Lincecum (3.13) is behind both Madinson Bumgarner (2.70) Matt Cain (2.87) in FIP - and he's 10th in the NL. |
| 20 | Marlins | 65 | 79 | Gaby Sanchez has built on a nice rookie season by upping his walk rate to over 11% - his fWAR's up from 2.3 to 3.0 already. |
| 21 | Indians | 71 | 72 | Matt LaPorta has been called back up to the majors, where he has yet to post an even average offensive season. |
| 22 | Royals | 61 | 86 | In the AL Central, only Chicago (6) has more pitchers with at least 2.1 fWAR than Kansas City (3). |
| 23 | Padres | 62 | 84 | Orlando Hudson is 73rd in the majors in triples this year, which is more relevant if you saw his Intentional Talk segment. |
| 24 | Nationals | 66 | 77 | For pitchers with at least 50 IP, Tyler Clippard has the highest LOB% in the majors this year at 94.4%. |
| 25 | Cubs | 63 | 82 | Starlin Castro leads the NL in hits with 186. He's only 39th (of 68 qualified batters) with a .336 OBP. |
| 26 | Mariners | 61 | 84 | This is the first season of Felix Hernandez's career in which his groundball rate is under 52%. |
| 27 | Pirates | 66 | 79 | Pittsburgh has/had 4 players with over 200 PA and below 0 fWAR this year (M. Diaz, X. Paul, P. Alvarez, L. Overbay). |
| 28 | Orioles | 58 | 86 | The O's staff has the worst FIP in the majors (4.65), and they're further from 29th place than 29th is from 23rd. |
| 29 | Astros | 49 | 96 | JA Happ is 5-15 with a 5.77 ERA, but at least his xFIP is only 4.63. He's 4th on the team in innings pitched. |
| 30 | Twins | 59 | 86 | Joe Mauer is up to 3 home runs now this year, and has his bat up to league average (100 wRC+). |