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Wisdom of the Crowds - 2010 Prospect Rankings

By Jeff Zimmerman

Note: There are a couple of corrections to the original list as pointed out by OccamsRazor and SFreixeX4 in the comments.

This time of year several sources put out prospect rankings and I decided to to collect as many as I could for a combined ranking.  I started collecting them myself, but Joe Hamrahi at BaseballDailyDiget.com did the heavy lifting for me.  Today, Baseball-Prospectus released their rankings so it was time to compare the lists. 

Methodology:

  • In total,13 rankings were used and I didn't use Dobber Rankings from the Baseball Daily Digest list as it contained some players that were actually rookies last season.
  • I averaged and counted the rankings from each list.  Some list were only top 20, while others were top 101.  Due to the different lengths, I was not able to give credit to players that might have just missed one list.
  • I ranked all the players by the averaged ranking.  I placed all players that only appear in one list in a honorable mention list.  I was looking for players that several people acknowledge as good.
  • With this list, I then divided the list into 7 Tiers.  I looked for large breaks in the rankings and placed the tiers at these breaks.

I am happy with the results.  There seem to only be a few players that stick out.  Jhoulys Chacin of the Rockies is on 10 lists which should put him in the top 30, but because he is ranked from as high as 20 to as low as 91, he ends up at 45.  Mike Minor, Anthony Gose, Andy Oliver and Juan Francisco were all ranked 50 or higher by one person, but no one else put them on their lists.  Here is the top tier with the rest after the jump. 

I have put the list into a Google Doc also.

Rank Name, Position, Team Average of Ranks Number of Rankings Tier
1 Jason Heyward, of, Braves 1.4 13 1
2 Stephen Strasburg, rhp, Nationals 1.9 13 1
3 Desmond Jennings, of, Rays 5.8 12 1
4 Mike Stanton, of, Marlins 5.9 13 1
5 Jesus Montero, c, Yankees 6.5 13 1
6 Buster Posey, c, Giants 6.8 13 1
7 Brian Matusz, lhp, Orioles 7.5 13 1
8 Neftali Feliz, rhp, Rangers 8.7 13 1
9 Carlos Santana, c, Indians 8.9 13 1

Rank Name, Position, Team Average of Ranks Number of Rankings Tier
10 Dustin Ackley, of/1b/2b, Mariners 12.0 13 1.5
11 Justin Smoak, 1b, Rangers 12.8 13 1.5
12 Pedro Alvarez, 3b, Pirates 13.3 12 1.5
13 Madison Bumgarner, lhp, Giants 14.5 13 1.5
14 Domonic Brown, of, Phillies 15.7 13 1.5





15 Martin Perez, lhp, Rangers 17.6 11 2
16 Jeremy Hellickson, rhp, Rays 18.5 11 2
17 Alcides Escobar, ss, Brewers 19.3 12 2
18 Aroldis Chapman, lhp, Reds 19.4 9 2
19 Kyle Drabek, rhp, Blue Jays 20.4 11 2
20 Starlin Castro, ss, Cubs 21.2 9 2
21 Wade Davis, rhp, Rays 23.3 10 2
22 Michael Taylor, of, Athletics 23.5 10 2
23 Chris Carter, of/1b, Athletics 23.6 11 2
24 Casey Kelly, rhp, Red Sox 24.0 10 2
25 Christian Friedrich, lhp, Rockies 24.6 7 2
26 Aaron Hicks, of, Twins 25.2 10 2
27 Brett Wallace, 3b/1b, Blue Jays 25.6 10 2
28 Ryan Westmoreland, of, Red Sox 27.6 10 2
29 Jarrod Parker, rhp, Diamondbacks 28.9 7 2
30 Logan Morrison, 1b, Marlins 29.0 11 2





31 Derek Norris, c, Nationals 33.0 7 2.5





33 Lonnie Chisenhall, 3b, Indians 39.0 6 3
34 Mike Montgomery, lhp, Royals 39.3 8 3
35 Jennry Mejia, rhp, Mets 39.3 7 3
32 Dee Gordon, ss, Dodgers 40.0 7 3
36 Josh Bell, 3b, Orioles 41.3 8 3
37 Jaff Decker, of, Padres 41.6 7 3
38 Fernando Martinez, of, Mets 41.8 9 3
39 Matt Moore, lhp, Rays 42.2 6 3
40 Yonder Alonso, 1b, Reds 43.0 7 3
41 Freddie Freeman, 1b, Braves 44.0 6 3
42 Dan Hudson, rhp, White Sox 45.2 6 3
43 Tyler Matzek, lhp, Rockies 45.2 6 3
44 Donavan Tate, of, Padres 45.4 5 3
45 Jhoulys Chacin, rhp, Rockies 46.3 10 3
46 Hector Rondon, SP, Indians 46.8 4 3





47 Jacob Turner, rhp, Tigers 48.7 6 4
48 Shelby Miller, rhp, Cardinals 49.0 5 4
49 Casey Crosby, lhp, Tigers 50.2 6 4
50 Arodys Vizcaino, rhp, Braves 50.3 4 4
51 Jason Castro, c, Astros 50.3 7 4
52 Josh Vitters, 3b, Cubs 50.3 6 4
53 Julio Teheran, rhp, Braves 50.9 7 4
54 Michael Saunders, of, Mariners 51.7 7 4
55 Austin Jackson, of, Tigers 52.3 7 4
56 Aaron Crow, rhp, Royals 52.6 7 4
57 Tanner Scheppers, rhp, Rangers 53.2 6 4
58 Tim Beckham, ss, Rays 53.7 7 4
59 Matt Dominguez , 3B , FLA 54.0 2 4
60 Alex Colome, rhp, Rays 55.0 2 4
61 Hak Ju Lee , SS , CHC 55.5 2 4
62 Brett Lawrie, 2b, Brewers 56.0 7 4
63 Todd Frazier, of/2b/3b, Reds 56.2 6 4
64 Carlos Triunfel , SS , SEA 56.7 3 4
65 James Darnell, 3b, Padres 58.7 3 4
66 Phillippe Aumont, rhp, Phillies 59.2 5 4
67 Wilson Ramos, c, Twins 60.5 6 4





68 Noel Arguelles, lhp, Royals 62 3 5
69 Simon Castro, rhp, Padres 63.2 5 5
70 Ben Revere, OF, Twins 63.25 4 5
71 Wilmer Flores, ss, Mets 63.8 5 5
72 Ike Davis, 1b, Mets 64 6 5
73 Eric Hosmer , 1B , KC 64 3 5
74 Zach Britton, lhp, Orioles 64 6 5
75 Mike Trout, of, Angels 64.67 6 5
76 Mike Leake, rhp, Reds 64.71 7 5
77 Manny Banuelos , P , NYY 65.33 3 5
78 Reid Brignac, ss, Rays 67.25 4 5
79 Mike Moustakas, 3b, Royals 67.29 7 5
80 Wil Myers, C, Royals 67.5 4 5
81 Drew Storen, rhp, Nationals 68.63 8 5
82 Alex White, rhp, Indians 68.67 3 5
83 Josh Reddick, of, Red Sox 68.67 3 5
84 Kyle Gibson, rhp, Twins 68.8 5 5
85 Jordan Lyles, rhp, Astros 69.25 4 5
86 Austin Romine, c, Yankees 69.33 3 5
87 Jared Mitchell, of, White Sox 69.4 5 5
88 Chris Withrow, rhp, Dodgers 69.8 5 5
89 Tyler Flowers, c, White Sox 70.67 6 5
90 Zack Wheeler, rhp, Giants 71.25 4 5
91 Jason Knapp, rhp, Indians 71.67 3 5
92 Ethan Martin, RHP, Dodgers 72.67 3 5
93 Jose Tabata, OF, Pirates 73 5 5
94 Lars Anderson, 1b, Red Sox 74 4 5
95 Grant Green, ss, Athletics 74 6 5
96 Hank Conger, c, Angels 74.4 5 5
97 Jiovanni Mier, ss, Astros 74.6 5 5
98 Miguel Sano, ss/3b, Twins 75.33 3 5
99 Zach Stewart , P , TOR 75.5 4 5
100 Jose Iglesias , SS , BOS 76.25 4 5
101 Jake Arrieta, rhp, Orioles 77.3 6 5
102 Nick Hagadone, lhp, Indians 78.6 5 5
103 Jay Jackson, rhp, Cubs 79.7 3 5
104 Mat Gamel, 3b, Brewers 80.0 4 5
105 Thomas Neal, of, Giants 81.0 3 5
106 Brett Jackson, of, Cubs 81.4 5 5
107 Bobby Borchering , 3B , ARZ 81.5 2 5
108 Trevor Reckling, LHP, Angels 83.5 4 5
109 Tony Sanchez, c, Pirates 83.8 6 5
110 Ryan Kalish, OF, Red Sox 85.7 3 5
111 Andrew Cashner, rhp, Cubs 87.0 2 5
112 Peter Bourjos, of, Angels 89.0 3 5
113 Travis d'Arnaud, c, Blue Jays 90.0 2 5
114 Junichi Tazawa , P , BOS 94.0 2 5





HM Mike Minor 43.0 1 6
HM Anthony Gose 46.0 1 6
HM Andy Oliver 47.0 1 6
HM Juan Francisco 48.0 1 6
HM Devaris Gordon , SS , LAD 49.0 1 6
HM Tyson Gillies 50.0 1 6
HM Anthony Rizzo 53.0 1 6
HM Scott Sizemore 57.0 1 6
HM Ruben Tejada , SS , NYM 58.0 1 6
HM Daryl Jones 59.0 1 6
HM Chris Marrero 63.0 1 6
HM Michael Inoa, RHP, Athletics 66.0 1 6
HM Matt Sweeney 68.0 1 6
HM David Bromberg 70.0 1 6
HM Nick Weglarz , OF , CLE 70.0 1 6
HM Daniel Duffy , P , KC 71.0 1 6
HM Michael Brantley 71.0 1 6
HM Jonathan Galvez , SS , SD 73.0 1 6
HM Zach McAllister 76.0 1 6
HM Andrew Mambo , OF , LAD 76.0 1 6
HM Chad James, lhp, Marlins 78.0 1 6
HM Daniel Schlereth 78.0 1 6
HM Edinson Rincon , 3B , SD 80.0 1 6
HM Craig Kimbrel 81.0 1 6
HM Zeke Spruill 83.0 1 6
HM Adam Moore, c, Mariners 83.0 1 6
HM Wilin Rosario 84.0 1 6
HM Randall Delgado 85.0 1 6
HM Brandon Allen 85.0 1 6
HM Jhan Marinez 86.0 1 6
HM Max Stassi , C , OAK 88.0 1 6
HM Chris Heisey 88.0 1 6
HM Jordan Walden, RHP, Angels 89.0 1 6
HM A.J. Pollock 92.0 1 6
HM Alex Liddi 93.0 1 6
HM Jon Niese , P , NYM 93.0 1 6
HM Tim Melville, RHP, Royals 93.0 1 6
HM Gabriel Noriega, SS, Mariners 94.0 1 6
HM Grant Desme 94.0 1 6
HM Eric Arnett 95.0 1 6
HM Fabio Martinez, RHP, Angels 95.0 1 6
HM Julio Morban , OF , SEA 96.0 1 6
HM Jurickson Profar 96.0 1 6
HM Jamie Garcia 99.0 1 6
HM Michael Bowden , P , BOS 100.0 1 6
HM Brent Morel 100.0 1 6
HM Danny Espinosa, SS, Nationals 101.0 1 6

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