I started a series like this over at Royal's Review and I continue it here with various players throughout the league. About every couple days until opening day, I will be looking at the projections for various players and see if you think the player will do better, the same or worse than those projections. We will be using the data from Fangraphs and the poll question will be based off the Chone projection system. We will begin with David Ortiz. Here is how the various projection systems have David measuring up:
Basic
Season | Team | G | AB | PA | H | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG |
2010 | Bill James | 138 | 484 | 561 | 128 | 64 | 34 | 1 | 29 | 79 | 99 | 77 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 0.264 |
2010 | CHONE | 139 | 528 | 608 | 136 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 84 | 96 | 76 | 120 | 1 | 1 | 0.258 |
2010 | Marcel | 481 | 563 | 127 | 68 | 33 | 1 | 25 | 78 | 89 | 74 | 104 | 2 | 1 | 0.264 | |
2010 | Fans (115) | 136 | 497 | 568 | 129 | 67 | 33 | 1 | 28 | 84 | 85 | 71 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 0.260 |
Advanced
Season | Team | BB% | K% | BB/K | OBP | SLG | ISO | wRC | wOBA | wRC+ |
2010 | Bill James | 14% | 23% | 0.69 | 0.369 | 0.519 | 0.255 | 91.9 | 0.382 | 137 |
2010 | CHONE | 13% | 23% | 0.63 | 0.355 | 0.479 | 0.221 | 90.6 | 0.364 | 124 |
2010 | Marcel | 13% | 22% | 0.71 | 0.363 | 0.493 | 0.229 | 85.3 | 0.367 | 126 |
2010 | Fans (115) | 13% | 23% | 0.63 | 0.352 | 0.499 | 0.239 | 84.5 | 0.363 | 124 |
I am not here to influence your vote, just want to see what you think.