It's time once again for the Poor Man's Projected Season Standings. It would be more accurate to call them the "End of the Season Standings If Everything Happened Exactly Like It Has To This Point In the Season And Luck Pretty Much Evened Out" but I can't fit that in a headline. Even the acronym is a little long, so we'll stick with the Poor Man's Projections.
As with last week, these are based on Justin's Power Rankings. Per his suggestion, I have changed to use the expected winning within the league (eW%lg) which better accounts for the teams playing most of their games in the same league
AL East
| Team | Current Wins |
Current Losses | eW%lg | Season Wins | Season Losses | Season W% |
| Blue Jays |
34 | 27 | 0.595 | 94 | 68 | 0.580 |
| Red Sox |
35 | 24 | 0.571 | 94 | 68 | 0.580 |
| Yankees | 34 | 25 | 0.568 | 93 | 69 | 0.574 |
| Rays | 30 | 31 | 0.594 | 90 | 72 | 0.556 |
| Orioles | 24 | 30 | 0.461 | 74 | 88 | 0.457 |
AL Central
| Team | Current Wins |
Current Losses | eW%lg | Season Wins | Season Losses | Season W% |
| Tigers | 33 | 26 | 0.517 |
86 | 76 | 0.531 |
|
Twins |
30 | 31 | 0.490 | 79 | 83 | 0.488 |
| Indians | 26 | 35 | 0.506 | 77 | 85 | 0.475 |
| White Sox | 27 | 33 | 0.459 | 74 | 88 | 0.457 |
| Royals | 25 | 33 | 0.463 | 73 | 89 | 0.451 |
AL West
| Team | Current Wins |
Current Losses | eW%lg | Season Wins | Season Losses | Season W% |
| Rangers | 33 | 25 | 0.518 | 87 | 75 | 0.537 |
| Angels | 29 | 28 | 0.483 | 80 | 82 | 0.494 |
| Mariners | 29 | 30 | 0.424 | 73 | 89 | 0.451 |
| Athletics | 26 | 32 | 0.416 | 69 | 93 | 0.426 |
NL East
| Team | Current Wins |
Current Losses | eW%lg | Season Wins | Season Losses | Season W% |
| Phillies | 34 | 23 | 0.554 | 92 | 70 | 0.568 |
| Mets | 31 | 26 | 0.552 | 89 | 73 | 0.549 |
| Braves | 29 | 29 | 0.523 | 83 | 79 | 0.512 |
| Marlins | 29 | 32 | 0.414 | 71 | 91 | 0.438 |
| Nationals | 15 | 42 | 0.442 | 61 | 101 | 0.377 |
NL Central
| Team | Current Wins |
Current Losses | eW%lg | Season Wins | Season Losses | Season W% |
| Brewers | 33 | 26 | 0.521 | 87 | 75 | 0.537 |
| Cubs | 29 | 27 | 0.541 | 86 | 76 | 0.531 |
| Cardinals | 32 | 28 | 0.496 | 83 | 79 | 0.512 |
| Reds | 31 | 27 | 0.472 | 80 | 82 | 0.494 |
| Pirates | 27 | 32 | 0.477 | 76 | 86 | 0.469 |
| Astros | 26 | 31 | 0.453 | 74 | 88 | 0.457 |
NL West
| Team | Current Wins |
Current Losses | eW%lg | Season Wins | Season Losses | Season W% |
| Dodgers | 40 | 21 | 0.618 | 102 | 60 | 0.630 |
|
Rockies |
27 | 32 | 0.535 | 82 | 80 | 0.506 |
| Giants | 31 | 27 | 0.417 | 74 | 88 | 0.457 |
| Diamondbacks | 25 | 35 | 0.474 | 73 | 89 | 0.451 |
| Padres | 28 | 31 | 0.424 | 72 | 90 | 0.444 |
Removing the league adjustments makes the National League a lot more competitive in terms of wins. It's more fair too since there really aren't that many interleague games.
The major changes from last week include a dropoff from Texas, although not enough to jeopardize their playoff spot, a big push from Colorado and a major decline from the Royals.
Things are shaping up for a great race in the AL East with 4 teams fighting for two playoff spots - although I have to assume at least one of the teams will fall off the pace especially as they beat each other up.
The NL Central looks like it's pretty much up for grabs too.
BtB preseason favorites Cleveland and Oakland look like they have too much ground to make up from their early poor starts - the A's are pretty good favorites for the worst team in the AL. I definitely got that one wrong.
Check back next week to see if the Giants can continue to exceed expectations.