Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMR / RAA | 3B: PMR / RAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA
Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions. PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo). More information can be found in this post.
Today, we look at shortstop fielding - first on the team level and then for individuals.
| Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Outs Delta | Runs Delta | Runs / 4000 | RAA / 4000 |
| Brewers | 4354 | 551 | 526 | 25 | 18.85075 | 17.32 | 17.65 |
| Giants | 4232 | 492 | 469.81 | 22.19 | 16.7319257 | 15.81 | 16.14 |
| Marlins | 4338 | 517 | 501 | 16 | 12.06448 | 11.12 | 11.45 |
| Angels | 4374 | 524 | 510.64 | 13.36 | 10.0738408 | 9.21 | 9.54 |
| Cardinals | 4597 | 580 | 566.37 | 13.63 | 10.2774289 | 8.94 | 9.27 |
| Red Sox | 4232 | 480 | 472.55 | 7.45 | 5.6175235 | 5.31 | 5.64 |
| Phillies | 4396 | 557 | 551.85 | 5.15 | 3.8832545 | 3.53 | 3.86 |
| Braves | 4383 | 566 | 561.4 | 4.6 | 3.468538 | 3.17 | 3.5 |
| Diamondbacks | 4224 | 469 | 465.74 | 3.26 | 2.4581378 | 2.33 | 2.66 |
| Cubs | 4156 | 498 | 495.33 | 2.67 | 2.0132601 | 1.94 | 2.27 |
| Astros | 4292 | 500 | 497.32 | 2.68 | 2.0208004 | 1.88 | 2.21 |
| Athletics | 4285 | 477 | 474.54 | 2.46 | 1.8549138 | 1.73 | 2.06 |
| Rangers | 4667 | 538 | 536.31 | 1.69 | 1.2743107 | 1.09 | 1.42 |
| Dodgers | 4265 | 546 | 544.65 | 1.35 | 1.0179405 | 0.95 | 1.28 |
| Indians | 4513 | 542 | 540.73 | 1.27 | 0.9576181 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
| White Sox | 4409 | 548 | 546.97 | 1.03 | 0.7766509 | 0.7 | 1.03 |
| Royals | 4413 | 508 | 507.3 | 0.7 | 0.527821 | 0.48 | 0.81 |
| Rays | 4264 | 490 | 490.56 | -0.56 | -0.4222568 | -0.4 | -0.07 |
| Orioles | 4540 | 537 | 539.06 | -2.06 | -1.5533018 | -1.37 | -1.04 |
| Rockies | 4535 | 587 | 589.61 | -2.61 | -1.9680183 | -1.74 | -1.41 |
| Pirates | 4683 | 577 | 580.37 | -3.37 | -2.5410811 | -2.17 | -1.84 |
| Blue Jays | 4215 | 476 | 479.71 | -3.71 | -2.7974513 | -2.65 | -2.32 |
| Twins | 4607 | 578 | 584.7 | -6.7 | -5.052001 | -4.39 | -4.06 |
| Yankees | 4349 | 491 | 499 | -8 | -6.03224 | -5.55 | -5.22 |
| Nationals | 4417 | 526 | 538.02 | -12.02 | -9.0634406 | -8.21 | -7.88 |
| Mariners | 4512 | 480 | 493.64 | -13.64 | -10.284969 | -9.12 | -8.79 |
| Padres | 4419 | 520 | 536.39 | -16.39 | -12.358552 | -11.19 | -10.86 |
| Reds | 4299 | 468 | 485.83 | -17.83 | -13.444355 | -12.51 | -12.18 |
| Tigers | 4536 | 519 | 544.4 | -25.4 | -19.152362 | -16.89 | -16.56 |
| Mets | 4335 | 498 | 524.64 | -26.64 | -20.087359 | -18.54 | -18.21 |
| Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Outs Delta | Runs Delta | Runs / 4000 | RAA / 4000 |
| Marco Scutaro | 1352 | 173 | 157.04 | 15.96 | 12.0343188 | 35.6 | 35.93 |
| Omar Vizquel | 1863 | 210 | 193.6 | 16.4 | 12.366092 | 26.55 | 26.88 |
| Mike Aviles | 2277 | 271 | 252.42 | 18.58 | 14.0098774 | 24.61 | 24.94 |
| Macier Izturis | 1307 | 151 | 144.8 | 6.2 | 4.674986 | 14.31 | 14.64 |
| Jed Lowrie | 1142 | 123 | 118.01 | 4.99 | 3.7626097 | 13.18 | 13.51 |
| J.J. Hardy | 3804 | 477 | 460.72 | 16.28 | 12.2756084 | 12.91 | 13.24 |
| Erick Aybar | 2437 | 305 | 295.72 | 9.28 | 6.9973984 | 11.49 | 11.82 |
| Alex Cora | 1137 | 140 | 135.75 | 4.25 | 3.2046275 | 11.27 | 11.6 |
| Cesar Izturis | 3136 | 408 | 396.19 | 11.81 | 8.9050943 | 11.36 | 11.69 |
| Jack Wilson | 2231 | 285 | 278.88 | 6.12 | 4.6146636 | 8.27 | 8.6 |
| Bobby Crosby | 3740 | 423 | 411.71 | 11.29 | 8.5129987 | 9.1 | 9.43 |
| Jason Bartlett | 3208 | 380 | 372.71 | 7.29 | 5.4968787 | 6.85 | 7.18 |
| Hanley Ramirez | 3986 | 472 | 462.98 | 9.02 | 6.8013506 | 6.83 | 7.16 |
| Juan Castro | 1331 | 153 | 150.32 | 2.68 | 2.0208004 | 6.07 | 6.4 |
| Jimmy Rollins | 3537 | 451 | 443.43 | 7.57 | 5.7080071 | 6.46 | 6.79 |
| Luis Rodriguez | 1191 | 143 | 140.93 | 2.07 | 1.5608421 | 5.24 | 5.57 |
| Yunel Escobar | 3344 | 440 | 434.04 | 5.96 | 4.4940188 | 5.38 | 5.71 |
| Nick Punto | 1646 | 227 | 224.05 | 2.95 | 2.2243885 | 5.41 | 5.74 |
| Orlando Cabrera | 4218 | 527 | 521.06 | 5.94 | 4.4789382 | 4.25 | 4.58 |
| Adam Everett | 1183 | 156 | 154.33 | 1.67 | 1.2592301 | 4.26 | 4.59 |
| Miguel Tejada | 4062 | 472 | 469.63 | 2.37 | 1.7870511 | 1.76 | 2.09 |
| Jhonny Peralta | 3963 | 469 | 467.52 | 1.48 | 1.1159644 | 1.13 | 1.46 |
| Michael Young | 4165 | 489 | 487.98 | 1.02 | 0.7691106 | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| Ryan Theriot | 3615 | 425 | 424.27 | 0.73 | 0.5504419 | 0.61 | 0.94 |
| Julio Lugo | 1947 | 216 | 217.95 | -1.95 | -1.4703585 | -3.02 | -2.69 |
| Angel Berroa | 1730 | 225 | 227.09 | -2.09 | -1.5759227 | -3.64 | -3.31 |
| Derek Jeter | 3815 | 429 | 433.24 | -4.24 | -3.1970872 | -3.35 | -3.02 |
| Stephen Drew | 3820 | 422 | 429.34 | -7.34 | -5.5345802 | -5.8 | -5.47 |
| Cristian Guzman | 3640 | 441 | 449.15 | -8.15 | -6.1453445 | -6.75 | -6.42 |
| John McDonald | 1387 | 150 | 154.82 | -4.82 | -3.6344246 | -10.48 | -10.15 |
| Yuniesky Betancourt | 4173 | 446 | 460.45 | -14.45 | -10.895734 | -10.44 | -10.11 |
| Troy Tulowitzki | 2730 | 354 | 365.56 | -11.56 | -8.7165868 | -12.77 | -12.44 |
| Edgar Renteria | 3696 | 428 | 449.4 | -21.4 | -16.136242 | -17.46 | -17.13 |
| Jose Reyes | 4196 | 480 | 504.15 | -24.15 | -18.209825 | -17.36 | -17.03 |
| Khalil Greene | 2841 | 327 | 345.54 | -18.54 | -13.979716 | -19.68 | -19.35 |
| Tony F Pena | 1808 | 199 | 211.52 | -12.52 | -9.4404556 | -20.89 | -20.56 |
| Brendan Harris | 1480 | 159 | 170.68 | -11.68 | -8.8070704 | -23.8 | -23.47 |
| Jeff Keppinger | 2636 | 274 | 296.5 | -22.5 | -16.965675 | -25.74 | -25.41 |
| David Eckstein | 1445 | 149 | 163.53 | -14.53 | -10.956056 | -30.33 | -30 |
The most surprising thing here was how poorly both the Mets and Jose Reyes rated. Jeter was below average but not badly so. Hanley Ramirez somehow showed up +7, which is shocking considering his reputation as a butcher. Other reports seem to indicate Ramirez was better this year, but still below average. Considering how well the Blue Jays rated as a team, it's somewhat surprising to see their SSs this low (-2.3).
Rollins, who won the NL Glove, had a good season, but J.J. Hardy was much more deserving. In the AL, the best you can about Michael Young was that he was above average, and that there weren't a whole of outstanding SS performances. Bobby Crosby and Jason Bartlett would have been better bets who had at least 3/4 of a season at the position, but they were only rated about 5 runs better than Young.
Last year's rookie phenom, Troy Tulowitzki struggled with injuries this season, and his PMR reflected it. He was 33 runs above average last year, and 12 below this season (some of that may be due to how the run value is calculated, LABHoW used 490 expected outs last year, and I'm using 4000 BIP). It will be very interesting to see whether he can regain his fielding prowess next season.