Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMR / RAA | 3B: PMR / RAAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA
Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions. PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo). More information can be found in this post.
Today, we look at right fielders - first on the team level and then for individuals.
| Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Outs Delta | Runs Delta | Runs / 4000 | RAA / 4000 |
| Twins | 4607 | 397 | 374.04 | 22.96 | 19.35528 | 16.81 | 16.81 |
| Giants | 4232 | 392 | 372.99 | 19.01 | 16.02543 | 15.15 | 15.15 |
| Blue Jays | 4215 | 303 | 286.97 | 16.03 | 13.51329 | 12.82 | 12.82 |
| Indians | 4513 | 374 | 358.85 | 15.15 | 12.77145 | 11.32 | 11.32 |
| Padres | 4419 | 339 | 329.6 | 9.4 | 7.9242 | 7.17 | 7.17 |
| Phillies | 4396 | 318 | 310.41 | 7.59 | 6.39837 | 5.82 | 5.82 |
| Red Sox | 4232 | 325 | 318.64 | 6.36 | 5.36148 | 5.07 | 5.07 |
| Rangers | 4667 | 382 | 375.27 | 6.73 | 5.67339 | 4.86 | 4.86 |
| Nationals | 4417 | 353 | 346.81 | 6.19 | 5.21817 | 4.73 | 4.73 |
| Braves | 4383 | 313 | 307.02 | 5.98 | 5.04114 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Marlins | 4338 | 345 | 340.25 | 4.75 | 4.00425 | 3.69 | 3.69 |
| Cubs | 4156 | 333 | 329.14 | 3.86 | 3.25398 | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| Cardinals | 4597 | 362 | 360.58 | 1.42 | 1.19706 | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Diamondbacks | 4224 | 269 | 268.33 | 0.67 | 0.56481 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Athletics | 4285 | 377 | 376.5 | 0.5 | 0.4215 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| Mariners | 4512 | 309 | 310.73 | -1.73 | -1.45839 | -1.29 | -1.29 |
| Dodgers | 4265 | 278 | 279.64 | -1.64 | -1.38252 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| Brewers | 4354 | 316 | 318.38 | -2.38 | -2.00634 | -1.84 | -1.84 |
| Royals | 4413 | 334 | 336.94 | -2.94 | -2.47842 | -2.25 | -2.25 |
| Pirates | 4683 | 386 | 389.32 | -3.32 | -2.79876 | -2.39 | -2.39 |
| Orioles | 4540 | 338 | 341.58 | -3.58 | -3.01794 | -2.66 | -2.66 |
| Mets | 4335 | 356 | 360.14 | -4.14 | -3.49002 | -3.22 | -3.22 |
| Astros | 4292 | 357 | 365.06 | -8.06 | -6.79458 | -6.33 | -6.33 |
| Tigers | 4536 | 301 | 311.48 | -10.48 | -8.83464 | -7.79 | -7.79 |
| Rays | 4264 | 345 | 354.99 | -9.99 | -8.42157 | -7.9 | -7.9 |
| Reds | 4299 | 327 | 338.05 | -11.05 | -9.31515 | -8.67 | -8.67 |
| White Sox | 4409 | 296 | 308.31 | -12.31 | -10.37733 | -9.41 | -9.41 |
| Angels | 4374 | 308 | 322.64 | -14.64 | -12.34152 | -11.29 | -11.29 |
| Yankees | 4349 | 301 | 316.77 | -15.77 | -13.29411 | -12.23 | -12.23 |
| Rockies | 4535 | 249 | 273.59 | -24.59 | -20.72937 | -18.28 | -18.28 |
| Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Outs Delta | Runs Delta | Runs / 4000 |
RAA / 4000 |
| Denard Span | 2099 | 192 | 176.27 | 15.73 | 13.26039 | 25.27 | 25.27 |
| Franklin Gutierrez | 2400 | 224 | 207.25 | 16.75 | 14.12025 | 23.53 | 23.53 |
| Alex Rios | 2373 | 170 | 156.05 | 13.95 | 11.75985 | 19.82 | 19.82 |
| Randy Winn | 3247 | 309 | 291.22 | 17.78 | 14.98854 | 18.46 | 18.46 |
| Jayson Werth | 1964 | 143 | 133.49 | 9.51 | 8.01693 | 16.33 | 16.33 |
| Endy Chavez | 1176 | 109 | 103.84 | 5.16 | 4.34988 | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| Matt Kemp | 1391 | 97 | 91.48 | 5.52 | 4.65336 | 13.38 | 13.38 |
| Austin Kearns | 2268 | 187 | 179.28 | 7.72 | 6.50796 | 11.48 | 11.48 |
| Michael Cuddyer | 1640 | 123 | 118.33 | 4.67 | 3.93681 | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| Justin Upton | 2531 | 175 | 168.66 | 6.34 | 5.34462 | 8.45 | 8.45 |
| Kosuke Fukudome | 3164 | 246 | 240.12 | 5.88 | 4.95684 | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| Ryan Sweeney | 1462 | 136 | 133.41 | 2.59 | 2.18337 | 5.97 | 5.97 |
| David Murphy | 1279 | 107 | 104.84 | 2.16 | 1.82088 | 5.69 | 5.69 |
| Jeff Francouer | 4016 | 284 | 278.05 | 5.95 | 5.01585 | 5 | 5 |
| Mark Teahen | 2292 | 185 | 181.68 | 3.32 | 2.79876 | 4.88 | 4.88 |
| Ichiro Suzuki | 2491 | 176 | 172.83 | 3.17 | 2.67231 | 4.29 | 4.29 |
| Brian Giles | 3845 | 276 | 271.51 | 4.49 | 3.78507 | 3.94 | 3.94 |
| Jeremy Hermida | 3310 | 266 | 263.1 | 2.9 | 2.4447 | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| J.D. Drew | 2658 | 184 | 183.15 | 0.85 | 0.71655 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Gabe Gross | 2225 | 186 | 185.51 | 0.49 | 0.41307 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| Nick Markakis | 4353 | 329 | 328.98 | 0.02 | 0.01686 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Corey Hart | 4134 | 304 | 305.57 | -1.57 | -1.32351 | -1.28 | -1.28 |
| Brad Wilkerson | 1428 | 95 | 95.58 | -0.58 | -0.48894 | -1.37 | -1.37 |
| Ryan Church | 2158 | 180 | 181.26 | -1.26 | -1.06218 | -1.97 | -1.97 |
| Geoff Jenkins | 1974 | 141 | 142.41 | -1.41 | -1.18863 | -2.41 | -2.41 |
| Elijah Dukes | 1840 | 137 | 138.55 | -1.55 | -1.30665 | -2.84 | -2.84 |
| Shin-Soo Choo | 1255 | 89 | 90.51 | -1.51 | -1.27293 | -4.06 | -4.06 |
| Hunter Pence | 4112 | 341 | 349.04 | -8.04 | -6.77772 | -6.59 | -6.59 |
| Jose Guillen | 1673 | 121 | 124.68 | -3.68 | -3.10224 | -7.42 | -7.42 |
| Andre Ethier | 2620 | 171 | 176.94 | -5.94 | -5.00742 | -7.64 | -7.64 |
| Emil Brown | 1264 | 112 | 114.89 | -2.89 | -2.43627 | -7.71 | -7.71 |
| Jay Bruce | 1777 | 143 | 147.07 | -4.07 | -3.43101 | -7.72 | -7.72 |
| Vladimir Guerrero | 2541 | 180 | 186.37 | -6.37 | -5.36991 | -8.45 | -8.45 |
| Magglio Ordonez | 3588 | 220 | 229.25 | -9.25 | -7.79775 | -8.69 | -8.69 |
| Ryan Ludwick | 3037 | 232 | 240.07 | -8.07 | -6.80301 | -8.96 | -8.96 |
| Jermaine Dye | 3981 | 266 | 277.6 | -11.6 | -9.7788 | -9.83 | -9.83 |
| Xavier Nady | 2497 | 199 | 207.14 | -8.14 | -6.86202 | -10.99 | -10.99 |
| Bobby Abreu | 3933 | 271 | 284.58 | -13.58 | -11.44794 | -11.64 | -11.64 |
| Ken Griffey Jr. | 2257 | 157 | 166.16 | -9.16 | -7.72188 | -13.69 | -13.69 |
| Eric Hinske | 1001 | 88 | 92.73 | -4.73 | -3.98739 | -15.93 | -15.93 |
| Gary Matthews Jr. | 1013 | 77 | 82.08 | -5.08 | -4.28244 | -16.91 | -16.91 |
| Brad Hawpe | 3645 | 188 | 213.67 | -25.67 | -21.63981 | -23.75 | -23.75 |
Another position where the Blue Jays rank near the top, largely because of Alex Rios. Ichiro rated better as CF than a RF. A commenter at Baseball Musings suggests that might be because in CF he shades left to cover for Ibanez and therefore catches lower probability balls. Bobby Abreu wasn't just scared of walls this season, he was genuinely bad. It's sad to see how far Ken Griffey Jr. has fallen. He's at the point where he should only be a full time DH. Little Sarge has to be a disappointment to the Angels (although a thoroughly unsurprising one).
Jayson Werth was very, very good for the Phils in limited time in right. Justin Upton didn't do nearly as well as his brother, but he scored +7 for the Diamondbacks. Even though Jeff Francouer couldn't hit or draw a walk this year, he did manage to contribute on defense. The Cards add a pretty poor right fielder to their collection of poor center fielders. At least they all had good seasons at the plate. And Brad Hawpe rates horribly for the Rockies. As a tease for later, they're pretty bad in LF too. I wonder if that's talent or some fluke of Coors.