Team: PMR / RAA | 1B: PMR / RAA | 2B: PMR / RAA | 3B: PMR / RAA | SS: PMR / RAA | LF: PMR / RAA | CF: PMR / RAA | RF: PMR / RAA
Each season, David Pinto releases his Probablistic Measure of Range (PMR) ratings based on play-by-play data from Baseball Info Solutions. PMR measures how many plays above or below expected each team or player made based on batted ball characteristics like velocity and location. Here at Beyond the Box Score, we're translating the play numbers into runs (following a method developed by LA Black Hawk of Waterloo). More information can be found in this post.
Today, we look at third basemen - first on the team level and then for individuals.
| Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Outs Delta | Runs Delta | Runs / 4000 | RAA / 4000 |
| Blue Jays | 4215 | 415 | 392.25 | 22.75 | 18.205005 | 17.28 | 17.24 |
| Mariners | 4512 | 403 | 384.91 | 18.09 | 14.4759798 | 12.83 | 12.79 |
| Red Sox | 4232 | 440 | 423.21 | 16.79 | 13.4356938 | 12.7 | 12.66 |
| Dodgers | 4265 | 427 | 411.45 | 15.55 | 12.443421 | 11.67 | 11.63 |
| Angels | 4374 | 391 | 377.04 | 13.96 | 11.1710712 | 10.22 | 10.18 |
| Rays | 4264 | 420 | 406.66 | 13.34 | 10.6749348 | 10.01 | 9.97 |
| Braves | 4383 | 404 | 390.88 | 13.12 | 10.4988864 | 9.58 | 9.54 |
| Tigers | 4536 | 471 | 458.72 | 12.28 | 9.8267016 | 8.67 | 8.63 |
| Brewers | 4354 | 396 | 387.21 | 8.79 | 7.0339338 | 6.46 | 6.42 |
| White Sox | 4409 | 463 | 455.46 | 7.54 | 6.0336588 | 5.47 | 5.43 |
| Padres | 4419 | 382 | 376.01 | 5.99 | 4.7933178 | 4.34 | 4.3 |
| Astros | 4292 | 408 | 402.2 | 5.8 | 4.641276 | 4.33 | 4.29 |
| Athletics | 4285 | 385 | 380.25 | 4.75 | 3.801045 | 3.55 | 3.51 |
| Pirates | 4683 | 445 | 442.19 | 2.81 | 2.2486182 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| Rockies | 4535 | 412 | 410.31 | 1.69 | 1.3523718 | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Nationals | 4417 | 416 | 415.43 | 0.57 | 0.4561254 | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| Yankees | 4346 | 379 | 378.81 | 0.19 | 0.1520418 | 0.14 | 0.1 |
| Cubs | 4156 | 341 | 342.34 | -1.34 | -1.0722948 | -1.03 | -1.07 |
| Mets | 4335 | 374 | 376.09 | -2.09 | -1.6724598 | -1.54 | -1.58 |
| Indians | 4513 | 419 | 423.48 | -4.48 | -3.5849856 | -3.18 | -3.22 |
| Marlins | 4338 | 370 | 375.82 | -5.82 | -4.6572804 | -4.29 | -4.33 |
| Royals | 4413 | 375 | 386.63 | -11.63 | -9.3065586 | -8.44 | -8.48 |
| Rangers | 4667 | 372 | 386.02 | -14.02 | -11.219084 | -9.62 | -9.66 |
| Phillies | 4396 | 411 | 425.13 | -14.13 | -11.307109 | -10.29 | -10.33 |
| Diamondbacks | 4224 | 350 | 363.76 | -13.76 | -11.011027 | -10.43 | -10.47 |
| Twins | 4607 | 382 | 397.09 | -15.09 | -12.07532 | -10.48 | -10.52 |
| Cardinals | 4597 | 416 | 432.51 | -16.51 | -13.211632 | -11.5 | -11.54 |
| Giants | 4232 | 338 | 356.28 | -18.28 | -14.628022 | -13.83 | -13.87 |
| Reds | 4299 | 337 | 356.45 | -19.45 | -15.564279 | -14.48 | -14.52 |
| Orioles | 4540 | 421 | 446.86 | -25.86 | -20.693689 | -18.23 | -18.27 |
| Team | In Play | Actual Outs | Predicted Outs | Outs Delta | Runs Delta | Runs / 4000 |
RAA / 4000 |
| Chone Figgins | 2787 | 249 | 230.03 | 18.97 | 15.1801734 | 21.79 | 21.75 |
| Andy Marte | 1849 | 185 | 173.47 | 11.53 | 9.2265366 | 19.96 | 19.92 |
| Evan Longoria | 3059 | 304 | 286.97 | 17.03 | 13.6277466 | 17.82 | 17.78 |
| Ian Stewart | 1651 | 160 | 151.25 | 8.75 | 7.001925 | 16.96 | 16.92 |
| Carlos Guillen | 2396 | 246 | 233.91 | 12.09 | 9.6746598 | 16.15 | 16.11 |
| Mike Lowell | 2717 | 279 | 266.51 | 12.49 | 9.9947478 | 14.71 | 14.67 |
| Blake DeWitt | 2152 | 233 | 223.28 | 9.72 | 7.7781384 | 14.46 | 14.42 |
| Geoff Blum | 1773 | 179 | 171 | 8 | 6.40176 | 14.44 | 14.4 |
| Jack Hannahan | 2882 | 267 | 254.14 | 12.86 | 10.2908292 | 14.28 | 14.24 |
| Adrian Beltre | 3804 | 338 | 321.08 | 16.92 | 13.5397224 | 14.24 | 14.2 |
| Joe Crede | 2492 | 251 | 242.47 | 8.53 | 6.8258766 | 10.96 | 10.92 |
| Bill Hall | 2709 | 238 | 229.92 | 8.08 | 6.4657776 | 9.55 | 9.51 |
| Chipper Jones | 2981 | 274 | 265.13 | 8.87 | 7.0979514 | 9.52 | 9.48 |
| Scott Rolen | 2935 | 274 | 267.64 | 6.36 | 5.0893992 | 6.94 | 6.9 |
| Kevin Kouzmanoff | 4179 | 368 | 361.2 | 6.8 | 5.441496 | 5.21 | 5.17 |
| Alex Rodriguez | 3377 | 297 | 291.79 | 5.21 | 4.1691462 | 4.94 | 4.9 |
| Jose Bautista | 2478 | 243 | 240.95 | 2.05 | 1.640451 | 2.65 | 2.61 |
| Greg Dobbs | 1000 | 92 | 91.52 | 0.48 | 0.3841056 | 1.54 | 1.5 |
| Ryan Zimmerman | 2786 | 275 | 273.75 | 1.25 | 1.000275 | 1.44 | 1.4 |
| David Wright | 4234 | 367 | 365.59 | 1.41 | 1.1283102 | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Willy Aybar | 1048 | 108 | 107.77 | 0.23 | 0.1840506 | 0.7 | 0.66 |
| Andy LaRoche | 1573 | 152 | 151.71 | 0.29 | 0.2320638 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| Juan Uribe | 1424 | 156 | 157.08 | -1.08 | -0.8642376 | -2.43 | -2.47 |
| Aramis Ramirez | 3664 | 290 | 294.47 | -4.47 | -3.5769834 | -3.91 | -3.95 |
| Edwin Encarnacion | 3673 | 288 | 295.33 | -7.33 | -5.8656126 | -6.39 | -6.43 |
| Mike Lamb | 1508 | 117 | 120.22 | -3.22 | -2.5767084 | -6.83 | -6.87 |
| Jose Castillo | 2560 | 214 | 220.73 | -6.73 | -5.3854806 | -8.41 | -8.45 |
| Brian Buscher | 1564 | 141 | 145.3 | -4.3 | -3.440946 | -8.8 | -8.84 |
| Garrett Atkins | 2528 | 221 | 228.04 | -7.04 | -5.6335488 | -8.91 | -8.95 |
| Mark Reynolds | 3759 | 304 | 315.66 | -11.66 | -9.3305652 | -9.93 | -9.97 |
| Jorge Cantu | 3264 | 271 | 281.48 | -10.48 | -8.3863056 | -10.28 | -10.32 |
| Alex Gordon | 3583 | 316 | 329.28 | -13.28 | -10.626922 | -11.86 | -11.9 |
| Casey Blake | 3318 | 288 | 301.47 | -13.47 | -10.778963 | -12.99 | -13.03 |
| Ty Wigginton | 2013 | 175 | 183.48 | -8.48 | -6.7858656 | -13.48 | -13.52 |
| Pedro Feliz | 2972 | 280 | 292.73 | -12.73 | -10.186801 | -13.71 | -13.75 |
| Troy Glaus | 3908 | 351 | 368.31 | -17.31 | -13.851808 | -14.18 | -14.22 |
| Melvin Mora | 3362 | 320 | 342.26 | -22.26 | -17.812897 | -21.19 | -21.23 |
| Ramon Vazquez | 1712 | 138 | 149.87 | -11.87 | -9.4986114 | -22.19 | -22.23 |
| Rich Aurillia | 1271 | 93 | 106.18 | -13.18 | -10.5469 | -33.19 | -33.23 |
Here's the first position where the Blue Jays come out near the top, and it's due to their backups as much as to Scott Rolen (including this year's fielding whiz, Marco Scutaro). This Evan Longoria kid could be the real thing. Former uber-prospect Andy Marte hasn't done much offensively but performed quite well in limited time on defense. Melvin Mora may still be a force at the plate, but his fielding takes away much of his offensive value. The Royals have to be wondering if they made the right decision to move Teahen off 3B and to keep Gordon there. For you Red Sox fans wondering how Youkilis was at 3B, we don't have the numbers for him, but the non-Lowell 3B (Youk, Lowrie and 15 innings of Kevin Cash) were -2 runs.
For the World Champs, Pedro Feliz rated much, much lower than his reputation. And he definitely wasn't contributing much on offense. I wonder if he was this poor this season or the Phillies are doing something strange with positioning. Rich Aurilia should not be allowed to play 3B any more - and he probably doesn't have the bat for 1B (where he played 82 games last year). That's upsetting to me, as he was probably my favorite Giant off their WS team in 2002. Supposed FA bargain Casey Blake rated quite poorly defensively, so he may not be the good buy that everyone seems to be suggesting. David Wright has a Gold Glove that probably should have gone to Blake DeWitt. If DeWitt didn't play enough for your liking, both Bill Hall and Chipper were better options than Wright.