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Just how improbable was that Red Sox comeback?

WalkOffBalk has a fun win expectancy calculator - just plug in the situation and the score, and it will spit out the number of times the team has won in those circumstances.

From 1977-2006, visiting teams had a 7 run lead in the 7th inning 2134 times.

They lost 10 of those games.

That's 0.005%.