pecota Stories - Beyond the Box Score
PECOTA Beta Projections Available
Baseball Prospectus has released their PECOTA projection betas for testing and review, just one more step on the way to pitchers and catchers reporting. Now, I'm not going to post all of the Red Sox ones here, but I thought we could take a look at a few of interest for the sake of discussion. There...
PECOTA Hates The Mets, Loves Johan Santana
Baseball Prospectus has released their new-and-improved PECOTA forecasts including their 2011 depth charts and standings projections. You need a subscription to view the standings and the depth charts, and while I think a BP membership is well worth your money, I'd rather see you spend it on the...
The Mets Are Who The Computers Thought They Were
Flash back to March 2010 and the release of the season projections. You know the acronyms: CHONE, PECOTA, etc. The consensus projection for the Mets' record is in the 75-80 win range. Vegas is the most optimistic, predicting an 80-82 record. Dave Allen at Baseball Analysts plotted the win...
First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts
These are extremely preliminary, and you can take projections for what they are, but this is pretty depressing. (click to embiggen) You can see the rest of the PECOTA standings here. The standings are available for everyone, but only subscribers can see the underlying playing time...
Livan Strikes Out Pujols
I took comfort in this one play. Consider: Albert Pujols OPS: 1.163 Livan Hernandez tRA: 5.28 Albert Pujols K%: 8.8% Livan Hernandez K%: 13.4% Mets Playoff odds (cool standings): 30.9% Mets Playoff odds (BP): 57.3% Mets Playoff odds (BP, PECOTA): 41.6%
Who Is Jake Fox?
The Chicago Cubs recalled former catching-prospect-turned-defensive-liability Jake Fox from AAA Iowa at the time he was leading the minor leagues in HRs with 17 and the team desperately needed some offense. Given the gaudy numbers (.423/.503/.886), I wanted to go back and see what Baseball America...
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