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USSMariner: I Have A Tongue-In-Cheek Complaint

16

It must be nice rooting for a team run by a competent front office.

USSM: Roster Construction Theory

19

I meant to link to this post earlier, but if you haven't already read it, please do. Dave makes an important point about premium players that many Mets fans seem to miss, and should keep in mind when discussing the team this offseason. Also, at the chance anyone in the Mets front office is reading this, please note the several not so-subtle criticisms of your work.

Should The Mariners Trade Ichiro(!) ?

17

Dave Cameron expands on an article he wrote for the Wall Street Journal, discussing whether the Mariners should trade Ichiro. As usual, Dave covers all the angles, but the most important line in the whole article is this one: "I'm not advocating giving him away..." So many times when I come across articles like this one (including when I've written them) there's a backlash in the comments about the fact that trading a player would leave a hole or that the team can still afford him so why trade him? But you need to think about what's coming back in a trade. Every time. With the M's, they have a lot of outfield depth, so they can look to fill other holes (infielders, for example). But even if they didn't have that depth, they could trade Ichiro for -- get this -- another outfielder! And sure, they can still afford to pay Ichiro and he's not overpaid by much ($17M per year) if at all. But the M's, especially with their new, smart GM, could probably spend that $17M more wisely. As for arguing that Ichiro's declining: "As much as we love the guy and what he’s given to the team, there are signs of decline. In his first five seasons in the U.S., Ichiro posted an Isolated Slugging percentage of .100 or higher four times. He hasn’t done it since, going four straight seasons with essentially no power. He’s drawn three unintentional walks so far this year, putting him on pace to draw ~16 for the season. He usually draws between 25 and 35. He’s been caught stealing three times in eight attempts so far this year after being thrown out four times in 47 attempts last year. During his first four years in the majors, he posted a wOBA of .360, making him a significantly above average hitter. During the last 3 seasons and the start of this year, he’s posted a wOBA of .348, making him a good but not great hitter. 12 points of wOBA adds up to around six runs over the course of a full season, so that offensive dropoff is equal to a loss of about half a win per year. "

Yes, that's four and three-fifths green dot thingies out of nine total box thingies inside the...

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Yes, that's four and three-fifths green dot thingies out of nine total box thingies inside the black box strike zone thingy. In this case, the term "black box" is extremely appropriate, as Jim Joyce apparently had no idea what was going on inside of it. From USSMariner.

The Mariners have hired Tom Tango as a consultant to assist them in pushing forward their...

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The Mariners have hired Tom Tango as a consultant to assist them in pushing forward their advancement into the 21st century of statistical analysis. If you’ve been reading [USSMariner] for a while, you know who Tango is - we’ve learned/borrowed heavily from his work over the years, and he’s stopped by to comment once in a while as well. I think it’s fair to say that, right now, Tom is the leading analyst of the day in public advancement of statistical analysis. If you wanted to know what the best practice for current analysis is, you wouldn’t go to Bill James or Nate Silver, you’d go to Tom Tango. He’s the gold standard of analysts publishing their work, and he’s made significant strides in pushing forward the understanding of baseball through his writings. Seriously, if you had given me a magic lamp before the new GM search began and said "you get three wishes", one of them would have been "Let the new GM hire Tango".

USSMariner - I haven't seen Tom mention this at his blog, but I'll keep my eye out
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