...Not only that, but since expansion in 1969, your chance of scoring a single run is better with a runner on first and nobody out than with a runner on second and one out. Get that? Your percentages for scoring ONE RUN is better.
Now, a manager may believe that these so-called numbers are wrong, that hundreds of thousands of innings and at-bats and situations are wrong, that what is right is the manager's own instinct for avoiding the double play and putting his RBI guy up in the right situation. I don't begrudge a manager for thinking that or a team for believing in that manager or fans for wanting it to be true. I just wouldn't call it smart ball.
— Joe Posnanski | Chinese Jibberish
Posnanski, through a somewhat ugly metaphor, explains that non-stat people make it harder than it really is. Essentially, the counterarguments to the scientific approach to baseball are almost entirely red herrings.
Either way, I question how much value time spent refuting the non-stat people really has. At some point we're arguing with people that don't want
to know any better. Seems like they're the exact same people that deny ev...never mind.