A Saber-Slanted Baseball Community

Nifty discussion of how to propperly evaluate players' abilities to take extra bases, by jessef of Bluebird Banter.

Nifty discussion of how to propperly evaluate players' abilities to take extra bases, by jessef of Bluebird Banter.

I did a little Fanpost at Royals Review... I originally was just going to do a generic WAR projection for the position pl ayers, averaging CHONE, PECTOA, and ZiPS, but then I came up with the idea do break it down into components by projection system so that people could "choose their own projection." Kind of a funny take referencing the old "choose your own adventure" books from my childhood or whatever. I thought it was a fun idea, anyway, to get people to understand how intuitive the notion of WAR really is, as well as letting them pick each projection they think is better, or to leave out parts they don't like (say, if they hate defensive stats). Would have been better with multiple choices for defensive projections or baserunning, of course, but given that I had to do the baserunning myself, I feel okay about it. I'm not an "official" Royals blogger or anything, but I thought this was sort of an entertaining twist on the usual projections post that other people might get a kick out of and maybe run with.

Colin Wyers presents baserunning runs compared to average for all the years between 1953 and 2007. 2008 numbers will be available once retrosheet data is available, but here are the 2007 leaders and trailers: 6 Juan Pierre 6 Brian Giles 5 Dan Uggla 5 Luis Gonzalez 5 Johnny Damon 5 Orlando Cabrera 5 Marcus Giles 5 Hideki Matsui 5 Aaron Miles -5 Ryan Garko -5 Jacque Jones -6 Barry Bonds -6 Mike Lowell -7 John Mabry -9 Paul Lo Duca Who wants to run some year-to-year-correlations? And who's going to beat me to a full slice-and-dice post?