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Talking to a Sabermagician: Colin Wyers

Colin Wyers is well known, and well respected, within the Sabermetric community for his previous and current contributions to the field of Sabermetrics. He took the time to drop some #want and knowledge on us.

Listening to Dead Kennedys while writing up another chapter of comments for Baseball Prospectus...

Listening to Dead Kennedys while writing up another chapter of comments for Baseball Prospectus 2011.

Marc Normandin | Twitter These are our heroes.

The Rangers' seven-game winning streak comes to a crashing halt via a one-hit shutout and a...

The Rangers' seven-game winning streak comes to a crashing halt via a one-hit shutout and a three-game sweep by the Tigers. Still, they're 13-6 this month, and for all the talk about their upgraded defense masking a pitching staff whose performance hasn't improved radically, the staff has put up a 3.30 ERA with 11 quality starts this month. Of course, striking out a hair under five per nine during that span doesn't bode terribly well for a repeat.

Baseball Prospectus Hit List Seriously. This kind of logic from Baseball Prospectus! My head hurts.

BPro To Update Depth Charts Weekly (& Eventually PECOTA)

Clay Davenport wrote today that he plans to update BPro's depth charts on a weekly basis. Of course, he might be using "weekly" in the same sense Christina Kahrl's does for her Transaction Analysis column, but I'll go with it for now. That's good news for fantasy fans who are BPro members, as we can get updated dollar values to use in trade analysis. But it's also good news when you throw in Davenport's claim that they'll be updating PECOTA in-season starting... well, at some point. At first, they'll just do a weighted average of pre-season PECOTA and current stats, but the long-term plan is to re-calculate PECOTAs on the fly. How's the transfer of PECOTA from Excel to database coming, guys? Anyway, if that all comes together, it's pretty cool, and would be the best source of in-season projections and playoff odds, by far.

Finding The Lucky and Unlucky Teams So Far In 2009

Beyond the Box Score takes a look at which teams have won more or less games than they deserved to so far in 2009, based on their offensive and defensive performances, plus strength of schedule.

DL: When Jack Morris' Hall of Fame worthiness is debated, a common theme is that Morris "pitched to...

DL: When Jack Morris' Hall of Fame worthiness is debated, a common theme is that Morris "pitched to the score." Do you believe there is such a thing as pitching to the score? BB: No, I don't. I went out there and wanted to pitch a shutout every time, so my score was zero. That was my cup of tea. If I gave up a run... I remember Sandy Koufax saying one time that he thought no-hitter every time he walked out there. If he gave up a hit, then he thought shutout. If he gave up a run, then he thought win. Being a Koufax admirer growing up, that's kind of what my attitude was, to go out there and put zeros on the board and hopefully your team can score you some runs and you win. If you give up a home run, or if you give up one run in the first, if you're going to lose, lose 1-0. That's the way you should approach it.

Bert Blyleven to Baseball Prospectus Great interview, and Blyleven comes off as a bright guy. Unfortunately, subscription only.

PECOTA Adjusted National League Playoff Odds (5/7)

  1. Dodgers 88.9%
  2. Cubs 65.4%
  3. Mets 47.9%
  4. Phillies 45.3%
  5. Cardinals 40.7%

PECOTA Adjusted American League Playoff Odds (5/7)

  1. Red Sox 71.2%
  2. Yankees 63.5%
  3. Tigers 43%
  4. Rays 37.1%
  5. Mariners 31.1%

Baseball Prospectus to Begin Satisfying the Daily Needs of Prospectfiles

Kevin Goldstein announced Tuesday that Baseball Prospectus will now be doing a daily piece called the Minor League Report. It appears essentially to be a very pared down verson of the Ten Pack: a handful of prospectus with a quick report on what noteworthy performances they put up. I like Goldstein and I like prospects and I like having as many angles I can have on prospects, Baseball Prospectus chief among them. So this is a good thing.
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We have our own Community Guidelines at Beyond the Box Score. You should read them.

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