Projections Wrap Up: Looking Back at a Wild Ride
The roller-coaster ride that was the 2011 MLB Postseason, graphed. Volatility was the name of the game.
The roller-coaster ride that was the 2011 MLB Postseason, graphed. Volatility was the name of the game.
The Log5 odds favor the Rangers. Now forget about the odds. Just watch history in the making.
Thanks to David Murphy, timely defense and some questionable decisions by Tony La Russa, the Texas Rangers find themselves one game away from their first world championship. They'll have to beat the Cardinals in St. Louis, but our model indicates that they won't have that much trouble doing so.
Thanks to an historic performance by Albert Pujols, an errant call at first base, and generally mediocre pitching, the St. Louis Cardinals are favored to win the World Series for the first time this postseason--barely.
A team that was once 10.5 games out of the playoffs is now three games away from a World Championship. The Cardinals struck the first blow in the 2011 Fall Classic, but the model still favors the Rangers at 56.8%.
Our projections have the Rangers as 2:5 favorites, with the most likely outcome being a Texas win in five games.
The Rangers punched their ticket to the 2011 Fall Classic last night with a 15-5 win, dominating the Tigers in much the same way they've dominated our postseason projections. They're now 70.7% favorites to win the World Series.
The Cardinals are one game away from the World Series. According to our projections, these are the NLCS elimination scenarios: Cardinals in 6 (43.6 %); Brewers in 7 (31.8%); Cardinals in 7 (24.6%)
Both the Tigers and the Brewers forced a sixth game last night, but one team has a chance to win it at home while the other faces an uphill struggle in unfriendly territory.
The St. Louis Cardinals are—for the first time this postseason—the favorites to represent the National League in the Fall Classic.