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Percent Chance of Select Royals Hitters Hitting a Certain Number of Homers given 650 PAs in 2009, drawing on CHONE projections. If you need a closer look, click here. I already posted this at Royals Review, but given the recent fun with Excel's BINOMDIST function and the accompanying charts (not to mention how long it took it to get through my thick head), I thought I'd post it here. Those more in the know: is something like a binomial distribution roughly how stuff in projections systems like CHONE's percentiles and ZiPS' "Oddsinator" are generated?