Beyond the Box Score: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:





BABIP and Such

Today we'll begin our look at the lesser known statistics used to judge players, first up a combination of stats I like to use; balls in play tendencies, batting average on balls in play, and expected batting average on balls in play.

Balls in play tendencies are exactly what they sound like - the percentage of each outcome of batted balls. For example, let's say Jonny Gomes puts 10 balls in play during the first week of the season; five are flyouts, three groundouts, and two line drives. His tendencies would be as follows: 50% FB, 30% GB, 20% LD.

From those three numbers we can dictate whether a player is unlucky by taking his line drive percentage, turning it into a decimal, and adding .120 to it. That's a very rough and basic way to get an expected BABIP - batting average on balls in play. Line drives are the most likely types of batted balls to generate hits; groundballs can work for faster players or those who absolutely crush the ball on the ground, and flyballs can turn into bloopers or homeruns, but generally speaking line drives account for the most types of hits. What does the xBABIP tell us? If the number is far below or above the real BABIP one could point to it as the reason for a slump or hot streak.

HR/FB% is also a common form in judging either positional players or pitchers, and GB% is commonly looked at for relievers - asserting whether they can fit in with a certain team or not. For example I would assume J.P. Ricciardi looked at Shawn Camp's high GB% and saw a player who, when combined with the spectacular middle infield of John McDonald and Aaron Hill, could become a very useful situational reliever. Of course the Jays then signed David Eckstein, shooting that theory to hell.

0 recs | Comment 0 comments

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Major League Baseball.
Ad-medium-smq

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

2167chicagocubswin_small
MLB Draft: First Ten Picks
Mcgriff5_small
Gagne Removed as Closer
Galagaship_small
Welcome to the new Beyond the Box Score and SB Nation
Small
Useful blogs
Small
How good are the Tigers?
Small
Boras' 2000 A-Rod binder
Small
Are middlemen the key in the World Series?
Royalsreview_small
How Good is Brian Bannister?
Small
Are you a Sabermetrics expert?
Small
Chicago has no "grander son"

Post New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Ad-banner-faketeams

Managers

Mcgriff5_small R.J. Anderson

Small Marc Normandin

Editors

Small Dan Turkenkopf

Twinkietown_small Jesse

Small Peter Bendix

ad

Site Meter