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non--linear-cost-per-win Stories - Beyond the Box Score

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Non-Linear Cost-Per-Win Part III

In the comments of Part I, a reader suggested using a measure of team talent other than actual wins in the calculation of payroll efficiency. Not a bad idea. I'm going to use Baseball Prospectus' third-order wins metric, which adjusts for run differential (via EqA) and strength of schedule. The...

Non-Linear Cost-Per-Win Analysis

A month ago I wrote the classic Cost Per Marginal Win post, comparing each team's payroll above league minimum (about $13MM) to their win total above replacement (about 48 wins). It's a nice approach, but actually only addresses a very specific question: "How much are teams spending per marginal...


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