Research

The effect of a good bullpen in one-run games

+

Elite relief pitchers like the pictured Wade Davis do little to affect a teams' fortunes in one-run games.

Drafting Extrema: The Expectations of Draft Picks

3

In the draft, teams are trying to maximize their return. However, assuming the ith pick results in the ith best player among 1st round talent, what should we expect from the pick?

Sabermetric Extrema: 74 HR Season

4

First there was Ned Williamson, then there was Ruth a few times, then Maris, McGwire, and finally Bonds. The question becomes, what are the odds that we see 74?

Create your own park factors

4

A guide to the theory and practice of creating park factors, using ISO as an example.

Sabermetric Extrema: The .400 Season

2

The .400 season has long gone the way of the dodo, but every few years, there seems to be a run at the fabled number. But what realistically are its chances from year to year?

The lifespan of an ace

9

We spend a lot of time arguing about which pitchers are aces and if any of them are worth investing in long term, but how long do their reigns typically last?

Composite pitcher WARs for 2014

5

Bryan takes a quick look at how a pitcher's hitting, fielding, and baserunning can affect their overall value.

Valuing Brady Aiken as a free agent

3

There is a very significant chance that Brady Aiken could become a free agent. Just how much would he be worth in an open market?

JAVIER: Prospect career analysis

5

Third in a three-part series on prospect analysis, which contains an interactive visualization to find what a hitter's statistics in the minor leagues tell us about his probability of success in...

JAVIER: Analyzing prospects by age and level

8

The second in a three-part series on prospect analysis. This contains an interactive visualization to find what a hitter's statistics in the minor leagues tell us about his probability of success...

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2014 Home Run Derby: Analyzing the hitters by HRD

5

How impressive have the home runs hit by 2014 home run derby participants been? Are there players that might be better choices, if you prefer huge bombs?

JAVIER: Introducing a prospect evaluation system

28

An introduction to the JAVIER prospect evaluation system.

Phil Hughes and effective velocity follow up

1

Last week, I examined how Phil Hughes might be using the concepts of effective velocity to his advantage this year. I dive in more deeply this week.

Post-Home Run Derby Slumps and All-Fields Hitters

3

On the whole, recent Home Run Derby participants have seen their production decline in the second half. Have some types of hitters been more susceptible to the post-Derby slump than others?

An Australian hangover for Dodgers, D-backs

+

After a drubbing in Sydney, the Diamondbacks started the season in a 5-19 skid. But if you take out their games against the D-backs, the Dodgers were 8-11 on April 30.

Playoff odds and games back in the standings

4

A look at the relationship between cumulative games back in the standings and odds of making the playoffs.

Stephen Strasburg and bad luck for great pitchers

3

In 2014 (and in his career as a whole), the Washington righty hasn't lived up to his potential; however, he's still pitched phenomenally as a whole. That combination is an unusual one, to say the...

Does FieldTurf make outfield assists more likely?

2

Jose Bautista collected two right field-to-first base putouts last week. How much did Toronto's artificial turf help him make those spectacular plays?

Swing Rates Across Ball-Strike Counts

+

Every pitch of a plate appearance can be grouped into four outcomes. How do these vary as a function of the count? Do we see evidence of hitters protecting the plate in 2-strike counts? Do they...

Dallas Keuchel in perspective

1

This year, the Houston southpaw has accrued a massive amount of ground balls, while also putting up strikeouts and limiting walks. But it's the extent to which he's done these things that has set...

Lefties who pitch inside to righties

1

Which left-handed pitchers throw inside to righties the most often? How does it help them?

Evaluating pitchers using Game Score

2

Bill James developed the Game Score to measure pitcher effectiveness. Can it be aggregated to evaluate pitching careers?

Selling out for power: sometimes worthwhile?

2

Can batters "sell out for power" effectively? Is it worth it?

The pluses and minuses of strikeouts

5

Strikeouts are again on the rise in major league baseball this season. Which teams are handling the trend the best?

Weighted DiscAA: Plate Discipline

6

There are many ways to quantify plate discipline. Here we introduce a new statistic to evaluate discipline.

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