Defensive projections based on regressing a 3 year average UZR to a population based on the Fan’s Scouting Report created by Tango.

Great work, there's a link that you can download the whole set of projections on the blog's sidebar.

I looked around, couldn't find whether this was frowned upon or not. I know in some communities it is so thought I'd post it out of the way but still hope some people see it.

The BNSL is entering it's 3rd year and has one opening that needs to be filled immediately. Dues are $8 and are only used to cover hosting fees with all other costs covered by the Executive Committee (EC).

The team we need to have filled is the Dodgers. Just two seasons ago, the Dodgers won 95 games so definitely has some talent. A few of the players from the active roster are Chad Billingsley, Jonathan Broxton, Russell Martin, Mark Teixeira, and Matt Kemp. On the prospect side, you would inherit Carlos Carrasco, Casey Kelly, Michael Montgomery, Aaron Hicks, and Ryan Westmoreland to name just a few. So, as you can see, there is plenty of talent at both levels for the new GM to take the team in either direction with $20+ million to spend on FA.

Just a few quick details about the league:

- 30 GMs (one per MLB team)
- A $150 million cap
- Revenue Sharing (20%)
- 25 and 40 man rosters (75 total players)
- Player options, long-term contracts, arbitration, and free agency (a 3 tier process with comp picks and home town discount)
- An amateur draft held in June (currently 7 rounds) and a Rule V draft in the winter (2 weeks from now)
- An all-star game in the middle of the season and awards at the end of the year

If you are interested, please e-mail me at bnsimleagueATgmailDOTcom or my personal e-mail located in my profile so we can discuss the league and team. We are looking for GMs with a good deal of experience with fantasy based games and knowledge of both the MLB and MiLB levels. It really is a fun experience if you haven't tried a sim league before. With 40-man rosters, player options, Rule V draft, etc, It is a good deal different than fantasy baseball and does take some adjusting to but most people I've talked with that have done both find it a more challenging and enjoyable experience.

Thank you and I look forward to hearing from you.

Here's my last run estimator piece, discussing BaseRuns.

Check out this new blog - some interesting visualizations

Crasnick is surprisingly one of the more progressive baseball people on ESPN, as he regularly cites FanGraphs and defensive metrics in general when doing his list articles.

I liked his take, I think it is what most of us believe. We need scouting and metric data to estimate defense, and in the future we may have quantifiable answers to things like "What's the difference between line drives and fly balls?" How much we weigh each data set is what is currently in contention, I suppose.

Had to see if breaking pitch sponsored Miguel Olivo after seeing #1. Looks like I may be out $15 today.

Hat tip to BBTF.

Intro to Saber 101 has the advantages/disadvantages of linear weights. As always, if I got anything wrong, please point it out. Thanks.

I'm not sure what the make of this. I'm pretty sure it's wrong, though.

More discussion at Tango's blog.

The site Fonzie Forever uses Fangraphs data to point out some interesting things about the cut fastball. 17 starters use the cut fastball and they happen to be an elite group. For half of them, the cutter is the most effective pitch, and for none is it the least.

Do these statistics make a convincing enough case for the pitch to become more widespread?

Great discussion on the limitations of WAR. Make sure to read the comments.