FanShot Chats
Steve Phillips is smart
Steve Phillips: If the Mets don't make the playoffs, I firmly believe they need to reconfigure the core of this team. While Beltran does have talent, I just don't see him as a winning player. Even after my comments on Sunday night, Beltran let a fly ball drop in between himself and Angel Pagan in the Dodger game. I see him putting up numbers but not making plays to win games. I would take Torii Hunter, Grady Sizemore, Curtis Granderson, and Nate McLouth over Beltran, and use the financial difference to improve the team in other ways. Beltran isn't a $17 million dollar a year player. He just doesn't have the kind of impact for that kind of money.
6 months ago
vivaelpujols
17 comments
0 recs
Jonah Keri talking to his friend about the genius moves of the Mets management team.
Seth: may i offer a pop quiz?me: shootSeth: you are the manager of a baseball teamSeth: this team has blown a 3-2 lead in this game it is the bottom of the 9th down 1 bases loaded 2 out you have a choiceme: OMIR SANTOS!!! (Ed note: At this point I thought Manager Jerry Manuel had blown the game by not pinch-hitting for Santos. Nope. It was MUCH worse than that.)Seth: WHAT THE ****** **** *******?! I can’t evne type i’m so angryme: Who was on the bench? Sheff?Seth: no, no one castillo and delgado both hurtme: Oh Well then…what?Seth: but castro was 2-4 with an rbi and has the added advantage of not being a career minor leaguer with a .650 career MINOR LEAGUE opsme: WAIT They pinch hit Santos for Castro?!Seth: yes. that is exactly what happened.me: Santos a LH batter? (Ed note: Santos is so crappy that even a certified seamhead like me isn’t sure of his handedness.)Seth: nope oh! also! santos was in the bullpen catchingme: COME ON! YOU’RE LYING!Seth: so didn’t even like, run a sprint or take a practice swing. god i wish i were it took 3 min to do the substitution because he had to take his gear off and run in from the outfield i don’t think i even could make this upSeth: if i’m ramon castro right now, i’m the angriest person everSeth: 650 CAREER MINOR LEAGUE OPS! he hits one grand slam and all of a sudden he’s carlton fucking fisk. i almost always a) have patience with managers and b) give them the benefit of the doubt. jerry manuel should be fired. today. i am actually eating the stressball in my office. i think i need a doughnut.
6 months ago
philkid3
0 comments
0 recs
Question: More fun with BINOMDIST
Okay... this is probably easier than I think and I just suck at math, or I'm so bad at math that it's a lot more complicated than I think it should be... Basically, I'm trying to figure out how using something relatively straightforward in Excel like BINOMDIST, how, given a player's wOBA, we can figure out, over a certain number of PAs (say, 700), what the player's chances of having a better or worse wOBA than his expected. Actually, I'm trying to do this with respect to wRAA, so that I can figure out the odds of a player "hitting well enough" to play position x, say, 1B (+12.5). The problem of negative numbers might come up... I dunno. Lil' help?



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