2014 Cincinnati Reds Consensus Top 41 Prospects

Robert Stephenson is the Reds' top prospect - Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

What is the consensus ranking for each of the Reds' top prospects?

Where no counsel is, the people fall: but in the multitude of counselors there is safety.

-Proverbs 11:14

Prospect lists are a tricky animal. Every prospect guru has his or her own biases, favorite prospects, sources, and philosophy, leading to quite a variety in the placement of specific players on his or her list. I like making lists and I like prospects, but I'm no scout and I have no inside connections, so my list wouldn't hold any particular weight. Instead of spending loads of time ranking the players with my own biases, I decided a few years ago to instead assemble a consensus list for each team. You can view all of the previous lists here. Hopefully this will bring safety from a multitude of counselors.

How do I do this? Each time a prospect appears on a list, he gets a number of points (31 minus his ranking). The prospect with the largest amount of points is ranked first.

This year, I made a few changes to the list. First off, I included as many lists as I could possibly find. This includes list from team-specific sites, not just from sites that post a list for every team. Second, I created a separate list for fantasy rankings. Fantasy baseball sites rank their prospects with a different flavor and so there are two rankings: one for real baseball and one for fantasy.

David Holmberg was traded to the team during the off-season. I gave him a rank of 7 on the lists that missed him.

You can also view the 2013 Cincinnati Reds top prospect list.

Sources

Regular Lists

Baseball America

Baseball Prospectus

Big Baby Bruce

Bleacher Report

Fangraphs

Grading on the Curve

Keith Law (ESPN)

ManBearPig

Minor League Ball (John Sickels)

MLB Draft Insider

MLB Prospect Portal

Prospect Digest

Rant

Red Reporter Community

Reds Minor Leagues

Top Prospect Alert

Uncle Weez

Fantasy Lists

Dynasty Sports Empire

Fake Teams

Prospect 361

Razzball

The List

The "Change" column describes how the prospect’s status changed from 2013. A positive number means the prospect moved up in the list, while a negative number means he moved down.

Here is a spreadsheet that contains all of the 2014 Cincinnati Reds top prospect rankings in one place. I have removed Keith Law's as his lists require a subscription, though his list is included in the final tally.

Rank FRank Player Total FTo Change
1 1 Robert Stephenson 424 75 1
2 2 Billy Hamilton 408 72 -1
3 3 Phil Ervin 389 69 1st Round
4 4 Jesse Winker 372 66 2
5 5 Yorman Rodriguez 328 61 9
6 7 David Holmberg 266 58 Dbacks, Heath Bell trade
7 10 Ben Lively 265 35 4th Round
8 9 Michael Lorenzen 264 37 1st Round
9 6 Nick Travieso 259 59 -4
10 8 Carlos Contreras 207 38 Unranked last year
11 11 Daniel Corcino 140 34 -7
12 NA Jon Moscot 138 16
13 NA Tucker Barnhart 122 12
14 NA Jose Ortiz 71 Unranked last year
14 NA Ismael Guillon 71 -6
16 NA Chad Rogers 57 Unranked last year
17 13 Amir Garrett 52 16 11
18 NA Seth Mejias-Brean 50 3
19 13 Jeremy Kivel 49 16 8
20 NA Kevin Franklin 35 2nd Round
21 NA Jackson Stephens 29 Unranked last year
21 NA Ryan Wright 29 -5
23 NA Aristides Aquino 20 Unranked last year
24 12 Tanner Rahier 19 17 -13
24 NA Junior Arias 19 Unranked last year
26 NA Friar Tucker 18 Unranked last year
27 NA Kyle Waldrop 17 -8
27 NA Henry Rodriguez 17 -15
29 NA Sean Buckley 16 -8
30 NA Cory Thompson 10 5th Round
31 NA Mark Armstrong 8 3rd Round
32 NA Drew Cisco 7 -11
32 NA Kevin Garcia 7 Unranked last year
32 NA Gabriel Rosa 7 -1
35 NA Zack Weiss 6 6th Round
35 NA Tyler Mahle 6 7th Round
37 NA Rydel Medina 4 Dominican IFA
38 NA Juan Silva 3 Unranked last year
38 NA Ryan LaMarre 3 -21
38 NA Neftali Soto 3 -20
41 NA Sal Romano 2 -17

2013 prospects not on 2014 list

Graduated:

Tony Cingrani, #3
J.J. Hoover, #10
Donald Lutz, #20

Released:

Kyle Lotzkar, #9

Dropped Off:

Dan Langfield, #7
Jonathan Reynoso, #13
Jeff Gelalich, #15
David Vidal, #25
Pedro DIaz, #28
Juan Duran, #32

Visual Representation

Here is a chart of the Reds' top prospects. The error bars represent the minimum and maximum ranking for each prospect.

Reds2014prospects

It appears that clicking the above graphic makes it slightly larger

. . .

Chris St. John is a writer at Beyond The Box Score. You can follow him on Twitter at @stealofhome.

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