2014 Tampa Bay Rays Consensus Top 41 Prospects

That smell is being the Rays top prospect and Jake Odorizzi dealt it - J. Meric

What is the consensus ranking for each of the Rays' top prospects?

Where no counsel is, the people fall: but in the multitude of counselors there is safety.

-Proverbs 11:14

Prospect lists are a tricky animal. Every prospect guru has his or her own biases, favorite prospects, sources, and philosophy, leading to quite a variety in the placement of specific players on his or her list. I like making lists and I like prospects, but I'm no scout and I have no inside connections, so my list wouldn't hold any particular weight. Instead of spending loads of time ranking the players with my own biases, I decided a few years ago to instead assemble a consensus list for each team. You can view all of the previous lists here. Hopefully this will bring safety from a multitude of counselors.

How do I do this? Each time a prospect appears on a list, he gets a number of points (21 minus his ranking). The prospect with the largest amount of points is ranked first.

This year, I made a few changes to the list. First off, I included as many lists as I could possibly find. This includes list from team-specific sites, not just from sites that post a list for every team. Second, I created a separate list for fantasy rankings. Fantasy baseball sites rank their prospects with a different flavor and so there are two rankings: one for real baseball and one for fantasy.

A whole slew of lists came out before the Rays traded for Nate Karns, Matt Andriese, and Curt Casali. In Karns' case, I gave him an eight ranking for the lists that missed him. For Andriese, I gave a 13 ranking for him in only the lists that missed him that also go to 15. I did nothing with Casali's ranking as he wasn't even ranked on every list where he was eligible.

You can also view the 2013 Tampa Bay Rays top prospect list.

Sources

Regular Lists

Baseball America

Baseball Prospectus

Bleacher Report

DRays Bay Community

DRays Bay Danny

DRays Bay Ian

DRays Bay Michael

DRays Bay Scott

Fangraphs

Grading on the Curve

Keith Law (ESPN)

MLB.com

MLB Draft Insider

MLB Prospect Portal

Prospect Digest

Rant

Top Prospect Alert

Fantasy Lists

Baseball HQ

Dynasty Sports Empire

Fake Teams

Prospect 361

Razzball

The List

The "Change" column describes how the prospect’s status changed from 2013. A positive number means the prospect moved up in the list, while a negative number means he moved down.

Here is a spreadsheet that contains all of the 2014 Tampa Bay Rays top prospect rankings in one place. I have removed Keith Law's as his lists require a subscription, though his list is included in the final tally.

Rank FRank Player Total FTo Change
1 2 Jake Odorizzi 461 136 3
2 1 Taylor Guerrieri 452 148 0
3 3 Hak-Ju Lee 443 134 2
4 4 Enny Romero 434 131 6
5 9 Alex Colome 422 81 2
6 7 Nick Ciuffo 371 100 1st Round
7 6 Nate Karns 367 115 Nationals, Jose Lobaton
8 10 Andrew Toles 331 78 Unranked last year
9 8 Ryne Stanek 311 99 1st Round
10 12 Ryan Brett 288 49 17
11 15 Kevin Kiermaier 285 21 31st Round
12 11 Blake Snell 199 69 -4
13 16 Matt Andriese 186 18 Padres, Logan Forsythe
14 NA Tim Beckham 167 -1
15 5 Richie Shaffer 159 117 -9
16 14 Oscar Hernandez 149 42 4
17 16 Jose Mujica 139 18 Unranked last year
18 NA Riley Unroe 127 2nd Round
19 NA Curt Casali 109 Tigers, Kyle Lobstein
20 NA Jake Hager 100 -4
21 NA Jeffrey Ames 85 -6
22 NA C.J. Riefenhauser 73 Unranked last year
23 NA Jose Castillo 70 -2
24 NA Josh Sale 54 -1
25 NA Grayson Garvin 46 Unranked last year
26 NA Brandon Guyer 42 Unranked last year
27 NA Mikie Mahtook 39 -16
28 NA Justin O'Conner 36 Unranked last year
29 NA Dylan Floro 34 Unranked last year
30 NA Tyler Goeddel 32 -13
31 NA Cristian Toribio 13 Unranked last year
32 13 Mike Montgomery 12 45 -18
33 NA Jacob Faria 10 Unranked last year
34 NA Thomas Milone 7 Unranked last year
35 NA David Rodriguez 6 Unranked last year
36 NA Kirby Yates 4 Unranked last year
37 NA Joey Rickard 3 Unranked last year
37 NA Kean Wong 3 4th Round
39 NA Luke Maile 2 Unranked last year
39 NA Steve Geltz 2 Unranked last year
41 NA Andres Gonzalez 1 Unranked last year

2013 prospects not on 2014 list

Graduated:

Wil Myers, #1
Chris Archer, #3
Alex Torres, #18

Traded:

Drew Vettleson, #9 - To the Nationals in the Nate Karns trade
Felipe Rivero, #12 - To the Nationals in the Nate Karns trade
Derek DIetrich, #19 - To the Marlins for Yunel Escobar
Todd Glaesmann, #21 - To the Diamondbacks in the Heath Bell trade
Jesse Hahn, #26 - To the Padres in the Logan Forsythe trade

Dropped Off:

Parker Markel, #24
Brandon Martin, #25
Patrick Leonard, #27

Visual Representation

Here is a chart of the Rays' top prospects. The error bars represent the minimum and maximum ranking for each prospect.

Raysprospects2014

It appears that clicking the above graphic makes it slightly larger

. . .

Chris St. John is a writer at Beyond The Box Score. You can follow him on Twitter at @stealofhome.

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