Midseason Prospect Update: Non Top 190 Hitters

Corey Dickerson leads all qualifying non prospects in age-adjusted minor league hitting this season. - Patrick McDermott

Which players who did not appear on prospect lists have performed well in the minor leagues this season?

Prospects Not on Preseason List

Previously, I looked at how pre-season prospects have been performing this season, but what about players who weren't on any prospect lists? I have listed the top five qualified hitters in each league by age and league adjusted wOBA (raw numbers from Minor League Central), removing hitters with poor walk and strikeout rates. The bust and productive percentage columns are what I have found from my prospect research. That research looked at only top 100 players, so it may not be perfectly correlated to the chances of these (for now) non prospects. Finally, since we are supposed to be trying to find new prospects, I removed all players older than the league average and older than 25 in AAA.

Single-A

Midwest League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Chris Bostick Athletics 2B 20.25 0.429 51% 26% 44th - 2011
Travis Harrison Twins 3B 20.67 0.425 51% 26% 1st - 2011
Jorge Polanco Twins 2B/SS 19.92 0.411 47% 20% IFA - 2009, DR
Rock Shoulders Cubs 1B/OF 21.75 0.389 50% 33% 25th - 2011
Mallex Smith Padres OF 20.08 0.388 30% 35% 5th - 2012

Bostick ranked 11th on the preseason consensus A's list. Mark Anderson had this to say about him: "At the plate, Bostick has the potential for average power if he can develop a consistent trigger and swing plane, allowing him to make more consistent hard contact."

Shoulders' first name is actually Roderick, but he goes by Rock. I would prefer that too.

More Twins show up performing well, after Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton lead the prospect list in good hitting performance.

None of these players have been promoted yet.

South Atlantic League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Rosell Herrera Rockies SS 20.67 0.467 30% 35% IFA - 2009, DR
Mookie Betts Red Sox 2B 20.67 0.445 30% 35% 5th - 2011
Stetson Allie Pirates 1B 22.25 0.434 50% 33% 2nd - 2010
Gregory Bird Yankees 1B 20.58 0.418 51% 26% 5th - 2011
Josh Elander Braves OF 22.25 0.404 60% 19% 6th - 2012

Herrera was tied for 17th on the preseason consensus Rockies list, only ranked by two outlets. Jonathan Mayo on Herrera: "Herrera is a young switch-hitter who’s shown some ability to hit for average and some power from both sides of the plate."

Allie was promoted to High-A on June 21st. He started his professional career as a pitcher, but had a 29/37 K/BB ratio in 147 batters faced. The switch is looking good for him so far.

Elander was recently promoted to High-A Lynchburg.

High-A

California League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Chris Taylor Mariners 2B/SS 22.83 0.421 51% 26% 5th - 2011
Ryan Casteel Rockies C 22 0.409 60% 19% 17th - 2010
Max Muncy Athletics 1B 22.83 0.404 30% 35% 5th - 2012
Preston Tucker Astros OF 22.92 0.399 47% 20% 7th - 2012
Cory Spangenberg Padres 2B 22.25 0.382 60% 19% 1st - 2011

Another league leader named Chris, how about that? Taylor, owner of the world's greatest first name, was not ranked on the Mariners pre-season consensus list. He was promoted to AA Jackson on June 19th.

Spangengberg was picked 10th overall and ranked 100th on the 2012 consensus list, so he is no stranger to being a top prospect and this year is helping his cause to return to that status. He was promoted to AA on June 7th. Tucker started play in AA on June 26th.

Carolina League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Kyle Kubitza Braves 3B 22.92 0.406 50% 33% 3rd - 2011
Tyler Naquin Indians OF 22.17 0.400 60% 19% 1st - 2012
Henry Ramos Red Sox OF 21.17 0.391 30% 35% 5th - 2010
Michael Taylor Nationals OF 22.25 0.385 60% 19% 6th - 2009
Justin Trapp Royals 2B 22.67 0.362 60% 19% 34th - 2009

Kubitza ranked 23rd on the Braves pre-season consensus list, appearing only on two relatively unknown sites Baseball Instinct and MLB Prospect Portal.

None of these five have been promoted yet.

Florida State League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Kennys Vargas Twins 1B 22.83 0.440 51% 26% IFA - PR
Andy Burns Blue Jays 3B/SS 22.83 0.434 47% 20% 11th - 2011
Robert Refsnyder Yankees 2B 22.25 0.434 30% 35% 5th - 2012
Aaron Altherr Phillies OF 22.42 0.428 50% 33% 9th - 2009
Dustin Geiger Cubs 1B/3B 21.5 0.403 47% 20% 24th - 2010

I'm not sure who Kenny is and what his Vargas does, but it must help his batting prowess. Vargas was not ranked on the Twins consensus rankings.

Burns was promoted to AA on June 21st. Refsnyder started the season in the sally league but was quickly promoted after 62 PAs.

Double-A

Eastern League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Josmil Pinto Twins C 24.25 0.433 30% 35% IFA - VE
Andrew Susac Giants C/1B 23.25 0.417 51% 26% 2nd - 2011
Daniel Fields Tigers OF 22.42 0.411 51% 26% 6th - 2009
Michael Almanzar Red Sox 1B/3B 22.5 0.409 47% 20% IFA - DR
Ramon Flores Yankees OF 21.25 0.403 30% 35% IFA - VE

I'm sick of writing about Twins prospects performing well in the minor leagues! Pinto did not appear on the organizational rankings either.

None of these players have been promoted yet.

Southern League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Arismendy Alcantara Cubs 2B/SS 21.67 0.420 51% 26% IFA - DR
Marcus Semien White Sox 2B/3B/SS 22.75 0.410 30% 35% 6th - 2011
Kevin Kiermaier Rays OF 23.17 0.407 47% 20% 31st - 2010
Ronald Torreyes Cubs 2B 20.75 0.399 47% 20% IFA - VE
Andy Wilkins White Sox 1B 24.75 0.388 51% 26% 5th - 2010

Alcantara certainly has the most fun to say name of the league leaders. He showed up at number 14 on the Cubs preseason prospect list. Keith Law calls him "a plus runner and thrower who might end up at third but shows pop from both sides of the plate."

Wilkins was promoted to AAA on June 24th and has three extra-base hits in seven games.

Texas League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Reymond Fuentes Padres OF 22.33 0.454 30% 35% 1st - 2009
Domingo Santana Astros OF 20.83 0.453 50% 33% IFA - DR
Randal Grichuk Angels OF 21.83 0.430 47% 20% 1st - 2009
Taylor Lindsey Angels 2B 21.5 0.417 30% 35% 1st - 2010
Cristhian Adames Rockies 2B/SS 21.92 0.363 30% 35% IFA - DR

Fuentes, rumored to be a part of a possible Matt Garza to the Padres deal, just barely snuck onto the Padres preseasons consensus list tied for 27th. However he did rank 14th on the 2012 list. Mark Smith wrote this: "Offensively, he can hit with improving plate discipline, but he likely won’t hit for much power. That being said, you can see him filling out and adding power, and if he can eliminate a slight bat wrap at the beginning of his swing, he should have the bat speed to hit a few more dingers."

None of these players have been promoted yet this season.

Triple-A

International League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
L.J. Hoes Orioles OF 23.25 0.453 30% 35% 3rd - 2008
Cesar Hernandez Phillies 2B/SS 23.08 0.448 30% 35% IFA - VE
Cody Asche Phillies 3B 23 0.426 60% 19% 4th - 2011
Zoilo Almonte Yankees OF 24 0.423 30% 35% IFA - DR
Todd Cunningham Braves OF 24.25 0.415 30% 35% 2nd - 2010

Hoes ranked 6th on the Orioles preseason prospect list, appearing in the top 10 of all source lists. Baseball America gave Hoes the title of Best Hitter for Average and Best Strike Zone Discipline in the organization.

Hernandez made his major league debut on May 29th, appearing in nine games, but was sent back to AAA. Almonte is still currently in the big leauges, tearing it up with a 0.357 wOBA in 37 PAs.

Pacific Coast League

Name Organization Position Age Adj wOBA Bust% Prod% Round Drafted
Corey Dickerson Rockies OF 24.08 0.502 47% 20% 8th - 2010
Jaff Decker Padres OF 23.33 0.407 51% 26% 1st - 2008
Jonathan Galvez Padres 2B/3B/OF 22.42 0.390 60% 19% IFA - DR
Ryan Wheeler Rockies 1B/3B/OF 24.92 0.383 60% 19% 5th - 2009
Engel Beltre Rangers OF 23.58 0.378 47% 20% IFA - DR

Dickerson was promoted to Colorado, but may not get enough playing time to settle in. If he does, he could perform extremely well, since he has hit at every level. He was ranked 16th on the Rockies prospect list. John Sickels gave him a ringing endorsement: "At some point people just have to admit that the guy can hit, mediocre tools and middling glove aside. May not be a big batting average guy, but the power is real in my view." He has only played in six major league games and has yet to hit a home run, but does have four doubles and a 0.357 wOBA.

Decker has appeared on prospect lists before, but has always had a problem being aggressive enough. True to form, he walked in his first major league PA.

Wheeler has 128 career major league PAs, nine of which have come this year.

Beltre was recently promoted (I was at his final AAA game!). He has four singles in four games.

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