Tuesday's Saber-Links

Here's Tuesday's edition of Saber-Links:

Rob Neyer of Baseball Nation points out Mark Teixiera's startling decline: Parsing Mark Teixeira's Intentions - Baseball Nation

In 2010, his OPS+ dropped from 141 to 124. Then from 124 to 120. And this year, from 120 to 115. Teixeira's decline has been more more precipitous and more consistent than we might have expected. But he has declined, and it doesn't seem to have much to do with his intentions regarding infield shifts... Teixeira entered 2010 with a .290 career batting average. But in these last three seasons, his batting averages have been .256, .248 and .256. Whether because of the shifts or not, this just seems to be the hitter Teixeira has become

Bradley Woodrum of FanGraphs makes an interesting argument for a contending team to have an interest in the services of one, Daisuke Matsuzaka: Daisuke Matsuzaka on Waivers: A Worthy Gamble | FanGraphs Baseball

BUT: Despite having TJ surgery last May, despite hitting the DL with a back strain last month and despite being less than a month away from his 32nd birthday, Matsuzaka has a career-low walk rate and his best strikeout rate since 2008. And he could be a worthy gamble for a team in contention.

Geoff Young of Baseball Prospectus takes a look at the connections between James Loney, Adrian Gonzalez and Casey Kotchman, and how Kotchman used to be regarded higher than all of them: Baseball Prospectus | Western Front: When Loney was Better than Gonzalez, and Kotchman was Better than Both

Gonzalez and Loney plummeted due to concerns about power. Gonzalez fell to eighth on the Rangers list, and his comp went from Grace to Doug Mientkiewicz. And we are reminded again that although comps can be useful as rough points of reference, there is a certain danger in relying on them too much

And finally, in maybe the most interesting look at sabermetrics (not, baseball) all season, Patriot publishes an article that he wrote a year ago (if I'm not mistake), about the three generations of sabermetrics. The quote I selected isn't the main argument, or I guess premise, of this piece, but something that anyone new to the study (or has a newfound interest in) of sabermetrics should take to heart: Walk Like a Sabermetrician: Sabermetric Generations

A specific example of the kind of thing I'm talking about is the notion that any pitching statistic like ERA that does not incorporate DIPS principles is worthless, and that only FIP or tRA or a similar metric is appropriate. The problem is not with the truth that ERA has a lot of biases which have often been overlooked, or that FIP is a better predictor of future performance. The problem comes when a relatively good measure like ERA (and one that measures actual runs allowed, which are unquestionably important if not wholly attributable to the pitcher) is thrown in the dustbin as if it is no more useful or telling than Batting Average or raw RBI count, and that anyone who even considers it is classified as a dinosaur.

The rest of the article is very interesting, and I suggest anyone with interest in sabermetrics should read it.

Saber-Links will return tomorrow at noon.

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