FanPost

All-Star Rating?

I created a post earlier on my favorite team's blog, Talking Chop. I talked about just where the Braves were in WAR, the importance of their improvement in the outfield, and just how good we were in the outfield, in terms of offensive value. When it was all published and finished, I saw a comment from a highly-trusted member in terms of statistics and sabermetrics as a whole:

All-Star game is a freaking joke. It’s not a measure of the best players in the game by any means. Chipper, once in the HOF, will be one of the least-often-All-Stars in the Hall, yet I don’t know any real baseball mind who can say that Chipper wasn’t one of the true elite of his career.

By the time I made that post, I had known that there was no real way that the All-Star game rewards players who have excelled, example above. That got me to think more, shouldn't there be a sabermetric stat that judges whether or not a player should be put on the All-Star roster? It made sense, and would have solved the puzzling nature of the All-Star game. I thought more about it, and I went to FanGraphs to try to draw something up:

By the way, this is just for position players (all outfield positions I treated the same, an error I found). This is all just a rough idea and draft, and I wanted to get the opinion of Beyond the Box Score for this. This is a rough idea of a formula for those with at least 3 years of experience:

(WAR x 0.5) + (wRC+ x .03) + (DRS x 0.2)

The end result should equal at least 45 for an All-Star spot. Like I said, this is all just a rough idea. I'm not very handy on sabermetrics, but I do know about the basic offensive ones, like wRC+ was a good one to use because it is park-adjusted. WAR obviously should be in there, and DRS in my opinion is more reliable than UZR. The weights are as follows: WAR is 50%, wRC+ is 30%, and DRS is 20%. For catchers, replace DRS with Catcher Defense. I did some examples for players:

Josh Hamilton: 1.7 + 62.1 + 1 = 64.8 > 45 --All-Star--

Melky Cabrera: 1.2 + 50.4 + 0.2 = 51.8 > 45 --All-Star--

Michael Bourn: 1.4 + 36 + 2 = 39.4 < 45

Martin Prado: 1.45 + 45.3 + 1.2 = 47.95 > 45 --All-Star-- (Only DRS for Left Field, not 3B)

Jason Heyward: 0.7 + 31.5 + 1 = 33.2 < 45

Starlin Castro: 0.85 + 31.8 + 1.8 = 34.45 < 45

I'd like to know your opinion on this.

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