A Graphic Look at the Window to Win: Kansas City Royals


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Just in time for prospect season, we take a look at the idea of "windows" and a team's prime time to win. Inspired by what seems to be a once every three years rebuild for the Oakland Athletics, is there going to be a time where all their premier prospects hit and they'll have the best chance to win? Here we present the pleasures of trying to maximize production during one's service time.

Sixth in the series, we look at the Kansas City Royals. Ranked 6th overall by John Sickels, they have 1 A-rated prospect in OF Wil Meyers, and a whopping 12 B-rated prospects. Looking at last years list from Sickels, it must be exciting to see two A-rated prospects in Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas producing early. Hosmer looked pretty dialed in last season, even outperforming Moustakas (Hosmer: wRC+ 114, Moustakas: wRC+ 85), but while two of their best prospects graduated from their systems, they remain pretty well stocked.

With their young studs, is their window open right now?

Their top prospect Myers will be ready as soon as late 2012 and could be fighting for Jeff Francoeur's RF spot very soon. In the most recent top 100 list from MLB.com, Myers was 19th. Here's what they said about his ceiling:

A good right-field prototype with a plus arm and the kind of bat that will be a major run producer in the middle of a lineup.

The top pitcher in their system, RHP Jake Odorizzi could come up in 2013 as a 2nd or 3rd starter, depending on what happens to Jonathan Sanchez or Bruce Chen this season. Considering the majority their prospects are pitchers, this rotation can possibly change quite a bit starting in 2013. Here's what the Royals are looking for their lineup starting the season:

*New acquisition, Current roster info from MLB Depth Charts

Starting Lineup
1 LF Alex Gordon
2 2B Johnny Giavotella
3 1B Eric Hosmer
4 DH Billy Butler
5 3B Mike Moustakas
6 RF Jeff Francoeur
7 C Salvador Perez
8 CF Lorenzo Cain
9 SS Alcides Escobar

Bench
C Brayan Peña
IF Yuniesky Betancourt*
IF Chris Getz
OF Mitch Maier

Starting Rotation
1 RHP Luke Hochevar
2 LHP Jonathan Sanchez*
3 LHP Bruce Chen
4 RHP Aaron Crow
5 RHP Felipe Paulino

Bullpen
CL RHP Joakim Soria
SU RHP Jonathan Broxton*
SU RHP Greg Holland
MID LHP Tim Collins
MID RHP Louis Coleman
MID LHP Jose Mijares*
LR LHP Everett Teaford

Improving steadily by 4 wins last year, the arrivals of Hosmer and Moustakas is definitely promising, and exciting staples of their corner infield spots for years to come. Clay Davenport has them at 73 wins, a 2 win improvement, while the new MARCEL projections have them at 79. I believe they can get 79. With these projections in mind, and the arrivals of Myers and Odorizzi late this year or in 2013, looks like their window is starting to open in 2013.

See the previous graphics in this series: Mariners | Athletics | Astros | Cubs | Pirates

Check out FUNGraphs.info or follow me @cobradave for more.

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