Beyond the Box Score Power Rankings: Week 25

The Red Sox are barely holding off the Rays in the AL Wild Card race, but 7 games versus the Orioles (instead of versus the Yankees and Blue Jays, like Tampa Bay) gives them an edge above and beyond their 2 game lead.

Just as a reminder: some of the things that go into these rankings include runs scored and allowed, run distributions, wOBA, wRC, FIP, xFIP, DRS, UZR, etc., Base Runs, BABIP and HR/FB% adjustments, and our guts.

Rank Team Wins Losses Comments
1 Yankees 91 60 It's no longer the 20% it was earlier in the season, but the Yankees 14.6% HR/FB ratio is easily the highest in the majors.
2 Phillies 98 53 Raul Ibanez's 19 home runs are second most for the team this year, but he's got just a .309 wOBA overall (and -1.2 fWAR).
3 Red Sox 87 65 It only took 9 games, but Tim Wakefield finally picked up career win number 200 - the 2nd oldest pitcher to ever get there.
4 Rangers 88 65 Ian Kinsler has a .239 BABIP, but still deserves some MVP votes given that he's 5th in the AL with 6.6 position player fWAR.
5 Brewers 90 63 Yovani Gallardo has been on a roll the last month, with a 13 K/9 and a 2.10 xFIP - but also 2.4 HR/9 bringing his ERA up to 3.82.
6 Tigers 89 64 If Jose Valverde saves every one of Detroit's remaining games, he'll tie Eric Gagne for the most saves in a season with 0 blown.
7 Rays 85 67 Johnny Damon's 7.4% walk rate would be the lowest he's had in a season since 1996. Same with the 1.1 fWAR.
8 Cardinals 83 69 Yadier Molina has doubled his usual home run production (13), while also walking less frequently than in any season of his career.
9 Diamondbacks 88 65 Joe Saunders has a 1.6 K/BB ratio in 199 IP this year - the lowest mark for anyone who's tossed that many innings this year.
10 Angels 83 69 27 home runs have helped make Mark Trumbo the most productive hitter in the majors (107 wRC+) with a sub .300 OBP.
11 Braves 87 66 Atlanta is just 22nd in the majors with a .307 wOBA, and they have only 3 players with at least 200 PA that are over even .330.
12 Dodgers 76 76 Over the last month, Clayton Kershaw is 4-0 with a 0.77 ERA, a 1.42 FIP (best in the majors), and a 2.45 xFIP.
13 White Sox 74 78 Including the minors, Brent Lillibridge had 14 home runs in 1,190 PA from '08-10. He has 13 homers in just 216 PA this year.
14 Giants 83 70 Aubrey Huff is no longer last on the team in fWAR! That distinction now belongs to Orlando Cabrera (-0.7 in only 37 games).
15 Blue Jays 77 75 Brett Lawrie has played in only 41 games, but a .420 wOBA has him third on the team in position player fWAR at 2.5.
16 Mets 73 80 After a break-out season last year (112 wRC+, +15 UZR, 5.4 fWAR), Angel Pagan isn't doing so well in '11 (98 wRC+, -13 UZR, 0.9 fWAR).
17 Reds 74 79 With 44 home runs allowed already, Bronson Arroyo has a chance at the all-time record (he's given up 3+ HR in a game 6 times).
18 Rockies 70 82 Dexter Fowler has hit 5 home runs this year. All 5 of them have come since August 30th, including 2 in one game against Arizona.
19 Athletics 69 84 The A's gave Scott Sizemore playing time, and he's rewarded them with a fair amount of pop (10 home runs in 84 games, .334 wOBA).
20 Royals 67 87 Billy Butler is the only guy on the team with more than 4 home runs (he has 19) who hasn't stolen at least 10 bases (1).
21 Marlins 69 84 Anibal Sanchez's ERA and FIP are very similar to 2010, but he's dropped his xFIP closer to a full run by upping his K rate by 2 per nine.
22 Indians 75 75 September has been ugly (5.63 ERA, 5.18 FIP, with even a 4.11 xFIP), but Justin Masterson is still 7th in the AL in fWAR with 5.1.
23 Nationals 72 79 Jayson Werth's power looked a tiny bit off with a .200 ISO in April (~.234 previous 3 years). Fair chance that'll be his best month this year.
24 Padres 65 88 Mat Latos this month; 10.3 K/9, 1.3 BB/9 and a 2.41 xFIP. Since April  when his FIP was 5.23, it's been a much more 2010-like 3.07.
25 Cubs 67 86 Randy Wells, coming off of back-to-back 3+ win seasons, has regressed to a 4.93 ERA, 5.04 FIP, 4.36 xFIP, and only 0.2 fWAR.
26 Orioles 62 89 Nick Markakis' SLG is back below .400, and it looks like he'll fail to get to 43+ doubles for the first time since 2006.
27 Mariners 63 89 Their .284 wOBA would be the worst for a team since the 1981 Jays (.281), but at least the M's are beating them in fWAR (6.1 to 0.5).
28 Astros 52 100 They've lost 100 games for the first time in franchise history, and a bad last 10 gm. could leave them with the worst run differential too.
29 Pirates 68 85 James McDonald is the team's only starter (min. 40 IP) striking out more than 5.8 batters per nine - he's way up at 7.5 K/9.
30 Twins 59 92 The Twins have never lost 100 games, and need to go 4-7 to keep it that way. They're only 1-14 in their last 15 games though.
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