Beyond the Box Score Power Rankings: Week 17

No AL Central teams in the top 15 now. Who know who'll pull that one out at the end?

Just as a reminder: some of the things that go into these rankings include runs scored and allowed, run distributions, wOBA, wRC, FIP, xFIP, DRS, UZR, etc., Base Runs, BABIP and HR/FB% adjustments, and our guts.

Rank Team Wins Losses Comments
1 Red Sox 61 37 Seems like Andrew Miller hasn't quite solved his control problems; 6.4 BB/9 (to just 4.7 K/9) since his call-up.
2 Yankees 58 40 Since coming back from the DL, Derek Jeter is hitting .318/.384/.455 (with a .392 BABIP) - up to a .313 wOBA on the season.
3 Phillies 63 36 Domonic Brown has shown some nice plate discipline as a rookie this year (11.9% walk rate, 15.5% K rate).
4 Rangers 58 43 Despite only getting into 59 games, Mike Napoli is already at 2.2 fWAR thanks to 13 home runs in 209 PA.
5 Cardinals 53 47 Yadier Molina's going to mess up his consistency; between 6-8 HR per year from '05-'10, and 7 already this season.
6 Braves 59 42 The contract doesn't like amazing, but Derek Lowe is on pace for his third straight 2.6+ fWAR year as a Brave.
7 Giants 58 43 Madison Bumgarner has upped his strike-out rate to 7.9 K/9 this year, and he's 5th in the NL in fWAR at 3.9.
8 Brewers 54 48 After a solid 2010 campaign (3.4 fWAR), Casey McGehee has fallen off a cliff this year (only 5 HR, -0.7 fWAR).
9 Mets 50 50 Over the last month, Jonathon Niese has a 4.7 K/BB ratio and a 2.52 xFIP (5th best in the majors over that span).
10 Blue Jays 50 51 Since being recalled from Triple-A, Travis Snider is hitting .292 with a .514 SLG. Also, 23 K's to 1 BB in 17 games.
11 Angels 54 47 In their last 15 total games, Dan Haren, Jered Weaver, and Ervin Santana have walked a combined 81/18 K to BB ratio.
12 Diamondbacks 54 47 David Hernandez has done a nice job as closer since JJ Putz got hurt; 0.00 ERA, 0.94 FIP, 1.92 xFIP and 7 for 7 on saves.
13 Rays 52 47 3.17 ERA aside, Jeremy Hellickson hasn't been quite as great as some expected going into the season (4.29 FIP).
14 Reds 49 51 Dontrelle Willis is back in the majors, and getting a bunch of groundballs (57.1% GB rate) - plus a sub 7 walk rate (4.2 BB/9).
15 Rockies 48 53 Derek Jeter fWAR through age 26 season - 24.3. Troy Tulowitzki is on pace for ~25 fWAR through 2011, his age 26 season.
16 Tigers 53 47 Miguel Cabrera has been the AL's second best hitter this year (.417 wOBA) with his .312/.430/.553 line.
17 White Sox 48 51 Over the past month, Juan Pierre is second on the team in slugging percentage (.456), thanks to a .367 BA.
18 Indians 51 47 Josh Tomlin is a flyball pitcher who doesn't miss bats, but he's had success by never walking anyone (ML best 1.07 BB/9).
19 Dodgers 44 56 They're only 9-12 over the last month, but LA starters have - by far - the major's top strike-out rate (8.5 K/9) in that time.
20 Nationals 49 51 All five of the team's top starters have an xFIP between 3.60 (Jordan Zimmermann) and 4.09 (John Lannan).
21 Marlins 48 53 Javier Vazquez has been great over the last month; 2.87 ERA, 2.82 FIP, 3.07 xFIP, and a K/BB ratio of 7.
22 Pirates 51 47 No Pirates' pitcher has lost more games in the last month than Tim Wood's 2, and he only has 1.1 IP.
23 Athletics 44 56 If the A's trade Josh Willingham, their top remaining hitter with at least 200 PA will be Coco Crisp (.270/.319/.389, .318 wOBA).
24 Royals 42 58 If I'm KC, I'm trying to cash in on Melky Cabrera's .295/.332/.454 season if a team wants to give up something for him.
25 Padres 44 57 Alberto Gonzalez had a .301 wOBA in 2008, and things have only gotten worse since then; .284, .258, and now .227 this year.
26 Mariners 43 57 Brendan Ryan has 2 home runs and is batting .264. He easily leads the team in position player fWAR at 2.2.
27 Twins 47 53 Scott Baker missed a couple weeks and Glen Perkins is a reliever; they're 1-2 in pitcher fWAR for MIN over the last month.
28 Cubs 41 60 Kosuke Fukudome has one of the major's top walk rates at 13.6%, but poor defense and little power has him at just 0.1 fWAR.
29 Orioles 40 57 Felix Pie once had some promise and still has some tools, but he's been one of the worst player in baseball in '11 (-1.7 fWAR).
30 Astros 33 67 5'6" Jose Altuve was called up last week, and has one single (and that's it) in each game he's played.
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