Beyond the Box Score Power Rankings: Week 16

The first four teams are pretty firmly ensconced at the top of the rankings.

Just as a reminder: some of the things that go into these rankings include runs scored and allowed, run distributions, wOBA, wRC, FIP, xFIP, DRS, UZR, etc., Base Runs, BABIP and HR/FB% adjustments, and our guts.

Rank Team Wins Losses Comments
1 Red Sox 56 36 Jacoby Ellsbury's line (.310/.370/.493) is being buoyed by a .340 BABIP, but he's also displaying decent power (13 HR).
2 Yankees 54 37 CC Sabathia has been dominant recently - over the last month he's 6-0 with a 1.16 ERA, 1.62 FIP, and 2.09 xFIP.
3 Phillies 58 35 Cliff Lee is the only pitcher in the majors with both a home run and a stolen base; each year since '00 there's been a max of one.
4 Rangers 54 41 Since giving up 5 runs in 0.2 IP on July 2nd, Derek Holland has thrown two straight complete game shutouts.
5 Braves 55 39 Rookie Freddie Freeman (.273/.347/.454) has been the second best hitting Braves regular this year with his .351 wOBA.
6 Cardinals 50 44 Fernando Salas seems to have taken to closing well enough; 17 saves in 20 chances, a 2.56 ERA, and a 4.2 K/BB ratio.
7 Giants 54 41 Pablo Sandoval isn't just having a bounceback season with the bat; he's also posting a career best +11 UZR.
8 Brewers 50 45 Zack Greinke is striking out almost a third of the batters he's faced (30.9%) - the highest mark in the majors (min. 75 IP).
9 Mets 47 46 Led by Carlos Beltran (6th in the NL at 12.9%), the Mets have the best walk rate in the league this season (9.3%).
10 Rays 50 42 BJ Upton is leading the team in both homers (15) and steals (22), but is only 5th amongst position players in fWAR.
11 Angels 51 44 Bobby Abreu passed R. Sandberg and A. Dawson in career fWAR this season. He'll likely go by Bobby Bonds (63.3) too.
12 Blue Jays 47 48 Rajai Davis has the lowest OBP in baseball for a player with more than 10 stolen bases (.261, 25 steals).
13 Diamondbacks 50 44 Arizona is the only team in the majors with three players in double digits in homers and steals (Upton, Roberts, Young).
14 Reds 46 48 A decent offense and one of the majors' best defensive units has the Reds as the top sub .500 team.
15 White Sox 46 48 Edwin Jackson is having himself the best season of his career, showing some improved control (2.8 BB/9).

16 Tigers 49 45 While Rick Porcello has upped his strike totals this year, they're still well below average at 5.3 K/9.
17 Rockies 45 49 How many top prospects is Ubaldo Jimenez (3.42 '11 FIP, making ~$11 M total through 2013) worth?
18 Indians 49 43 Despite striking out quite a bit, Carlos Santana has been on a tear over the last month (.247/.398/.556, 7 HR).
19 Dodgers 42 52 Forget the curve; Clayton Kershaw has had baseball's most valuable slider this year (+18.2 runs).
20 Pirates 48 44 Ronny Cedeno has been out since July 1st, but he's still only 0.7 wins behind Neil Walker (1.9) for the #2 spot on the team in fWAR.
21 Athletics 41 54 The A's have - by far - the lowest ERA in the majors over the last month (2.40). And yet they're only 11-14 in that span.
22 Marlins 45 49 Just 21 years old, Mike Stanton is tied with Albert Pujols for 5th in the NL with 20 home runs this year.
23 Nationals 47 47 Jayson Werth isn't being helped out by his .256 BABIP, but where's the power? Only 10 home runs and a .142 ISO.
24 Royals 38 56 Luke Hochevar is getting a lot of groundballs this year (51%), but his strike-out rate has dried up (4.6 K/9).
25 Mariners 43 51 Since getting to .500, the M's have gone on a 9 game losing streak during which they've scored just 11 runs.
26 Padres 41 54 Cory Luebke has done a nice job since moving into the rotation recently; 1.50 ERA, 2.38 FIP, 2.57 xFIP through 4 starts.
27 Twins 43 49 Justin Morneau is out, Joe Mauer is still sitting on 0 home runs, but the Twins are only a game out of 3rd place in the Central.
28 Cubs 38 57 Sean Marshall has once again been one of the best relievers in baseball this year (1.5 fWAR, 2.38 xFIP).
29 Orioles 37 54 The team's top starter by fWAR, Zach Britton (1.5), has been sent to Double-A. Starter #3, Chris Tillman (0.9 fWAR), is in Triple-A.
30 Astros 31 63 The Astros are on pace to lose about 109 games, which would be the most in a season for a team since Arizona's 111 in 2004.

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