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The Best (And Worst) Hitters At Making Pitchers Work

I often hear announcers discuss certain hitters' abilities to wear pitchers out by extending at-bats. Of course, there's more to wearing a pitcher out than just having long at-bats. The best way to fatigue a pitcher, in fact, is to simply not make outs. What pitcher wouldn't prefer throwing 5 pitches and getting an out to throwing 3 pitches and giving up a hit?

To combine these two ways of wearing down a pitcher, I created the junk stat "Pitcher Fatigue Factor" (PFF), which is based on the number of pitches a batter sees for each out he makes (not each PA). It's scaled like the "plus" stats (OPS+, ERA+, etc.), so 100 is average and each point away from 100 is 1% above/below average.

Here are this season's top 5 and bottom 5 hitters in PFF:

Pitcher-fatigue-factor-july-2011_medium

On average, a pitcher needs nearly twice as many pitches to retire Jose Bautista as he does to retire Yuniesky Betancourt. That sounds about right, doesn't it?

Star-divide

Relatively unheralded players like Kosuke Fukudome and Chris Iannetta have actually been among the most wearying batters for a pitcher to face this season. Both have seen 26% more pitches per out than the league average, the same as Joey Votto.

Those 3 are all a step below Bobby Abreu, though. Abreu may be old and slow now, but he can still work an at-bat and get on base with the best of them. Excepting Jose Bautista, of course; Bautista is in a class all his own, seeing 11% more pitches per out than any other player in baseball.

Unsurprisingly, the bottom 5 is filled with free swingers having down years. Some of these players, like Delmon Young and Vernon Wells, were useful last season despite their tendency to have short at-bats. This year, though, they've made lots of outs and haven't seen many pitches in the process. 

Others, like Betancourt, Orlando Cabrera, and Corey Patterson, have a long history of frustrating their teams' fans with 1- and 2-pitch outs.

Calculating PFF

It's pretty simple, really. First, find out how many pitches the player has seen. Next, figure tally the outs a hitter has made. For my purposes, I didn't count reaches on error as outs, but I did count double-plays as two outs.

From there, just use this handy-dandy formula:

PFF = 100 * (Pitches / Outs) / (LgPitchesPerOut)

This year, the MLB average Pitches/Out figure (LgPitchesPerOut) is 5.5. It's the same for both the NL and the AL, too, so there are no league-based adjustments.

As a side note, a league-average batter will use about 100 pitches to make 18 outs (6 innings' worth). Since 100 is also the average PFF, you can also think of a player's PFF as being the number of pitches that it would take an average pitcher to retire that player 18 times. So a lineup full of Jose Bautistas would require 144 pitches to get through 6 innings, on average.

More Leaders

Here are the rest of the top 15 hitters:

6. Dustin Pedroia, 125 PFF

7. Curtis Granderson, 123 PFF

8. Kevin Youkilis, 123 PFF

9. Andrew McCutchen, 122 PFF

10. Jamey Carroll, 121 PFF

11. Todd Helton, 121 PFF

12. Carlos Santana, 121 PFF

13. Chase Headley, 120 PFF

14. Ryan Braun, 120 PFF

15. Nick Swisher, 120 PFF

And here are the rest of the bottom 15:

6. Alex Rios, 83 PFF

7. Aaron Miles, 84 PFF

8. Vladimir Guerrero, 84 PFF

9. Rajai Davis, 85 PFF

10. Miguel Tejada, 85 PFF

11. Brent Morel, 86 PFF

12. Alex Gonzalez, 86 PFF

13. A.J. Pierzynski, 86 PFF

14. Coco Crisp, 87 PFF

15. Juan Rivera, 87 PFF

If you have questions about any other players, let me know in the comments and I'll try to get to them.

Comment 18 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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Would it be possible to get the actual numbers?

Since the number actually carries meaning, having it is helpful. I’ve always thought that numbers that mean something (like ERA, OBP, pitches/PA, etc.) shouldn’t be normalized because that takes away from the meaning. At least they should be presented in both ways.

by ThePanda on Jul 10, 2011 11:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Sure, I have the Pitches/Out numbers...

But that’s another post. Though I will tell you that Bautista is at 7.9 pitches/out and Betancourt is right at 4.0. MLB average is 5.5.

Normalized numbers are great for two things: comparing relative to average, and comparing across eras. When I created PFF, I had those two factors in mind, so that’s why it’s normalized.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jul 10, 2011 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Could you get the entire Braves starting lineup for me? hehe, just kidding. But the players I would like to see are Brian McCann, Dan Uggla, and Freddie Freeman, and for fun, Jason Heyward.

My dad taught me how to make meat for sloppy joes and my mom let me turn over hot dogs on the grill.

by ChopMaster on Jun 25, 2011 7:25 PM CDT

by justincredubil02 on Jun 28, 2011 9:50 PM EDT reply actions

by ChopMaster on Jul 10, 2011 11:25 AM EDT reply actions  

Here ya go:

McCann: 110
Uggla: 94
Freeman: 111
Heyward: 106

Uggla and Heyward are way, way down from last season, though Heyward is still above average.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jul 10, 2011 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m amazed there are no Cubs in the bottom 15

People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. -- Bruce Bartlett

by berselius on Jul 10, 2011 11:46 AM EDT reply actions  

The funny thing

is that maybe the Cubs’ two most effective hitters are their two worst in terms of PFF. Aramis Ramirez is at 91 and Starlin Castro is at 95. Alfonso Soriano is also at 95.

The Cubs as a team have a 97.6 PFF, which is 3rd-worst in MLB. Only the Blue Jays and White Sox are worse.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jul 10, 2011 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Imagine how bad the Jays would be without Batista.

There She Gooooooes!

by Rugged Rock on Jul 10, 2011 6:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tulo is at 92, which is one of the lower figures of any legitimately effective hitter.

Smoak is at 106. Ackley is at 112, though he only has 73 PA, so take that with a grain of salt.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jul 10, 2011 1:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Bautista.

He does it all nice too see him make a pitcher work before he slays him. TO bad we have corey patterson and Davis to help the pitcher back out though. At least we found a way to get rid of juan rivera

by Jt Malley on Jul 10, 2011 2:41 PM EDT reply actions  

A big part of that is driven by his crazy OBP though.

I’m guessing that for pitches/PA he isn’t at the very top.

by ThePanda on Jul 10, 2011 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not at the very top, but close.

His 4.20 P/PA is t-13th out of the roughly 240 players in this sample. Not making outs is obviously the biggest reason for his being #1 in PFF, though.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jul 11, 2011 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great post

Your posts are always so interesting….Thanks.

by CoachKennyBuford on Jul 10, 2011 2:50 PM EDT reply actions  

How soon does a stat like pitches/PA normalize, though?

The idiot formerly known as pkyankeefan! Now in Technicolour!

by Hasan Paliwala on Jul 10, 2011 8:14 PM EDT reply actions  

How about on a team level?

Where do teams rank?

Writer at Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times
Pitchf/x enthusiast.

by garik16 on Jul 11, 2011 1:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Red Sox are #1 by a mile at 109

Yankees are 2nd at 105, and the Reds are 3rd at 103. Most teams are between 98 and 102.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Jul 11, 2011 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Could you look up a few for me?

Andres Torres, Aaron Rowand, Brandon Crawford, and Pablo Sandoval.

by Julian Levine on Jul 11, 2011 11:03 PM EDT reply actions  

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