Pitches Saved Since 1988, Or Greg Maddux Is A Wizard
Please welcome Jacob Peterson, our newest contributor and sabergraphic artist at Beyond the Box Score. He will generally be posting bad ass charts and graphs related to statistical awesomeness and other sabermetric weirdness. -ed.
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While I am never surprised to see Maddux at the top of any modern-era pitching list, particularly one that relates to pitch efficiency, that is simply a gigantic gap between #1 and #2. To put it in perspective, consider this:
At his current rate of pitches saved, #2 pitch-saver Roy Halladay could throw 250 innings per year for 20 years and still not reach Greg Maddux's career total.
I hope your mind is as boggled as mine was when I did that calculation.
A league-average pitcher generally needs around 145 pitches to get 27 outs. That figure was lower before the steroid era, and a little higher in the late 90's; it's been at around 147 in 2011.
During Greg Maddux's career, the league average was 144.1 pitches per 9 innings, yet Maddux himself averaged only 120.6. For reference, no other pitcher with at least 2000 IP since 1988 has averaged fewer than 130 pitches per 9 innings.
Over the course of the 4821.2 IP Maddux tossed from 1988 onward, that equals a total of around 64,600 pitches. The league average pitcher would have thrown around 77,200 in that many innings, so Maddux was nearly 12,600 pitches below average (about 16%). And that doesn't even include any pitches he may have saved in the 186 innings he threw before 1988.
I watched Maddux pitch every 5 days for 11 seasons, and even I was blown away by those numbers.
Another surprise that I encountered when researching this is the high ranking of various marginal pitchers, like Terry Mulholland, Mike Morgan, and Greg Swindell. While these guys were not pitchers of the same caliber as Maddux or Halladay, they did hang around for a long time. Perhaps one of the reasons they were able to have such long careers was that they were so pitch-efficient.
One final note: from 1988 to 1998, the pitch information for a certain number of plate appearances is missing. This usually amounted to only a small proportion of each pitcher's total (Maddux had 320 missing PA out of 19576 total, or 1.6%). To get around this, I simply pro-rated the pitch totals to account for the missing PA.
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Awesome concept. Welcome!
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You can find my musings at Bullpen Banter and Beyond the Box Score.
+1
Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.
by Satchel Price on May 8, 2011 11:17 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Thanks, guys.
Glad to be a part of such a great team.
"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.
by Jacob Peterson on May 8, 2011 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Statistical Method
When you compared Mad Dog’s pitch count to the league average, was it the league average with Maddox’s removed? Or was Maddox’s pitch count part of the league average? Should be the former.
I disagree with this.
When you normalize stats (like with ERA+) you don’t discount the pitcher’s stats from the rest of the league’s. The stats that Maddux contributes to the league average still provide information about what the true league norm is. You don’t want to discard that.
Blogger and Editor, Rational Pastime Blog. Twitter: @RationalPastime.
Wow,
You read my mind.
"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.
by Jacob Peterson on May 8, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Well, it was the latter,
but it doesn’t really make much difference. Taking him out of the league average adds about 45 pitches to Maddux’s career total and a tenth of a pitch to his per 9 inning average.
Just curious, does anyone know if ERA+ and other similar statistics remove the individual from the league average when computing their % above/below the average? I am under the impression that they do not.
"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.
by Jacob Peterson on May 8, 2011 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah
I watched Mad Dog pitch a lot in the 90s, too. He was amazing. I often wonder if he’s studies by modern pitching coaches enough. For all I know, watching every game he pitches is SOP for them. If not, I cannot imagine why not.
I’m also not suprised that Halladay is #2. I’ve often said that Doc is the modern Maddux, except with a faster fast ball and is somewhat less good generally, which only proves that baseball makes no sense.
"It's not the size of the dog in the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog." - Bear Bryant
Great first post
There was nothing I enjoyed more than watching Maddux throw one of his patented 90-pitch 2-hour complete games. Truly a master.

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