The Most Extreme Pitchers of 2011 (So Far)
No, this isn't about which pitchers drink the most Mountain Dew or which enjoy jet-sail-boarding through the Alaskan wilderness. (Though both of those would make for excellent posts in their own right.) This post discusses four pitchers who have managed to be very successful because of (or in spite of) some extreme rate stats.
Without further ado:
Each small square = 1% of the batters faced by that pitcher. A few more notes after the jump.
This fearsome foursome consists of
- Jonny Venters, ground ball machine
- Craig Kimbrel, preventer of balls in play
- Tony Sipp, fly ball wizard, and
- Daniel McCutchen, pitch-to-contact maestro
Despite these pitchers' contrasting styles, all have done very well this season. One common thread is the low rate of line drives, which no doubt has contributed to all of these pitchers' success. None have a line-drive rate above 10%.
Another commonality is a paucity of home runs. Sipp has allowed 1 homer (out of 36 fly balls), and none of the other three have given up any. This is likely at least partly due to luck and SSS issues, but there is also likely some skill involved.
Venters has had only 3 line drives and 6 fly balls hit off of him, out of 95 batters faced. That's just ridiculous.
Only half of the batters Kimbrel has faced (44/88) have put the ball in play. He's gotten very unlucky on ground balls, as fewer than half of them have been turned into outs; that's why his ERA is so much higher than his FIP.
Sipp has a 16/36 GB/FB ratio; by contrast, Venters' mark is 51/6. In addition, Sipp has a strong 19.4% infield fly rate. Since infield flies are basically automatic outs, that helps him limit the damage on all those fly balls.
McCutchen is striking out only 2.95 batters per 9 innings, but he's still managed to be successful, due at least in part to that 9% line-drive rate. Still, his ERA is unlikely to stay below 1.00 (or even below 2.00) with those peripherals.
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Excellent Post
That Heyward guy is pretty good.
by another simpsons avatar on May 22, 2011 11:56 AM EDT reply actions
holy god these are so cool.
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Oh man.
So I stared at that chart for about ten seconds, wondering what the big deal was, then…BOOM. Whoa. These are awesome.
Who is the extreme for most line drives, in percentage?
I write for Stumptown Footy, SB Nation's Portland Timbers blog.
Venters has the lowest.
After last night, it’s 4.8%.
The highest is Marcos Mateo of the Cubs (5.74 ERA, 4.12 FIP) at 31.9%, but more interesting is that Jonathan Papelbon is second at 30.4%. He has a 2.41 ERA despite that huge LD%, and a FIP of 1.04. I nearly put him on this graphic, but I might have something else in store involving Papelbon for later in the year.
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I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.
by Jacob Peterson on May 22, 2011 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Wow...
Pac… this is insane. Great work and love seeing our young guns up there. :-)
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by bwellnjonesco on May 19, 2011 4:13 PM PDT
Mind-boggled
Those charts are beyond amazing. Creative, descriptive, and easy to read. Just awesome.

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