Beyond the Box Score's Top 100 Prospect Lists

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 8:30 AM EST in Prospect Perspective

We've been preparing for these the past couple weeks, and we're finally ready to present them to the world. Yes, I'm talking about the top-100 prospect lists that Dave and I have been compiling lately, which are presented below. If you have any questions or comments, be sure to leave them in the comments below. Dave and I will be around the site today prepared to answer those questions or discuss anything else regarding the lists, so feel free to chime in at the bottom of the page. We hope you guys enjoy these lists, and they give you something to talk about in the next few days.

RANK	Satchel's Top 100	RANK	Dave's Top 100
1	Bryce Harper	1	Bryce Harper
2	Mike Trout	2	Mike Trout
3	Eric Hosmer	3	Jesus Montero
4	Jesus Montero	4	Julio Teheran
5	Julio Teheran	5	Eric Hosmer
6	Domonic Brown	6	Domonic Brown
7	Wil Myers	7	Jeremy Hellickson
8	Jeremy Hellickson	8	Aroldis Chapman
9	Manny Machado	9	Wil Myers
10	Dustin Ackley	10	Jameson Taillon
11	Manny Banuelos	11	Mike Moustakas
12	Aroldis Chapman	12	Shelby Miller
13	Matt Moore	13	John Lamb
14	Mike Moustakas	14	Manny Machado
15	Zach Britton	15	Matt Moore
16	Brandon Belt	16	Mike Montgomery
17	Shelby Miller	17	Zach Britton
18	Desmond Jennings	18	Dustin Ackley
19	Michael Pineda	19	Desmond Jennings
20	Kyle Drabek	20	Michael Pineda
21	Jacob Turner	21	Freddie Freeman
22	Martin Perez	22	Kyle Drabek
23	Jonathan Singleton	23	Jacob Turner
24	Aaron Hicks	24	Chris Sale
25	Jameson Taillon	25	Brandon Belt
26	Casey Kelly	26	Manny Banuelos
27	Freddie Freeman	27	Lonnie Chisenhall
28	Mike Montgomery	28	Casey Kelly
29	Tyler Matzek	29	Mike Minor
30	Devin Mesoraco	30	Chris Archer
31	Chris Sale	31	Dee Gordon
32	John Lamb	32	Jason Kipnis
33	Lonnie Chisenhall	33	Martin Perez
34	Miguel Sano	34	Gary Sanchez
35	Jarrod Parker	35	Kyle Gibson
36	Chris Archer	36	Jean Segura
37	Gary Sanchez	37	Jordan Lyles
38	Kyle Gibson	38	Tyler Matzek
39	Jose Iglesias	39	Brett Lawrie
40	Jean Segura	40	Aaron Hicks
41	Derek Norris	41	Stetson Allie
42	Jarred Cosart	42	Christian Colon
43	Zack Wheeler	43	Chris Carter
44	Wilin Rosario	44	Jarrod Parker
45	Brett Lawrie	45	Dellin Betances
46	Jennry Mejia	46	Jonathan Singleton
47	Grant Green	47	Travis D’Arnaud
48	Jordan Lyles	48	Brett Jackson
49	Wilmer Flores	49	Miguel Sano
50	Dellin Betances	50	Wilin Rosario
51	Arodys Vizcaino	51	Tony Sanchez
52	Hak-Ju Lee	52	Nick Franklin
53	Drew Pomeranz	53	Jennry Mejia
54	Mike Minor	54	Trey McNutt
55	Dee Gordon	55	Jose Iglesias
56	Randall Delgado	56	Derek Norris
57	Jason Kipnis	57	Grant Green
58	Nick Franklin	58	Alex White
59	Trey McNutt	59	Billy Hamilton
60	Billy Hamilton	60	Drew Pomeranz
61	Jaff Decker	61	Devin Mesoraco
62	Tony Sanchez	62	Randall Delgado
63	Anthony Ranaudo	63	Michael Choice
64	Hank Conger	64	Anthony Gose
65	Matt Dominguez	65	Brody Colvin
66	Carlos Martinez	66	Zack Wheeler
67	Anthony Rizzo	67	Danny Duffy
68	Zach Stewart	68	Yonder Alonso
69	Brody Colvin	69	Jake Odorizzi
70	Simon Castro	70	Anthony Ranaudo
71	Yasmani Grandal	71	Chris Dwyer
72	Travis d'Arnaud	72	Arodys Vizcaino
73	Brett Jackson	73	Zach Lee
74	Yonder Alonso	74	Nick Castellanos
75	Zach Lee	75	Simon Castro
76	Nick Castellanos	76	Jake McGee
77	Ben Revere	77	Jeremy Jeffress
78	Jurickson Profar	78	Anthony Rizzo
79	Tyler Skaggs	79	Wilmer Flores
80	Matt Harvey	80	Deck McGuire
81	Danny Espinosa	81	Cesar Puello
82	Alex White	82	Zack Cox
83	Chris Carter	83	Craig Kimbrel
84	Danny Duffy	84	Jurrickson Profar
85	Zack Cox	85	Nolan Arenado
86	Drake Britton	86	Tyler Skaggs
87	Alexander Torres	87	Christian Yelich
88	Christian Colon	88	Matt Davidson
89	Nolan Arenado	89	Aaron Sanchez
90	Adeiny Hechavarria	90	Aaron Altherr
91	Aaron Sanchez	91	Tanner Scheppers
92	Christian Yelich	92	Matt Dominguez
93	Chris Owings	93	Yasmani Grandal
94	Rubby de la Rosa	94	Matt Harvey
95	Stetson Allie	95	Cheslor Cuthbert
96	Michael Choice	96	Jordan Walden
97	Christian Friedrich	97	Kenley Jansen
98	Matt Davidson	98	Danny Espinosa
99	James Jones	99	Jaff Decker
100	Cesar Puello	100	Andrew Brackman

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Comments

Royals

For the first time in a long time its good to be a Royals fan

by Tano494 on Mar 8, 2011 8:42 AM EST via mobile reply actions

You know who has a really, really underrated system?

The Twins.

"The WAR folks like yunel apparently. i know this, bobby cox hated going to war with this guy." - Jon Heyman

Beyond the Box Score / Capitol Avenue Club / shwitter: @CapitolAvenue

by PWHjort on Mar 8, 2011 8:45 AM EST reply actions

Agreed, it's a sneaky good system

They have some premium guys (Hicks, Gibson, Sano), a good second tier (Revere, Benson, Wimmers, Arcia, Salcedo) and some solid depth as well. Keith Law ranked them as the No. 7 farm system in the game- I think that might be about right.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:04 PM EST up reply actions

Now that I've thought about it, there is one player i'd change.

And that’s bumping Eric Hosmer up to 3. And I’m serious

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 8:58 AM EST reply actions

He's very good

"The WAR folks like yunel apparently. i know this, bobby cox hated going to war with this guy." - Jon Heyman

Beyond the Box Score / Capitol Avenue Club / shwitter: @CapitolAvenue

by PWHjort on Mar 8, 2011 9:02 AM EST up reply actions

I mean, obviously I agree since I have Hosmer at 3

I absolutely love the guy.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:05 PM EST up reply actions

dont even start with me Peter with your Nate McLouth and Rodrigo Lopez for Hosmer trade proposals

joke

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 9:27 AM EST reply actions

done deal

except Kenshin Kawakami is going to the Royals and they’re sending Cheslor Cuthbert back to Atlanta.

"The WAR folks like yunel apparently. i know this, bobby cox hated going to war with this guy." - Jon Heyman

Beyond the Box Score / Capitol Avenue Club / shwitter: @CapitolAvenue

by PWHjort on Mar 8, 2011 9:35 AM EST up reply actions

It has been amazing that Dayton has gone the entire off season and not sign Kevin Millwood.

- .-. ..- … – / – …. . / .—. .-. - .. . … …

by Jeff Zimmerman on Mar 8, 2011 9:38 AM EST up reply actions

Dont even start with that Jeff. Millwood's still a free agent. dont jinx it

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 9:49 AM EST up reply actions

Great work, guys!

On Twitter: @baseballtwit

by adarowski on Mar 8, 2011 9:29 AM EST reply actions

You guys may have covered this in your Yankees list

But why the difference on Banuelos?

by Dan Turkenkopf on Mar 8, 2011 9:36 AM EST reply actions

Personally, I think Banuelos is the entire package

Not sure if Dave is hearing different things about his delivery or his stuff, but I think that he’s going to be great. He turns 20 in five days, but he’s already got three pitches that flash above-average to plus, and his command of his fastball is already strong. I think he’s got pretty much everything you want from a developing young lefty; he’s got more upside than Britton, and I think he’s more likely to reach that upside than Moore or Chapman. Obviously those guys are bunched closely together for me, but the big point is that I put Banuelos in that tier with those guys, while Dave seemingly doesn’t.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:08 PM EST up reply actions

I realize being ranked #6 is pretty high praise, but if you had compiled this list two weeks ago would Dom Brown be ranked higher? If so, did he drop because of his play or his injury? Great lists, and thanks for the hard work that must have gone into compiling them.

by mattjg on Mar 8, 2011 9:45 AM EST reply actions

Cant speak for Satch

But I did these rankings before his hand injury

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 9:50 AM EST up reply actions

Thanks a lot

And like Dave, I had Brown in that spot before the injury. I just worry about the swing, which can get a little long, and his defensive reads are pretty poor. He’s obviously got room to improve and he’ll likely make some adjustments on the go while playing in Philly, but I preferred the five guys I placed in front of him.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions

I mean, I don't see it as a huge difference. He's one of the best in the game

I just think baseball is loaded with good prospects. I could easily have him where you did

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 2:16 PM EST up reply actions

Dave- I had him in the same spot that you did.

Our lists start out pretty similar until you get into Machado, Ackley and Banuelos for me.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:18 PM EST up reply actions

Haha. I meant Banuelos. Guess I should have replied above

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 3:15 PM EST up reply actions

I mean, I would argue that No. 10 vs. No. 26 is a pretty significant difference

Particularly considering that he’s my No. 3 pitching prospect and he’s your No. 14 pitching prospect. That’s massive.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 3:38 PM EST up reply actions

Ehh

Whatever. You say tomato I say potato

Dave Gershman - Beyond the Box Score
Penn League Report / Twitter: @Dave_Gershman

by Dave Gershman on Mar 8, 2011 4:32 PM EST up reply actions

I'm still not sold on Dominic Brown

Don’t have a rational reason for it, admittedly, but something about Brown doesn’t sit right with me as an elite prospect. There are numbers, sure, but I have this feeling he’s the Phillies’ version of F-Mart.

Then again, prospects aren’t my thing.

Writer at Beyond the Box Score and tortured Mets fan (is there any other kind?)

by Bill Petti on Mar 8, 2011 10:22 AM EST reply actions

F-Mart Isn't Nearly As Athletic

And he’s always been overrated. Other than his signing bonus and ARL, there’s been barely anything that has shown he’d be a star.

Long time lurker, new time poster.

by Lionsroar10 on Mar 8, 2011 11:33 AM EST up reply actions

Really not a fair statement, at all.

Bullpen Banter's Top 100 Prospects for 2011!
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by JD Sussman on Mar 8, 2011 12:25 PM EST up reply actions

F-Mart's development hasn't exactly gone as planned

The tools were a lot more impressive three years ago.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:11 PM EST up reply actions

Outstanding work, guys.

See Data Differently: Beyond the Box Score | @justinbopp

by Justin Bopp on Mar 8, 2011 10:31 AM EST reply actions

Very Interesting Lists

The bottom of the lists have a lot of guys that aren’t generally thought of as top 100 guys.Cuthbert, Puello (mostly), Owings, Hechevaria, Altherr, Cuthbert. Not bad lists, just a few things I noticed.

Long time lurker, new time poster.

by Lionsroar10 on Mar 8, 2011 11:32 AM EST reply actions

I think that the 80-100 range is where guys tend to deviate from the norm the most

And so you tend to see the places where one evaluator is particularly high on the guy. I really like Puello, Owings and Hechavarria (sucker for up-the-middle guys, I guess), and there are reasons to buy into Altherr and Cuthbert, although they’re both awfully raw. If you buy into the tools that much, though, there’s no reason why they can’t be on the back-end of these kinds of lists.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:14 PM EST up reply actions

I have some Giants questions

Natch! :^)

To what would the two of you attribute to the big difference between Dave placing Zack Wheeler at #66 and Satchel putting him at #43? To me, I see high K-rate, high GB/FB rate, what’s not to like?

I have seen two other Giants make Top 100 lists, or nearly make, Gary Brown (he was second choice for 101 that Goldstein had) and Thomas Neal. I would like to see your thoughts on the two, particularly Brown, and where do you think they would have placed in your lists had you gone past 100 (OK if you had no idea, just trying to get feel).

Thanks!

Adoptive parental unit of Ehire Adrianza.
Godfather of Travis Ishikawa.

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2010's will be known as "Decade of the Giants"

by obsessivegiantscompulsive on Mar 8, 2011 12:20 PM EST reply actions

I literally cut Brown at the last minute

I was waffling between him, Jones, Puello and Anthony Gose, but in the end I decided to go with Jones and Puello for a variety of reasons. Brown would come in the next 5-10 guys for me, though; I think his potential in terms of OBP, base-running and defense is pretty big.

As for Wheeler, as you said, what’s not to like? He’s still pretty raw, but he’s got the big fastball, he’s flashed four average pitches and he’s got the build of a workhorse. He’s got legitimate No. 1 potential, and you can’t say that about a lot of guys.

Baseball is my preferred sport. It should be yours, too.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score, an SB Nation blog.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Mar 8, 2011 2:17 PM EST up reply actions