To go along with a piece I did two weeks ago about taking a different look at MVPs, lets take another look at past Cy Young winners and see if there's some better metrics we can use to determine quality or worth. Unlike the previous study, it's been harder to predict as winners have one anywhere from one to all of the six categories. To go with basic units of measure, ERA, SO, Wins, the three advanced metrics we'll be looking at is:
-FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching)
-K/9 (Strikeouts per 9 innings)
-(K-BB)/PA (Strikeout/BB differential per plate appearance)
Were there generalizations to be made? Read more after the jump.
All I could take away from looking at this from a high level is that most winners or candidates that should have won, had really good (K-BB)/PA numbers, and generally were also leaders in FIP (in most years, under 3.00 FIP, with the exception of 2006-2007).
So who were good candidates according to have won? The most recent was Josh Johnson last year and CC Sabathia in 2008. I know, it's highly debatable right?
Which one of these candidates should have won the Cy Young?
Josh Johnson over Roy Halliday in 2010 (5 votes)
CC Sabathia over Cliff Lee in 2008 (3 votes)
Eric Bedard over CC Sabathia in 2007 (6 votes)
Johan Santana over Bartolo Colon in 2005 (25 votes)
Randy Johnson over Roger Clemens in 2004 (19 votes)
Pedro Martinez over Roy Halliday in 2003 (2 votes)
Pedro Martinez over Barry Zito in 2002 (29 votes)
Mike Mussina over Roger Clemens in 2001 (10 votes)
99 total votes