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A Post-2011 AL West All Star Team

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I said I'd finish these today, and I'm sticking with my word. We've already covered the other five divisions (NL: East, West, Central; AL: East, Central), so finish up before we clean our hands of the 2011 season and move on to the offseason.

LINEUP

Catcher: Mike Napoli, Texas (5.6 fWAR)

People have talked about him a good deal since the Rangers are on their way to the World Series, which makes sense considering he just hit .320 with 30 homers in 113 games. It also makes sense because of the whole "He-got-traded-for-Wells" narrative. It's probably worth adding that he hit .382/.462/.719 with 17 doubles, 20 homers and 34 walks in the club's final 65 games.

First Base: Mark Trumbo, Los Angeles (2.3 fWAR)

You could put Napoli here, but it's not like there's some good alternative at catcher, either. Between both positions, there just isn't much talent in this division other Naps. This Mark Trumbo fellow, though, he really does have some power. Pretty crazy that he can hit .254 with a .291 OBP but still manage to post a solid-average WAR at first base. 

Second Base: Ian Kinsler, Texas (7.7 fWAR)

People go crazy over Dustin Pedroia and Robinson Cano, but Kinsler has quietly put his name in the hat when it comes to discussing the league's best second basemen. Always a good hitter and runner, Kinsler has developed into an above-average defender over the past few seasons, and it's made him into an elite player.

Star-divide

Third Base: Adrian Beltre, Texas (5.7 fWAR)

Not a hard one. The only things he doesn't do are walk and steal bases. Otherwise, he offers 30+ home run power, plus to plus-plus defense, well above-average contact skills and solid base-running. I'm not the first person to say this out loud, but I'll always wonder what his career might look like if he signed somewhere other than Seattle (an awful fit for his right-handed power).

Shortstop: Elvis Andrus, Texas (4.5 fWAR)

These Rangers, they're pretty good. This one is actually pretty close, as Erick Aybar had a very good year in LA, but Andrus has a solid half-win advantage over the course of the season. He'll likely never become more than an average hitter, but he's so good defensively and on the bases that he'll continue to be one of the game's better shortstops.

Left Field: Josh Hamilton, Texas (4.2 fWAR)

You'll notice that AL West outfields struggled a good deal in 2011. Hamilton was very good once again this season, but his BABIP took the expected dip and he once again struggled to consistently stay on the field.

Center Field: Peter Bourjos, Los Angeles (4.3 fWAR)

A surprise inclusion, Bourjos was supposed to be the mere stopgap to Mike Trout but he's proving to be one of the organization's best young players. A plus-plus defender and runner, the most surprising part of his performance has been the power. It'll be interesting to see what they do with him going forward, given that so much of his value is tied into his CF defense.

Right Field: Torii Hunter, Los Angeles (2.5 fWAR)

A very weak year for AL West right fielders means we'll go with Torii Hunter, who tops the bunch by being roughly league average. He's still a slightly above-average hitter, but his power is fading and he's already no more than an average defender in right.

Designated Hitter: Michael Young, Texas (3.8 fWAR)

People like to give MY a hard time, but he continues to be an effective player. He set a career-best for batting average (.338) this season, cutting down his strikeout rate while continuing to hit the ball in the gaps with regularity. His fly ball rate took a dip, though, leading to a drop in home runs. Either way, you can look past the 11 homers and be satisfied with a .338 BA and 41 doubles.

ROTATION

No. 1: Dan Haren, Los Angeles (6.4 fWAR)

No. 2: C.J. Wilson, Texas (5.9 fWAR)

No. 3: Jered Weaver, Los Angeles (5.6 fWAR)

No. 4: Felix Hernandez, Seattle (5.5 fWAR)

No. 5: Brandon McCarthy, Oakland (4.7 fWAR)

A nice bunch here. The Rangers only have one guy listed, but they have another three starters between 3.6 and 4.2 WAR on the year. LA has the division's best one-two punch in Haren and Weaver. King Felix is one of the game's premier pitchers, even if his teammates can't always pull their own weight. And then there's Brandon McCarthy, one of the season's top bargains. Think of that as fate making up for the $10 million that the A's blew on Ben Sheets.

BULLPEN

Reliever: Jordan Walden, Los Angeles (1.7 fWAR)

Reliever: Brandon League, Seattle (1.4 fWAR)

Reliever: Darren Oliver, Texas (1.3 fWAR)

Not much in terms of elite-level relief work from the AL West this season. Walden's emerged as LA's closer and he should hold onto that role for a while, but the sophomore struggles of Neftali Feliz remind us of the volatility of relievers. League turned in a good year as Seattle's closer and could be a trade candidate this winter, while Oliver had another quality year as the lefty in Texas' bullpen.

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Amazing

How much the Rangers dominate this list and what little there is from the Mariners and Athletics.

by Xeifrank on Oct 18, 2011 12:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Yup.

Pretty crazy that every single position player comes from the Angels or Rangers.

Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score and a writer for MLB Daily Dish.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Oct 18, 2011 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good point about Kinsler.

He is very often overlooked. Even if he’s not really an 8-WAR player like this year’s fWAR would imply (that +15 UZR overshoots his defensive value by a good bit, IMO), he’s every bit Cano’s equal and not too far off from Pedroia.

"Yeah, and I have an enchanted jock strap." -- Karl Karlson
I now twitter as @junkstats and blog about made-up stats and general baseball stuff at JunkStats.

by Jacob Peterson on Oct 18, 2011 1:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Kinsler IS that good defensively

and he had a miserable year with his BABIP. he could have easly been a 9 WAR MVP candidate if he hits .300 on balls in play instead of like .243

also note the 5.8 baserunning runs. only 3 others had more. Granderson, Michael Bourn, and some guy who’s been mentioned elsewhere in this article (Andrus)

Why don't you have a nice big cup of shut the fuck up? - Lisa W 3/4/2011

by iblum on Oct 21, 2011 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Shortstop

I think a good argument can be made for Aybar over Andrus.

Aybar has large advantages in wRC+ (109 to 96), Baseball Reference’s oWAR (4.2 to 2.6), Baseball Reference’s rWAR (4.7 to 3.5), RAA (8.5 to -0.4), ISO (.142 to .082), and, since base-running is a big part of both of their games, SB% (83.3% to 75.5%). All of these are significant advantages.

Andrus’ main edges come in OBP, which is definitely important, and defense. That being said, the volatility of UZR on a year-to-year basis is insane, so I’m not sure that it’s quite fair to use fWAR and dismiss Aybar’s much stronger offensive resume.

by Domenic- on Oct 18, 2011 2:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, you can make a pretty solid argument

But I still prefer Andrus. I buy that he’s an elite defender and base-runner. FanGraphs’ UBR doesn’t include SB, and Andrus has shown a sustained ability to be elite at non-stealing base-running. Aybar does have a very real advantage in hitting, but he’s only worth a few runs more on offense because he didn’t come to the plate as often as Andrus. Durability also counts in this sort of thing.

Basically, you’d have to argue that Andrus isn’t a well above-average defender and base-runner to argue for Aybar, but I don’t think that’s the case.

Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score and a writer for MLB Daily Dish.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Oct 18, 2011 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

If we’re discussing base-running, I feel that Sean Smith’s runs from base-running is better than UBR. Put simply, stolen bases and pick-offs are a large part of base-running … particularly when discussing players that attempt a high number of steals. There, Andrus and Aybar are tied. With this in mind, you also have to consider that fWAR ignores SB/CS and pick-offs. It is not a component of wRAA or wOBA.

Andrus started 143 Games batting first or second in a line-up that constantly turned over, whereas Aybar only started 90 at the top of the line-up – that explains the gap in PA. I don’t think durability is really a fair argument where Andrus only played seven more games.

With respect to the difference in runs, most metrics have Aybar being responsible for anywhere from 10 to 15 additional runs. That’s a considerable margin, in my mind.

As for defense, I buy that Andrus is an excellent defender … but Aybar is usually rated as at least average, as well. Defensively, Andrus was worth 5.8 runs more than Aybar, as per UZR … which doesn’t make up for the offensive gap. The volatility of their year-to-year UZR numbers leaves me skeptical of how much that difference is actually worth, regardless.

My basic point is that it’s difficult to give the nod to a player with a substantially lesser offensive resume, barring some concrete difference in defensive contributions. We’re not comparing Andrus to Jeter, for example.

by Domenic- on Oct 18, 2011 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's untrue, FanGraphs includes those things in wOBA

They don’t just ignore SB and CS, they include them in wOBA and then supplement WAR with UBR to cover the other parts of base-running.

Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score and a writer for MLB Daily Dish.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Oct 18, 2011 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Formula

((0.72 x NIBB) + (0.75 x HBP) + (0.90 × 1B) + (0.92 x RBOE) + (1.24 × 2B) + (1.56 × 3B) + (1.95 x HR) / PA

This is the listed formula for wOBA. I’m aware that they provide the linear weights for a SB (0.2) and CS (-0.44), but I am not quite sure how that factors in. A quick and dirty recalculation of Aybar’s and Andrus’ respective wOBA’s indicates that neither is utilized, at least not in a straight-line with the other numerators.

Even if it’s in there in some way, it’s worth noting that Aybar remains the superior player offensively. B-R prefers his offense by a significant advantage, FG by a slight margin.

Consider that Aybar has a 1.2 rWAR advantage. If you average the two forms of WAR, Aybar comes out on top 4.25 to 4.0. The two agree that Aybar is the superior offensive player, whilst demonstrating the volatility of defensive metrics across the board.

I don’t mean to be rude, but it seems to me that you’re almost blindly adhering to FG. Each of these reads similarly to an fWAR leaderboard – which has its merits, to be sure, but I feel that rWAR does a fine job, as well, and is oftentimes very different.

by Domenic- on Oct 18, 2011 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I only use fWAR as a base

I prefer FanGraphs and the way they measure offense, which does absolutely include SB/CS. I buy their evaluations of each shortstops defense, with both being above-average but Andrus slightly ahead.

Aybar has a roughly 10-run lead on Andrus in WAR. Andrus makes up a couple of those on the bases, roughly five in the field and a couple more because he played more often.

They’re very, very close. I think that Andrus does enough defensively and on the bases to be put over Aybar. You can reasonably argue otherwise.

Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score and a writer for MLB Daily Dish.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Oct 18, 2011 7:38 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

While I can't argue against Kinsler

I think Kendrick is worth a mention. He’s not a 30/30 guy, but he had a great season on both sides of the plate in 2011. I think he might be the fourth-best 2B in baseball right now.

R.I.P. Nick Adenhart - Always an Angel

by Kernel on Oct 18, 2011 4:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, it was a nice year from Kendrick

I still like Utley more. Kinsler, Cano and Pedroia are the top three, and Utley is 4. Kendrick is 5, Phillips is 6, Weeks is 7, Ackley is 8.

Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score and a writer for MLB Daily Dish.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Oct 18, 2011 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I never know how to classify Zobrist

Although I know he played mostly second this year. He’s very, very good.

Yes, my real name is actually Satchel.
I'm a columnist for Beyond the Box Score and a writer for MLB Daily Dish.
Oh, I'm on Twitter, too.

by Satchel Price on Oct 18, 2011 7:26 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Basically this is half of the Rangers, some angels. And they odd Seattle and Oakland player

by Jt Malley on Oct 18, 2011 8:28 PM EDT reply actions  

I miss Ben Sheets :-(

"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker

by Resolution on Oct 18, 2011 10:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Call me crazy,

but I’d rather have Cruz this year than Hunter. Better hitter and he gets dinged in fWAR because of a poor UZR, despite having a great UZR and defensive reputation in the minors and majors.

I’m not sure how you account for injury in this, though.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Oct 21, 2011 2:21 PM EDT reply actions  

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