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A Good First Baseman With A .400 Slugging Percentage

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A good first baseman with a slugging percentage around .400 is like a good shortstop with bad range and an iffy arm. They just don't really exist, and the ones that do seem to get by on a truly odd skill set. A first baseman without power needs to be good at essentially everything else, while a good shortstop with lacking physical traits needs to have truly special instincts and a big-time bat in order to make up for such limitations.

There really aren't many players like this in the majors right now, guys getting by with skill sets that generally don't match their peers. Oakland's Daric Barton is certainly one of those players, though. 

Just go check out the home run totals for the top ten first baseman on the WAR leaderboard: 29, 31, 32, 18, 21, 25, 19, 25, 31, 31. Guess who's 11th, with just 5 home runs? Yup, Daric Barton.

When essentially every first baseman in baseball, from the cream of the crop to the guys bordering on Quadruple-A, is providing some nice power from the position, a guy like Barton really stands out. Not only is Barton holding his own despite showing power that wouldn't even be that impressive for a second baseman, but he's proving to be an above-average all-around first baseman and a very valuable long-term asset for the A's.

A lot of people will see Barton's ugly traditional stat line and assume that he's been a liability for Oakland. I mean, a first baseman who's batting .279 with 5 homers and 42 RBI in 120 games just sounds like somebody in need of being replaced. But the thing is, outside of doing the things to put up strong BA/HR/RBI numbers, Barton's done pretty much everything that you could ask for from a top-flight first baseman.

Yeah, he's got only 5 homers, but his isolated power isn't nearly as embarrassing with 29 doubles and 4 triples to add to his docket. Obviously a first baseman with a .400 slugging percentage is going to need to be an on-base machine, and Barton is exactly that. After constantly putting up strong walk rates throughout his professional career both in the minors and the majors, he's walked 77 times in 120 games compared to only 78 strikeouts. His .389 OBP is tied for 7th among all first baseman qualified for the batting title, and his walk rate is tied for the third-highest among that same group. This is just a guy who knows how to take pitches and work the count.

While some will point to regression in his .328 BABIP, which is likely given that both his career BABIP and 2010 xBABIP are identical .303 marks, most projection systems seem to believe that Barton will hit for more power in the future. Such a power increase in the future would likely offset any decline in his BA/OBP caused by a hit in BABIP. And we haven't even gotten into the fact that Barton's numbers are really hurt by the Oakland Coliseum, and the fact that his .356 wOBA is still 25% superior than the league-average despite a slugging percentage that would disappoint many middle infielders. 

And of course we can't forget defense, either, as Barton's routinely considered a plus defender at first base. This is something that the metrics have backed up so far: in 323 games with Oakland, UZR has Barton at 13 runs above average while DRS has Barton at 26 runs above average. If we use the data provided by DRS instead of the data provided by UZR, Barton's 3.1 WAR only improves.

I know that most people see a first baseman with 5 homers, 42 RBI, a .279 batting average and a .400 slugging percentage and assume that he can't possibly be that good of a player. But even a first baseman with those numbers can be awfully good if he's merely a high-quality defender with excellent on-base skills. At first glance Daric Barton might look like a pretty underwhelming player, but in reality he's simply a very good player providing his value in a unique way. 

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guys like him, who succede even though they have no real business doing so, according to how baseball generally works. They get everything out of what they are.

On the other hand, .400 is .400, no matter what else he does well that’s never gonna be considered anything other than a marginal ML-er who you’ll use as long as he’s cheap and there isn’t anything else on the farm.

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by NJBammer on Aug 24, 2010 11:43 AM EDT reply actions  

Marginal Major Leaguer?

This year, he has been about 80-90% above average, rating as the 11th best 1B in the majors so far. Billy Beane loves finding market inefficiencies, and good 1B without power are going to come cheap. Also remember he just turned 25, so he has time to develop the power. This is probably best-case scenario, but I don’t think anyone would complain about having another Mark Grace on their team.

by LeeTro on Aug 24, 2010 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, those were exactly the kind of comments that I was trying to refute

“On the other hand, .400 is .400, no matter what else he does well that’s never gonna be considered anything other than a marginal ML-er who you’ll use as long as he’s cheap and there isn’t anything else on the farm.”

Realistically, this article was trying to show that statements like this simply aren’t accurate.

Why is a first baseman automatically a marginal MLB-quality player that’s only useful when he’s cheap just because he has a .400 slugging percentage? Because Barton has clearly proven by being a roughly 3.5-4.0 WAR player that you can be that kind of player with a big-time walk rate, strong defensive numbers, and a pretty good batting average.

His ability to work the count and get on base is truly impressive, and he’s proven to be good enough offensively at first base to be an above-average player when factoring in his defensive contributions. And that’s all while acknowledging that realistically, he’ll end most seasons with around 35-40 doubles, 3-5 triples, and 8-10 homers.

The value that Barton’s providing would cost around $13-15M on the open market, and I’d argue that makes him a pretty damn valuable player even with some raises through arbitration.

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by Satchel Price on Aug 24, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

The upside for Barton seems to be someone like John Olerud

A first baseman who provided the bulk of his value as phenomenal defender and an on-base machine, who was pretty mediocre on the power side (career slash of .295/.398/.465 with a career ISO of .170) especially early in his career. And despite that handicap, Olerud managed to product 57 WAR over the course of his career. Perhaps not Hall of Famer, but certainly a first ballot member of the Hall of Damned-Close.

Assuming that the defensive metrics aren’t a fluke, Barton is already an extremely valuable member of the team. If you believe there’s upside, well that’s just icing on the cake.

by eastbayexpat on Aug 25, 2010 8:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ive always liked Barton from afar

He does not have the power numbers, like you said.
I watched the Rays-A’s series, and barton stuck out to me for some reason.

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by bestbostonsports on Aug 24, 2010 2:11 PM EDT reply actions  

More odd position/skill guys...

great CF without good speed: Jim Edmonds
great SS without much range: Jeter (obvious one)

by LeeTro on Aug 24, 2010 11:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Josh Thole is a pretty damn weird hitter for a catcher

Come to think of it, so was Russell Martin (before the Dodgers beat him into the ground through overuse).

"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.

by PaulThomas on Aug 25, 2010 2:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Looking for comps? Try Youkilis.

Kevin Youkilis hit 30 HR with a .442 OBP over his 410 game minor league career.

Barton’s swing isn’t as slappy as one might think, the doubles are coming early, there’s no reason to think those wont start going yard once he hits his age 26-32 years. If the A’s bring in the fences or move to a more hitter friendly park, we could be looking at a real superstar of the game a year or two from now.

by PL78 on Sep 12, 2010 3:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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