My Top 10 Catching Prospects
Author's Note: Hey guys, I put up this little post over at MinorLeagueBall.com earlier today. I know it's not too sabertastic, but I thought that maybe it could interest some of you guys here that don't follow John's site.
Just to note, this list isn't exactly the culmination of hundreds of hours of work, I've just kind of slapped this together for discussion.
And as a reminder, one or two spots on a list like this doesn't exactly mean a whole lot... some of these guys are so close that there's not much to go off of other than intuition.
1. Jesus Montero, NYY
Elite bat; he's a catcher until he's quite literally no longer catching, and other bats pale in comparison to his.
2. Wil Myers, KC
Similar deal to Montero. He's not quite as good as Montero offensively, but he's far more likely to provide defensive value. The odds that he sticks at catcher are much better than Montero's, and he's far more likely to provide defensive value at another position if both of them have to move off catcher.
3. Derek Norris, WAS
I know the power is lacking, but we're talking about a guy coming off a hamate bone injury. Given his reportedly improving defense and the fact that he's putting up a .411 OBP in a supposedly awful offensive season, there are a lot of reasons to be optimistic about Norris. He could be a star if his glove is good enough.
4. Wilin Rosario, COL
An absolute rocket for an arm, and he's been flashing huge raw power at Double-A. There aren't many 21-year-old catchers that can put up a .288/.344/.562 line at that level. His upside will be limited by his lack of patience, but there's enough to like in his hitting ability, power and defense to buy into him.
5. Devin Mesoraco, CIN
Maybe the most unpredictable breakout we've seen this season. He's gone from borderline non-prospect to potential star catcher in the span of a few months, as he's continued to thrive in Double-A after his breakout in Single-A. He's got big power and he's showing some patience; Cincinnati could have an interesting situation on their hands soon with Mesoraco and 2010 first-round pick Yasmani Grandal.
6. Tony Sanchez, PIT
The lost development time from his jaw injury is going to hurt, but there was a whole lot to like about Sanchez before going down in June.
7. Carlos Perez, TOR
He's young and far from the majors, but the upside is huge given his combination of offensive and defensive skills. He's played great for short-season Auburn so far, and could emerge as the best catcher in an organization that's loaded with catching talent.
8. Travis d'Arnaud, TOR
As I just noted, Toronto's loaded with good young catching. d'Arnaud was a key part of the Halladay return package, and while he's struggled somewhat the past two months in Advanced Single-A, the reports on his defense have been solid and there's a lot to like about him as a hitter.
9. Gary Sanchez, NYY
It's not clear if h e's a catcher long-term at this point, but it's worth noting that he's been favorably compared to Montero in terms of athleticism and defensive potential. And the other nice thing is that his bat could possibly be comparable, too; Sanchez has the chance to be an impact player even if he's forced to move off the position.
10. Hank Conger, LAA
His defense will never be too good but he's proving to have what should be a strong bat for the position, with solid power and a good approach. The lack of quality defense will limit his value, but obviously he could emerge as a very strong offensive catcher. It helps that he should be MLB-ready within a year or so, too.
Honorable Mention:
Tyler Flowers, CHW; Max Stassi, OAK; Austin Romine, NYY; Wilson Ramos, WAS; Christian Bethancourt, ATL; Sebastian Valle, PHI; Michael McKenry, COL; Luke Bailey, TB; A.J. Jimenez, TOR
I'm guessing I've missed someone, so feel free to point out omissions in the comments.
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How do you feel about Bryan Anderson?
Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!'
It's been a nice bounce-back year for him, but he's not close to making a list like this one
He’s definitely behind other second-tier Triple-A guys such as Josh Donaldson.
The improved K/BB and power production this season is pretty great to see, and it probably re-establishes his potential as a solid regular, but he’s still no great shakes as a prospect.
He’s definitely the best C prospect in that system right now, given how ugly Robert Stock has looked with the bat this season.
I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy
by Satchel Price on Aug 13, 2010 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Gary Sanchez...
Hes been that good huh? I’m pleased with our catchers though 2 seem they might not ever become catchers. Montero and Sanchez. Oh and Montero been killing it lately. Romine is the best defensive option for our catcher long term from what I read. You know your stuff so any ideas on what the Yankees might do with these 3? Big name trade in December?
"Enjoy your sweat because hard work doesn't guarantee success, but without it, you don't have a chance." - Alex Rodriguez
I highly doubt that they trade Romine or Sanchez; it does seem like they're willing to move Montero for a long-term impact player though
First there was the reported Montero-plus for Cliff Lee deal, and then there were the reports about New York’s willingness to give up Montero in a deal for Joakim Soria.
I think that if the Yankees really viewed Montero as a long-term solution at catcher, they really wouldn’t have shown as much interest in dealing him as has been reported. I wonder if the Yankees view Romine as being far more likely to become a long-term answer behind the plate given his superior, albeit still somewhat underwhelming, defensive skills.
Obviously Montero’s stock is climbing back up given how well he’s played lately, but I think that it’s becoming abundantly clear that very few teams view him as a catcher. I included him on this list because he’s still considered a catcher, but realistically I think that people around the game are becoming convinced that his future is as a 1B/DH.
And given all of that and the presence of Tex at 1B, it just seems like Montero would be the most likely to go given his absurdly high value and the fact that he just doesn’t fit that well in New York. If the Yankees can land someone that can help the team in 2011 and beyond, like Soria, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Yankees were willing to deal Montero still.
I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy
by Satchel Price on Aug 13, 2010 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions
The Yankees weren't offering Montero for Soria
I believe Jason Stark floated that rumor around, and he has no relationship tie with the Yankees. That was something put out by KC people.
Lee was the special case for Montero and the organization is still mega high on him. And even if he ends up at 1b, losing lots of value, if he hits anywhere close to many of his comps, he’ll be an AS player for a long time coming. But if a special player like Greinke ever becomes available, I’m sure Montero will be available again and for good reason.
My question or comment is in regards to Sanchez v Romine. I think Sanchez will be better in the future, so I take it you’re putting a lot of stock on talent and potential as well? Because otherwise Romine is closer and has a better resume thus far so he is a safer player to list on the list.
RU RAH RAH
RU RAH RAH
Stark only reported on the Montero offer after Jon Heyman
Heyman tweeted that the Yanks made a “big proposal” on Soria, and Stark later offered the detail.
Lots of Zack Greinke and Joakim Soria rumors flying in Kansas City. But teams we’ve surveyed say they see no sign that either is going anywhere. The Yankees just made another run at Soria, as first reported by SI.com —even dangling Jesus Montero. But the Royals weren’t interested.
I’m not saying you’re wrong. I’m just saying that it’s probably easier to just trust reports from sources like Stark and Heyman than try to selectively determine which ones are true and which ones are false.
Maybe the Yankees offered Montero; maybe they didn’t. But I don’t think it’s unreasonable to believe that the Yankees would be willing to deal Montero for, as I said before, an impact-quality player under control long-term.
And yeah, I really like Sanchez’s upside. I try to weigh ceiling, floor, proximity to the majors, likeliness of reaching said ceiling, median projection, and all kinds of other things when thinking about prospects – Romine’s just had a really tough year against RHP and he’s looked awful offensively since the beginning of June.
Romine’s had a pretty similar year to d’Arnaud, I just have a lot more faith in d’Arnaud’s glove.
I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy
by Satchel Price on Aug 14, 2010 12:00 AM EDT up reply actions
by any chance do you know of a site that has june/july or 2nd half road/home splits?
Because I know Romine hits a lot better away from Trenton, but he has struggled in the 2nd half, so I’m interested to see if he is still hitting on the road or if he is just tiring from his first full season as catcher.
MiLB has second half stats and home/road splits, but I dont think they have home/road based on the 2nd half only.
RU RAH RAH
RU RAH RAH
I heart Devin Mesoraco
that is all. :)
-j
I write at:
Beyond the Boxscore | Red Reporter | Basement-Dwellers.com | Twitter: @jinazreds
Just wondering
Do you prefer Mesoraco or Grandal? Who do you think is Cincinnati’s regular catcher in 2012?
I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy
by Satchel Price on Aug 20, 2010 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions

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