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This Week In The AL West


Hi there, BtB community! I have some AL West-related links for you. I know you're raring to brush up on the division, so follow me!

I have a question for you, though, if you'll indulge me in some conversation: Where is Cliff Lee going to end up and for what?

Texas Rangers (42-28)

Baseball Time In Arlington: Roy Oswalt's Trade Value And The Rangers

This may be moot at this point, but Joey Matschulat analyzes Roy Oswalt's trade value to the Rangers. The contract is a killer, and a team probably shouldn't give much up unless the Astros pay for part of it.

FanGraphs: Josh Hamilton's Resurgent Hitting

Hamilton's fWAR is just five runs behind his total from his vaunted 2008 season. That was before adding another home run and a double tonight. This mostly thanks to a .592 wOBA in June. David Golebiewski looks at how.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth: Top Five Rangers Most Deserving Of All-Star Spots

Bretty Perryman provides a look at which Rangers' have the most All-Star worthy numbers so far this season.

Baseball Time in Arlington: The Unloved, Revisited -- The Continuing Saga Of Ian Kinsler

Josh Garoon follows up a previous article on Ian Kinsler. Kinsler has shown, in many ways, a better approach this season, but an absolute loss of power, resulting in a very down year. Some of that may be due to a bad ankle.

Star-divide

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (40-33)

FanGraphs: The Angels Are Still Clutch

Another week, another talk about the Angels consistent ability(?) to over-perform their expected records. Dave Cameron's approach is one simply of wonderment, which is where I think I am at this point.

FanGraphs: Piniero Proving To Be A Bargain

The Rangers have not lost a game since our last AL West roundup, and yet the Angels are still right in it. Some of that is the luck/mysterious skill/clutchiness Cameron mentions, and some is great value buys like Joel Piniero.

Halo Hangout: All-Star Angels

Nate Procter identifies Torii Hunter and Jered Weaver as the only debatable Angels All-Stars this season. I would like to point out his blog is an awesome Angels resource and you should consider reading it. He has good stuff.

The Hardball Times: Jered Weaver

I don't know if you know this, but Weaver has been awesome this season. See, look! Mr. Pavlidis looks at the gritty details to find out what he's done to get even better. Five at-least-useful pitches would do it, I think.

Oakland Athletics (34-39)

FanGraphs: Trevor Cahill Adapting, Improving

Joe Pawlikowski breaks down the progression of Trevor Cahill, who has already surpassed his fWAR total from 2009.

Sports Illustrated: The Day Moneyball Died

This is an article about silly things the A's have done this season and whether or not Billy Beane is even paying attention. It is written by Joe Posnanski. That is why you should read it.

FanGraphs: The Wrong Way -- Barton's Bunts

As a direct follow up to that article, Matt Klaassen analyzes one of those silly things: each of the astounding nine sacrifice bunts from Daric Barton this season. He argues everyone of them was a bad idea.

Seattle Mariners (29-41)

U.S.S. Mariner: Mariners And NERDs

Given the prominance of Mariners fans in the sabermetric crowd, you probably think this article is about something else. Actually, it's Carson Cistulli and his neat-o pitcher aesthetic rating's introduction to the USSM folk.

MyNorthwest.com: What's Up With Brandon League?

Cameron guests for a mainstream site displaying the issues with Brandon League, primarily coming from an over-reliance on his fastball. I want someone to get through to "erikec" in the comments.

FanGraphs: Jason Vargas = Jarrod Washburn?

Golebiewski makes the case that Vargas, like Washburn in 2009, has been, "the perfect blend of pitcher, park, defense and luck" for the Mariners.

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My favorite part of the Rangers being so good?

Their two best starters are
A. a 30-year-old who spent 2008-2009 in Japan
B. a 29-year-old who didn’t make a single start from 2006 through 2009

I’ll have more details on the best 1-2 punches in the game so far this season in a post going up tomorrow morning, with a whole lot of comments and such, just so you guys know.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 23, 2010 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

"best 1-2 punches in the game so far this season"...

Wow. Really? Looking forward to that.

"No nuts, no glory"

by coolaid on Jun 23, 2010 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Read the comment again...

sorry I though you implied Lewis and Wilson are the best 1-2 punch which I was surprised at but I misread the comment. Still looking forward to the post.

"No nuts, no glory"

by coolaid on Jun 23, 2010 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, that'd be something else if Wilson/Lewis turned out to be the most effective duo in the game so far

They actually come in the bottom third of the list, which probably isn’t that surprising.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 23, 2010 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Uh-oh...
Their two best starters are
A. a 30-year-old who spent 2008-2009 in Japan

Dude is sportin’ a .233 BABIP linked to a .193 AVG Against versus some pretty bad teams.

Can you say "expectation of second half regression"? Maybe right around the time the Rangers schedule toughens up?

Just sayin’…

"That's the true harbinger of spring, not crocuses or swallows returning to Capistrano, but the sound of a bat on a ball." ~Bill Veeck

by LAASurfin on Jun 23, 2010 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Except his FIP doesn't include that and has been 3.79.

Good for 1.9 wins above replacement. Yessir, the ERA is probably going to go up. Doesn’t mean it’s likely to skyrocket and kill the team.

by philkid3 on Jun 23, 2010 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wasn't insinuating that he would "kill the team".

I was making the point that he’s been kind of lucky – and against bad teams.

I saw his FIP. You don’t need to ‘protect’ his pitching honor by spinning what it means.

FIP consolidates HRs, BBs and Ks into innings pitched. His longest outings have been against SEA (3 times), MIL, HOU and OAK. He lasted 5 IP against BOS, 5.1 @CLE and 5.2 @TOR.

HOU, SEA and OAK don’t walk. Or hit HRs.

Indications are that his IP and K rate will drop against better teams while his HR, and BB rates will rise. Bye-bye awesome FIP. Hello reality.

"That's the true harbinger of spring, not crocuses or swallows returning to Capistrano, but the sound of a bat on a ball." ~Bill Veeck

by LAASurfin on Jun 23, 2010 7:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

But if the reality is something like a ~4.00 ERA

Then that’s still a pretty great bargain and a very useful pitcher for the Rangers, right?

Nobody expected a ~3.00 ERA from Lewis, so something around 4 probably shouldn’t disappoint anyone.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 23, 2010 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

It wouldn't.

I don’t think anyone who reads this blog actually expects Lewis to continue the way he has. It doesn’t take continuing the way he has to be very good, and amazing value.

by philkid3 on Jun 23, 2010 8:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

At 4.00 +/- a little

Yes, he would represent an outstanding value.

"That's the true harbinger of spring, not crocuses or swallows returning to Capistrano, but the sound of a bat on a ball." ~Bill Veeck

by LAASurfin on Jun 23, 2010 9:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, his FIP/xFIP/tERA are all under 4 still

He’s got an exceptional K/BB ratio and a near-league average groundball rate.

The point about his competition is legitimate, but even if he regresses to a 3.90-4.10 ERA, he’s still a pretty damn good pitcher.

I like baseball.
I write for Beyond the Box Score and The Hardball Times Fantasy

by Satchel Price on Jun 23, 2010 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

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