BtB Power Rankings: Week 11

Toprank-061610_medium

Allrank-061610_medium

"On Paper" Rankings

American League: E=Yankees, C=Twins, W=Rangers, WC=Rays
National League: E=Braves, C=Cardinals, W=Padres, WC=Reds

Under the Hood

Converting Wins to Runs

Team G RS eRS RA eRA W% pW% cW% xtW LgAdj TPI
ARI 65 292 290 355 287 0.400 0.408 0.505 75 -8 0.478
ATL 65 319 325 264 271 0.569 0.589 0.584 94 -8 0.559
BAL 65 211 232 342 337 0.277 0.291 0.334 50 8 0.358
BOS 66 349 360 299 306 0.576 0.573 0.577 93 8 0.600
CHW 63 265 257 291 280 0.460 0.456 0.460 74 8 0.487
CHC 64 257 265 274 263 0.438 0.470 0.504 77 -8 0.476
CIN 65 314 333 300 307 0.554 0.522 0.539 88 -8 0.515
CLE 63 273 264 324 318 0.397 0.419 0.414 66 8 0.439
COL 64 272 277 234 281 0.516 0.568 0.494 81 -8 0.468
DET 63 275 302 274 285 0.540 0.502 0.527 86 8 0.551
FLA 64 301 296 278 285 0.484 0.538 0.518 82 -8 0.493
HOU 65 224 191 334 297 0.385 0.323 0.306 55 -8 0.279
KCR 65 291 293 324 337 0.431 0.449 0.434 70 8 0.459
LAD 64 313 307 299 305 0.578 0.523 0.503 86 -8 0.478
LAA 68 319 292 335 329 0.529 0.476 0.443 78 8 0.469
MIL 65 323 338 359 337 0.431 0.449 0.501 77 -8 0.478
MIN 64 304 314 248 263 0.578 0.593 0.580 94 8 0.605
NYY 64 367 372 258 263 0.641 0.664 0.660 106 8 0.682
NYM 64 296 288 258 292 0.563 0.563 0.493 84 -8 0.467
OAK 66 276 279 289 287 0.500 0.478 0.487 80 8 0.513
PHI 62 267 257 253 262 0.516 0.524 0.491 81 -8 0.464
PIT 64 210 221 360 323 0.359 0.268 0.330 55 -8 0.306
SDP 65 298 279 232 226 0.585 0.612 0.594 96 -8 0.565
SEA 65 231 233 306 293 0.369 0.373 0.396 62 8 0.423
SFG 64 276 287 225 263 0.563 0.591 0.541 89 -8 0.515
STL 65 302 310 245 255 0.554 0.595 0.589 93 -8 0.563
TBR 64 346 331 242 258 0.641 0.663 0.616 101 8 0.640
TEX 64 318 305 278 295 0.563 0.562 0.515 86 8 0.540
TOR 66 313 296 294 287 0.530 0.530 0.514 84 8 0.540
WSN 65 280 285 302 310 0.477 0.465 0.461 76 -8 0.436

G=Games
RS = Actual Runs Scored, after a park adjustment
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored, after park adjustment (see "Offense" table below)
RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after a park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed, after park adjustments (see "Defense" table below)
W% = Actual Winning Percentage
pW% = PythagenPat Winning Percentage, based on actual runs scored and run allowed totals
cW% = Component Winning Percentage, using estimated runs scored and estimated runs allowed totals.  If you don't like the league adjustment, click in the header and sort by this column.
LgAdj = League adjustment, based on differences in league quality (justification here and here).
TPI = Team Performance Index, a hypothetical winning % based on component estimates of runs scored and runs allowed after the league adjustment.

Team Offenses and Defenses

Team RS eRS wOBA OBP SLG wRC EqBRR Clutch RA eRA ERA FIP xFIP xFIPrns Field Catch BABIP
ARI 292 290 0.327 0.330 0.430 293 -4 -6 355 287 5.45 4.93 4.46 297 14 -5 0.323
ATL 319 325 0.337 0.353 0.396 321 4 -9 264 271 3.78 3.92 4.11 271 9 1 0.293
BAL 211 232 0.303 0.309 0.366 233 -1 -12 342 337 4.94 4.96 4.84 319 -24 1 0.309
BOS 349 360 0.353 0.352 0.465 364 -4 -2 299 306 4.34 4.30 4.58 318 6 0 0.290
CHW 265 257 0.319 0.322 0.403 258 -2 0 291 280 4.60 3.95 4.18 270 -8 -2 0.318
CHC 257 265 0.319 0.326 0.403 269 -4 -39 274 263 4.03 4.00 4.18 271 0 3 0.300
CIN 314 333 0.344 0.346 0.454 330 4 4 300 307 4.64 4.29 4.48 303 -8 -2 0.318
CLE 273 264 0.319 0.325 0.375 263 1 5 324 318 4.62 4.71 4.83 311 7 -1 0.306
COL 272 277 0.319 0.334 0.418 272 5 -32 234 281 3.69 3.75 4.17 275 7 -2 0.295
DET 275 302 0.337 0.341 0.422 304 -2 15 274 285 4.14 4.05 4.55 292 6 -1 0.297
FLA 301 296 0.329 0.329 0.408 292 4 -24 278 285 4.01 3.87 4.34 284 -5 1 0.305
HOU 224 191 0.286 0.288 0.342 190 1 34 334 297 4.69 3.98 4.26 281 -17 1 0.333
KCR 291 293 0.327 0.337 0.414 293 0 -4 324 337 4.89 4.59 4.68 313 -40 1 0.311
LAD 313 307 0.333 0.337 0.411 302 5 7 299 305 4.01 3.88 4.19 280 -23 0 0.303
LAA 319 292 0.324 0.321 0.410 294 -2 13 335 329 4.54 4.33 4.48 311 -13 -2 0.315
MIL 323 338 0.342 0.337 0.433 338 0 -19 359 337 5.12 4.45 4.50 303 -40 -2 0.336
MIN 304 314 0.338 0.347 0.415 315 -1 -18 248 263 3.71 3.75 4.14 275 1 2 0.307
NYY 367 372 0.361 0.366 0.448 372 0 3 258 263 3.80 4.13 4.17 271 10 1 0.282
NYM 296 288 0.325 0.324 0.399 283 5 -8 258 292 3.75 4.13 4.49 300 1 1 0.305
OAK 276 279 0.322 0.324 0.385 282 -3 2 289 287 4.01 4.24 4.32 292 2 1 0.289
PHI 267 257 0.321 0.328 0.405 265 -8 6 253 262 4.01 4.21 4.25 268 4 3 0.298
PIT 210 221 0.302 0.305 0.361 226 -5 9 360 323 5.24 4.84 4.70 305 -16 -1 0.320
SDP 298 279 0.320 0.318 0.367 277 2 -12 232 226 3.03 3.56 3.77 258 31 3 0.282
SEA 231 233 0.304 0.313 0.348 234 -1 10 306 293 4.19 4.24 4.52 301 11 -1 0.297
SFG 276 287 0.327 0.332 0.409 285 2 -4 225 263 3.31 3.79 4.33 290 31 -3 0.279
STL 302 310 0.334 0.338 0.412 312 -3 -14 245 255 3.21 3.79 3.95 267 13 3 0.291
TBR 346 331 0.341 0.340 0.421 325 6 -11 242 258 3.45 4.11 4.21 281 30 -1 0.283
TEX 318 305 0.331 0.338 0.420 296 9 11 278 295 4.08 4.54 4.58 305 9 0 0.285
TOR 313 296 0.331 0.308 0.452 298 -2 15 294 287 4.35 3.91 4.12 279 4 -3 0.303
WSN 280 285 0.328 0.334 0.412 291 -6 -2 302 310 4.17 4.56 4.72 314 -6 2 0.298

RS = Actual Runs Scored
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored: wRC + EqBRR
wOBA The Book's statistic, but park adjusted, and using data from both wRC and EqBRR
OBP = On Base Percentage (Times on Base / Plate Appearances)
SLG = Slugging Percentage (Total Bases / At Bats)
wRC = From FanGraphs, with baserunning removed, after park adjustments
EqBRR = Dan Fox's composite baserunning statistics from Baseball Prospectus, minus stolen bases since they are included in wRC.
Clutch = "Clutchiness" measure from fangraphs; difference between actual WPA and expected WPA based on component statistics.  We report this in runs.

RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed: tRuns - Field - Catch
ERA = Straight-up Earned Run Average
FIP = Fielding-Independent Runs, based strictly on K-, BB-, and HR-rates.
xFIP = Experimental Fielding-Independent Runs from FanGraphs.  Like FIP, but with HR/Outfield Fly Ball rates regressed completely to league average.  xFIP is as predictive as any other DIPS-like stat.
xFIPrns = Pitching Runs Allowed, based on xFIP
Field = The average of team UZR and team DRS (minus rSB since I calculate catcher fielding separately).
Catch = Catcher Fielding Runs, based on SB's, CS's, WP's, PB's, E's, and this year catcher interference.  The methods are essentially those described here.  But I'm using B-Ref data this year, and so there are slight tweaks to the methodology, generally in ways that should lead to greater precision.
BABIP = Batting Average on Balls In Play.  Fluctuates at the team level with fielding, although chance events can have effects as well.

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