BtB Power Rankings: Week 11

by JinAZ on Jun 16, 2010 9:39 PM EDT in Power Rankings

"On Paper" Rankings

American League: E=Yankees, C=Twins, W=Rangers, WC=Rays
National League: E=Braves, C=Cardinals, W=Padres, WC=Reds

Under the Hood

Converting Wins to Runs

Team	G	RS	eRS	RA	eRA	W%	pW%	cW%	xtW	LgAdj	TPI
ARI	65	292	290	355	287	0.400	0.408	0.505	75	-8	0.478
ATL	65	319	325	264	271	0.569	0.589	0.584	94	-8	0.559
BAL	65	211	232	342	337	0.277	0.291	0.334	50	8	0.358
BOS	66	349	360	299	306	0.576	0.573	0.577	93	8	0.600
CHW	63	265	257	291	280	0.460	0.456	0.460	74	8	0.487
CHC	64	257	265	274	263	0.438	0.470	0.504	77	-8	0.476
CIN	65	314	333	300	307	0.554	0.522	0.539	88	-8	0.515
CLE	63	273	264	324	318	0.397	0.419	0.414	66	8	0.439
COL	64	272	277	234	281	0.516	0.568	0.494	81	-8	0.468
DET	63	275	302	274	285	0.540	0.502	0.527	86	8	0.551
FLA	64	301	296	278	285	0.484	0.538	0.518	82	-8	0.493
HOU	65	224	191	334	297	0.385	0.323	0.306	55	-8	0.279
KCR	65	291	293	324	337	0.431	0.449	0.434	70	8	0.459
LAD	64	313	307	299	305	0.578	0.523	0.503	86	-8	0.478
LAA	68	319	292	335	329	0.529	0.476	0.443	78	8	0.469
MIL	65	323	338	359	337	0.431	0.449	0.501	77	-8	0.478
MIN	64	304	314	248	263	0.578	0.593	0.580	94	8	0.605
NYY	64	367	372	258	263	0.641	0.664	0.660	106	8	0.682
NYM	64	296	288	258	292	0.563	0.563	0.493	84	-8	0.467
OAK	66	276	279	289	287	0.500	0.478	0.487	80	8	0.513
PHI	62	267	257	253	262	0.516	0.524	0.491	81	-8	0.464
PIT	64	210	221	360	323	0.359	0.268	0.330	55	-8	0.306
SDP	65	298	279	232	226	0.585	0.612	0.594	96	-8	0.565
SEA	65	231	233	306	293	0.369	0.373	0.396	62	8	0.423
SFG	64	276	287	225	263	0.563	0.591	0.541	89	-8	0.515
STL	65	302	310	245	255	0.554	0.595	0.589	93	-8	0.563
TBR	64	346	331	242	258	0.641	0.663	0.616	101	8	0.640
TEX	64	318	305	278	295	0.563	0.562	0.515	86	8	0.540
TOR	66	313	296	294	287	0.530	0.530	0.514	84	8	0.540
WSN	65	280	285	302	310	0.477	0.465	0.461	76	-8	0.436

G=Games
RS = Actual Runs Scored, after a park adjustment
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored, after park adjustment (see "Offense" table below)
RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after a park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed, after park adjustments (see "Defense" table below)
W% = Actual Winning Percentage
pW% = PythagenPat Winning Percentage, based on actual runs scored and run allowed totals
cW% = Component Winning Percentage, using estimated runs scored and estimated runs allowed totals. If you don't like the league adjustment, click in the header and sort by this column.
LgAdj = League adjustment, based on differences in league quality (justification here and here).
TPI = Team Performance Index, a hypothetical winning % based on component estimates of runs scored and runs allowed after the league adjustment.

Team Offenses and Defenses

Team	RS	eRS	wOBA	OBP	SLG	wRC	EqBRR	Clutch	RA	eRA	ERA	FIP	xFIP	xFIPrns	Field	Catch	BABIP
ARI	292	290	0.327	0.330	0.430	293	-4	-6	355	287	5.45	4.93	4.46	297	14	-5	0.323
ATL	319	325	0.337	0.353	0.396	321	4	-9	264	271	3.78	3.92	4.11	271	9	1	0.293
BAL	211	232	0.303	0.309	0.366	233	-1	-12	342	337	4.94	4.96	4.84	319	-24	1	0.309
BOS	349	360	0.353	0.352	0.465	364	-4	-2	299	306	4.34	4.30	4.58	318	6	0	0.290
CHW	265	257	0.319	0.322	0.403	258	-2	0	291	280	4.60	3.95	4.18	270	-8	-2	0.318
CHC	257	265	0.319	0.326	0.403	269	-4	-39	274	263	4.03	4.00	4.18	271	0	3	0.300
CIN	314	333	0.344	0.346	0.454	330	4	4	300	307	4.64	4.29	4.48	303	-8	-2	0.318
CLE	273	264	0.319	0.325	0.375	263	1	5	324	318	4.62	4.71	4.83	311	7	-1	0.306
COL	272	277	0.319	0.334	0.418	272	5	-32	234	281	3.69	3.75	4.17	275	7	-2	0.295
DET	275	302	0.337	0.341	0.422	304	-2	15	274	285	4.14	4.05	4.55	292	6	-1	0.297
FLA	301	296	0.329	0.329	0.408	292	4	-24	278	285	4.01	3.87	4.34	284	-5	1	0.305
HOU	224	191	0.286	0.288	0.342	190	1	34	334	297	4.69	3.98	4.26	281	-17	1	0.333
KCR	291	293	0.327	0.337	0.414	293	0	-4	324	337	4.89	4.59	4.68	313	-40	1	0.311
LAD	313	307	0.333	0.337	0.411	302	5	7	299	305	4.01	3.88	4.19	280	-23	0	0.303
LAA	319	292	0.324	0.321	0.410	294	-2	13	335	329	4.54	4.33	4.48	311	-13	-2	0.315
MIL	323	338	0.342	0.337	0.433	338	0	-19	359	337	5.12	4.45	4.50	303	-40	-2	0.336
MIN	304	314	0.338	0.347	0.415	315	-1	-18	248	263	3.71	3.75	4.14	275	1	2	0.307
NYY	367	372	0.361	0.366	0.448	372	0	3	258	263	3.80	4.13	4.17	271	10	1	0.282
NYM	296	288	0.325	0.324	0.399	283	5	-8	258	292	3.75	4.13	4.49	300	1	1	0.305
OAK	276	279	0.322	0.324	0.385	282	-3	2	289	287	4.01	4.24	4.32	292	2	1	0.289
PHI	267	257	0.321	0.328	0.405	265	-8	6	253	262	4.01	4.21	4.25	268	4	3	0.298
PIT	210	221	0.302	0.305	0.361	226	-5	9	360	323	5.24	4.84	4.70	305	-16	-1	0.320
SDP	298	279	0.320	0.318	0.367	277	2	-12	232	226	3.03	3.56	3.77	258	31	3	0.282
SEA	231	233	0.304	0.313	0.348	234	-1	10	306	293	4.19	4.24	4.52	301	11	-1	0.297
SFG	276	287	0.327	0.332	0.409	285	2	-4	225	263	3.31	3.79	4.33	290	31	-3	0.279
STL	302	310	0.334	0.338	0.412	312	-3	-14	245	255	3.21	3.79	3.95	267	13	3	0.291
TBR	346	331	0.341	0.340	0.421	325	6	-11	242	258	3.45	4.11	4.21	281	30	-1	0.283
TEX	318	305	0.331	0.338	0.420	296	9	11	278	295	4.08	4.54	4.58	305	9	0	0.285
TOR	313	296	0.331	0.308	0.452	298	-2	15	294	287	4.35	3.91	4.12	279	4	-3	0.303
WSN	280	285	0.328	0.334	0.412	291	-6	-2	302	310	4.17	4.56	4.72	314	-6	2	0.298

RS = Actual Runs Scored
eRS = Estimated Runs Scored: wRC + EqBRR
wOBA = The Book's statistic, but park adjusted, and using data from both wRC and EqBRR
OBP = On Base Percentage (Times on Base / Plate Appearances)
SLG = Slugging Percentage (Total Bases / At Bats)
wRC = From FanGraphs, with baserunning removed, after park adjustments
EqBRR = Dan Fox's composite baserunning statistics from Baseball Prospectus, minus stolen bases since they are included in wRC.
Clutch = "Clutchiness" measure from fangraphs; difference between actual WPA and expected WPA based on component statistics. We report this in runs.

RA = Actual Runs Allowed, after park adjustment
eRA = Estimated Runs Allowed: tRuns - Field - Catch
ERA = Straight-up Earned Run Average
FIP = Fielding-Independent Runs, based strictly on K-, BB-, and HR-rates.
xFIP = Experimental Fielding-Independent Runs from FanGraphs. Like FIP, but with HR/Outfield Fly Ball rates regressed completely to league average. xFIP is as predictive as any other DIPS-like stat.
xFIPrns = Pitching Runs Allowed, based on xFIP
Field = The average of team UZR and team DRS (minus rSB since I calculate catcher fielding separately).
Catch = Catcher Fielding Runs, based on SB's, CS's, WP's, PB's, E's, and this year catcher interference. The methods are essentially those described here. But I'm using B-Ref data this year, and so there are slight tweaks to the methodology, generally in ways that should lead to greater precision.
BABIP = Batting Average on Balls In Play. Fluctuates at the team level with fielding, although chance events can have effects as well.

Tweet Comment 11 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

Sorry for no recap

Short on time and energy tonight. I’m not sure that people read them much anyway. I’ll be traveling next week, but should still be able to post the power rankings provided I can get the internets to talk to me in Ohio.
-j

I write at:
Beyond the Boxscore | Red Reporter | Basement-Dwellers.com | Twitter: @jinazreds

by JinAZ on Jun 16, 2010 9:59 PM EDT reply actions

by philkid3 on Jun 17, 2010 12:19 AM EDT up reply actions

I think Phillies fans are ok with no recap, because it likey would have been about their 8 spot drop to #23.

Sandwiched between the Mets and Royals. Yowzers.

Beyond the Box Score | Facebook | @BtB_Sky | BtB Newsletter

by Sky Kalkman on Jun 17, 2010 8:07 AM EDT up reply actions

by Patrick42 on Jun 17, 2010 12:57 AM EDT reply actions

Ok, ok!

I’ll try to keep doing them. I’ll try to get one in this week.

And yeah, Phillies. What’s their deal, anyway?
-j

I write at:
Beyond the Boxscore | Red Reporter | Basement-Dwellers.com | Twitter: @jinazreds

by JinAZ on Jun 17, 2010 8:34 AM EDT up reply actions

Can someone explain to me how the Dodgers keep winning games?

Every underlying metric seems to indicate they’re a mediocre, .500 at best team.

IS there any explanation, other than luck, smoke, mirrors, and Russian magicians?

"It is a truth universally acknowledged that a zombie in possession of brains must be in want of more brains."
Bolts From The Blue - Heavy with the facts, slightly less heavy with the opinions.

by Zach (maestro876) on Jun 17, 2010 2:16 PM EDT reply actions