Batters Faced: Which team has the hardest time getting a batter out?
by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 8:00 AM EDT
in Visuals Above Replacement
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PrintGraph of the Day
Thoughts & Notes, Method, and Full Graphs after the Jump.
Click to enlarge:
Method:
Data is based on 2010 results to date from Baseball-Reference, pulled 06/13/10.
Notes, Thoughts, and Questions
1. The difference between the best (NYY's 36.56 BPG) and the worst (MIL's 40.58) translates to 4.062 and 4.508 batters faced per inning, respectively.
2. Projected out for a year, that means that NYY would face only 5923 batters while MIL would face 6573. That's a difference of 650 batters. In NYY terms, that's almost 18 extra games of batters!
3. I'd like to break this data down into the various factors that cause a lack of outs. "What's preventing this team from getting a batter out?"
4. What the hell is going on in Milwaukee?
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Very interesting stuff
The first thing I would do is correct for number of home games. If some team has an inordinately high or low number of home games at this point in the season it could sway the numbers some.
Good point, Dan. Using today's data, here are the teams with more than 50% home games:
CIN - 58%
LAD - 56%
SDP - 55%
BOS - 55%
SF - 54%
MIN - 53%
TEX - 53%
NYM - 53%
CHW - 52%
HOU - 52%
TB - 52%
FLA - 52%
OAK - 52%
AZ - 51%
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Might as well show the teams that are below 50% home games too (also today's data):
BAL - 49%
SEA - 49%
DET - 49%
CHC - 48%
COL - 48%
KC - 48%
STL - 48%
CLE - 48%
TOR - 47%
NYY - 47%
PIT - 47%
PHI - 47%
WAS - 46%
MIL - 46%
LAA - 46%
ATL - 40%
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by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions
That probably explains a good part of why ATL is doing so well in this metric
by Dan Turkenkopf on Jun 16, 2010 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions
But further indicts Milwaukee, doesn't it?
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by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions
The Brewers are near the bottom in defense
2nd to last in UZR/150 and DR according to fangraphs. This might partly explain the pitching staff’s MLB-leading BaBIP, and 2nd largest gap between ERA and FIP. It can’t help the pitchers to have to get all those extra outs.
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I suppose the Red Sox aren't too bad then.
They’ve had 8 extra-inning games, putting them at 2nd in the league in IP.
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Love the Graphs
But I think batters faced per inning would be a better judge as far as who has the hardest time getting batters out.
For example, if a team loses a bunch of games on the road…they don’t even have to pitch the 9th…
Also, playing a lot of extra innings games (especially long extra innings games) could potentially really skew the data.
Beyond the Box Score / Capitol Avenue Club / shwitter: @CapitolAvenue
Yep, you guys are right.
I’m going to take the much more obvious (but less palpable IMO) BF/IP.
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by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions
First Pitch Strikes
I’d also be curious as to whether these graphs are similar in order to one showing a team’s first pitch strikes thrown in a game
Batters Faced / Inning: AL
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Might look cool to add team ERA -- similar scale.
by Sky Kalkman on Jun 16, 2010 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions
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by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions
Hey look
the terrible teams are on the bottom. Maybe there’s a correlation between not getting batters out and losing?
;)
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by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Batters Faced / Inning: NL
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Yum!
These are some really wonderful graphs.
I think they’re fascinating… And yeah, the BF/IP is much more signal and less noise – at this point in the season, but also in general with extra inning games – than BF/G.
Still, very cool all around. Very interesting to break down why.
Go Twins!
Ways to get a batter out
1. Ks
2. Outs on BIP
3. Outs on Base Running
Missing anything?
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by Justin Bopp on Jun 16, 2010 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions
If you change “Outs on BIP” to “Batted ball outs”, I think it’s a comprehensive list.
Beyond the Box Score / Capitol Avenue Club / shwitter: @CapitolAvenue
So do these games
include extra innings? That would throw off the results, possibly more than home field advantage. It would probably be better to graph batters faced per 9
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